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HomeMy WebLinkAboutResolutions - 1997.05.22 - 25124MISCELLANEOUS RESOLUTION # 97118 DATE: May 22, 1997 BY: PLANNING AND BUILDING COMMITTEE - CHARLES E. PALMER, CHAIRPERSON IN RE: CERTIFICATION OF AVAILABLE DISPOSAL CAPACITY ACT 451 NON-HAZARDOUS SOLID WASTES SPRING, 1997 To the Oakland County Board of Commissioners Chairperson, Ladies and Gentlemen: WHEREAS, Oakland County's 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update require that annually, on or before June 30, the Board demonstrate and certify available remaining disposal capacity for all Act 451 non- hazardous solid wastes generated within the County; and WHEREAS, a finding that sufficient capacity is available (more than 66 months beyond June 30) equates to a moratorium during the following year on the use of the interim siting mechanism contained in the 1994 Amendments for the siting of additional landfill capacity in the County; and WHEREAS, Act 451 as amended, concludes that failure to adopt a required annual certification is equivalent to a finding that less than a sufficient amount of capacity is available and the interim siting mechanism will then be operative on the first day of the following January; and WHEREAS, a review has been conducted of the current and projected Act 451 non- hazardous waste stream generated within the county, the current volume reduction efforts being achieved by the County's residents and businesses, current inter-county flow arrangements and of available remaining disposal capacity both within the County and within nearby counties; and WHEREAS, the analysis contained in the County Executive's report titled "Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - May 5, 1997" (which is on file with the County Clerk) shows clearly that disposal capacity is available for the County's Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream into the year 2006 as is summarized on the Exhibit attached. NOW THEREFORE BE IT RESOLVED THAT the Oakland County Board of Commissioners hereby certifies that sufficient disposal capacity exists so that the interim siting mechanism for the siting of additional landfill capacity within the County as contained .411r,...411°1°1111111111:A.4.4i ING COMMITTEE NNING AND B within the 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update will not become operational until January 1, 1999 or later, such date to be identified in a future certification. Chairperson, on behalf of the Planning and Building Committee, I move the adoption of the foregoing resolution. "spectfully RogerqmdWith,15" ManageV '1DIMVVaste Planning OAKLAND, L. BROOKS PATTERSON, OAKLAND COUNTY EXECUTIVE COUNTY MICHIGAN SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT Roger J. Smith, RE., Manager May 5, 1997 Charles E. Palmer, Chairperson Planning and Building Committee Oakland County Board of Commissioners Pontiac, Michigan Re: Certification of Available Disposal Capacity Act 451 Non-Hazardous Solid Wastes Spring, 1997 Dear Mr. Palmer: Attached please find a suggested resolution and accompanying exhibit along with a report prepared by the County Executive's offices which is titled "Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - May 5, 1997." The resolution and exhibit have been prepared for approval by the Board as required by the County's 1994 Amendments to the Oakland County 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update and as required by Act 451 of 1994. The resolution certifies that access to sufficient disposal capacity exists for all Act 451 non-hazardous solid wastes generated within the County to a point well beyond January 1, 2003 or more than 66 months from June 30, 1997. The certification must be adopted by the Board annually prior to June 30. Failure of the County to adopt such a certification would result in activation of the interim siting mechanism for the siting of additional landfill capacity as contained in the 1994 Plan Amendments on the following January 1st. As occurred with the 1995 and 1996 demonstrations, we anticipate that the Board will adopt only the resolution and accompanying exhibit with the detailed report being placed on file with the County Clerk. The report has been specifically designed to provide appropriate material for Michigan Department of Environmental Quality staff review and will be transmitted to that agency along with the adopted resolution and exhibit. We will be pleased to present the material to the Planning and Building Committee at your convenience. Attach: cc: L. Brooks Patterson K. Rogers D. Ross PUBLIC WORKS BUILDING • ONE PUBLIC WORKS DR • WATERFORD MI 48328-1907 • (810) 858-1352 • FAX (810) 858-1066 MISCELLANEOUS RESOLUTION # DATE: BY: PLANNING AND BUILDING COMMITTEE - CHARLES E. PALMER, CHAIRPERSON IN RE: CERTIFICATION OF AVAILABLE DISPOSAL CAPACITY ACT 451 NON-HAZARDOUS SOLID WASTES SPRING, 1997 To the Oakland County Board of Commissioners Chairperson, Ladies and Gentlemen: WHEREAS, Oakland County's 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update require that annually, on or before June 30, the Board demonstrate and certify available remaining disposal capacity for all Act 451 non- hazardous solid wastes generated within the County; and WHEREAS, a finding that sufficient capacity is available (more than 66 months beyond June 30) equates to a moratorium during the following year on the use of the interim siting mechanism contained in the 1994 Amendments for the siting of additional landfill capacity in the County; and WHEREAS, Act 451 as amended, concludes that failure to adopt a required annual certification is equivalent to a finding that less than a sufficient amount of capacity is available and the interim siting mechanism will then be operative on the first day of the following January; and WHEREAS, a review has been conducted of the current and projected Act 451 non- hazardous waste stream generated within the county, the current volume reduction efforts being achieved by the County's residents and businesses, current inter-county flow arrangements and of available remaining disposal capacity both within the County and within nearby counties; and WHEREAS, the analysis contained in the County Executive's report titled "Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - May 5, 1997" (which is on file with the County Clerk) shows clearly that disposal capacity is available for the County's Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream into the year 2006 as is summarized on the Exhibit attached. NOW THEREFORE BE IT RESOLVED THAT the Oakland County Board of Commissioners hereby certifies that sufficient disposal capacity exists so that the interim siting mechanism for the siting of additional landfill capacity within the County as contained within the 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update will not become operational until January 1, 1999 or later, such date to be identified in a future certification. Chairperson, on behalf of the Planning and Building Committee, I move the adoption of the foregoing resolution. PLANNING AND BUILDING COMMITTEE DISPOSAL OPPORTUNITIES Apparent Year of Depletion 2003 DISPOSAL NEEDS 4 Millions of Gateyards Oakland County Disposal Capacity Availability - Spring, 1997 Act 451 Non-Hazardous Solid Wastes with 1997 Volume Reduction Rates Held Constant Year of Depletion using all remaining In-county capacity 2006 1.n 1997 CERTIFICATION TARGET DATE JANUARY 1, 2003 t I I I I I I I I I I I I I i 1 1nnn 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Year Ending on December 31, °Mend County Sold Waste Planning 97GYDREG WK4 RJS, PE 04/29/97 1990 SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT PLAN UPDATE As Amended On June 9, 1994 Oakland County, Michigan Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity May 5, 1997 L. Brooks Patterson, County Executive Notes: This document was presented for explanation and comment to the Oakland County Board of Commissiattg Planning:otOOtilbing , ._. Committee at its meeting of Mr497. Thé*companying resolution and exhibit were approil'ti L• — and both were forwarded to the fulJB o::,-4:f04-:. The "(;-,:-ifictO:ripfAvailable Disposal Capacity" Resolutidri wit, its ,'- ltrgi(eWbitcwas adopted by the Oakland ColladolAgCorrri,ioners by a - roll call Yi901 The final Rekibtiorta"rd its accompanying exhibit are reprinted 1:"Osite. Oakland County Board of Commissioners Miscellaneous Resolution # , 1997 CERTIFICATION OF AVAILABLE DISPOSAL CAPACITY ACT 451 NON-HAZARDOUS SOLID WASTES' SPRING, 19977 WHEREAS, Oakland County's 1994 AmendmentLthe.:1990 Solid Waste ManageMent Plan Update require that annually, on or before June 30, the BiWeriion" state and certify available remaining disposal capacity for all Act 451 non-hazardous solid wasteslatiakd within the County; and WHEREAS, a finding that sufficient capacity is available (ricreithah,s66 months beyond June 30) equates to a moratorium during the following year on . the_use of the ititerirti:liting mechanism contained in the 1994 Amendments for the siting of additional landfill capacity in the Cciiirity;.'and WHEREAS, Act 451 as amended, cop`Cludes thatfaililireAD adopt a required annual certification is equivalent to a finding that less than a sufficient amount eca'p'acitos-?available and the interim siting mechanism will then be operative on thefirrst day of the followAlapiary; and WHEREAS, a review has beenfconducted of the current and projected Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream generated within the Callity, the ,Current volume reduction efforts being achieved by the County's residents and businesses, current intt-county flow arrangements and of available remaining disposal capacity both withinhe 'County and*:ithinpearby counties; and -7; V,HEREAS, the;klättsig_''containedrrilitaiCounty Executive's report titled "Demonstration of Available:1%0'60f Capacity Ma 1997" (which is on file with the County Clerk) shows clearly that disposal dapacitwisavailable1orAlp *cgrity's Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream into the year 2006 as is Iv! summarizemorutbeItYbibit attaC"' - THEFf, here/ certifies that s additional landfill capat ,Aste Management PIZ td be identified in a futurece IT RESOLVED THAT the Oakland County Board of Commissioners osal capacity exists so that the interim siting mechanism for the siting of in the County as contained within the 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Nate will not become operational until January 1, 1999 or later, such date to rtification. Planning and Building Committee: , 1997, Ayes, Nays Board of Commissioners: , 1997, Ayes, Nays Oakland County Disposal Capacity Availability - Spring, 1997 Act 451 Non-Hazardous Solid Wastes with 1997 Volume Reduction Rates Held Constant DISPOSAL OPPORTUNITIES Apparent Year of Depletion 2003 Year of Depletion using all remaining in-county capacity 2006 Millions of Gateyards DISPOSAL NEEDS 1997 CERTIFICATION TARGET DATE JANUARY 1, 2003 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Year Ending on December 31, 97GYDREG.WK4 RJS, PE 04/29/97 Oakland County Solid Waste Planning 1990 SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT PLAN UPDATE As Amended On June 9, 1994 Oakland County, Michigan Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity May 5, 1997 L. Brooks Patterson, County Executive Mixed Wastes Pelumables Special Wastes 1114141b it.mr Incineration or WTE Special Wastes Landfill Sanitary 1 I Ash Landfill I I Monofill H. Waste Disposal Markets Conserve Resources Recovered Materials Markets - Utility Grid - Gas, Steam & Electricity Use of Non- Renewable Resources Other Uses I Manufacture of New Products Source Reduction Consumer or Solid Waste Generator Careful Purchasing Decisions Solid Waste Generation, Collection, Handing, Processing and Disposal It's a Complex and Continuous Process . . . Careful Purchasing Decisions Waste Minimization Source & Reuse Separation Consumer or Solid Waste Generator Generally Act 461 ... Part 115 4--re Part 111 Yard Wastes Compost Sites Collection Systems Transfer Of Direct Haul Processing Facilities MRF Special Processing Facilities Mixed-Waste MlF I Household I Hazardous Wastes HHW Processing Facility I Hazardous Wastes Transfer or Direct Haul Volume Reduction Disposal Facilities Methane Recovery Leachate Treatment Minimize Impacts Problem: Disposal facilities use valuable land and cause health and environmental concerns because of gaseous, particulate and liquid emissions. Basic Approach: Reduce the rate at which waste is generated and maximize the recovery of materials and energy to minimize the need tor additional disposal facilities to minimize their impact. Issue: What roles should Oakland County and its 61 cities, villages and townships play? Solid Waite Planning RJS, P.E. - May 6.1996 Oceriand Canty. trachIGal Executive Summary Executive Summary Oakland County's 1994 Amendments to its 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update and Act 451 of 1994 each require that the County annually demonstrate, on or before June 30, available remaining disposal capacity for the County's Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream. Should the demonstration show less than 66 months of available capacity measured from June 30, the interim siting mechanism contained in the 1994 Amendments for the siting of new disposal capacity would go into operation on the following January 1. Should a siting proposal be received which met all predefined criteria, its approval would be nearly automatic. If more than 66 months is demonstrated, all proposals for additional disposal capacity can be rejected through the following year. The County's Act 451 waste stream has been analyzed to determine both its magnitude and the volume reduction levels currently being achieved by the generators of each category of wastes. The resultant disposal needs have been projected into the future to account for estimated employment and population growth. Similar projections of the waste stream for contiguous counties were made. All projections were then measured against currently approved disposal capacity so that its continued availability over time could be calculated. Act 451 provides that wastes generated in one Michigan county may not be disposed of in another county unless such arrangements are recognized in the Solid Waste Management Plans of both counties. The 1994 Oakland County Plan Amendments provided for a schedule of intercounty flows to meet these requirements and to reflect current free market realities. However, a Wayne County Circuit Court ruling on Wayne County's Solid Waste Management Plan impacted upon the amount of such flows the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality would allow Oakland County to use in its annual demonstration of available capacity. At the same time, a related consent judgement had the effect of allowing the flows to continue between the two counties without restriction as to annual limits. Although not reflecting the real world situation, this document assumes zero intercounty flows between the two counties so as to reflect an extremely conservative viewpoint as to disposal capacity availability. Wayne County is in the process of amending its plan and the amendment is to contain corrections to this problem. This analysis does not address the loss of disposal capacity caused by the unplanned and unwanted imports from out-of-state and out-of-country waste sources. It does however recognize such imports as they were reported for 1995-96 and assumes that they will continue at that same constant level into the future. Pending national legislation on this issue may allow some modicum of future control and thus extend the time that current landfill capacity will suffice for Michigan's disposal needs. Based upon the findings contained in this report, Oakland County has access to sufficient disposal capacity (at in-county facilities and through permissive inter-county flow arrangements with other nearby counties) to sometime during the year 2006. Therefore, Requests for a Determination of Consistency for landfill facilities through Oakland County's Interim Siting Mechanism (as adopted by the Board of Commissioners on June 9, 1994) will not be received prior to the end of 1998. With resolution of the current inter-county flow problem, such Requests need not be received for some time to come. Subsequent annual or interim period demonstrations may alter these findings. Executive Summary - Page i Contents Table of Contents Chapter Title Notes Board of Commissioners Resolution Executive Summary Table of Contents List of Exhibits 1 Employment and Population - Estimates and Projections 2 Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates 3 Disposal Facility Inventory and Inter-County Flows 4 Inter-state and Inter-country Waste Flows 5 Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity Appendix Selected portions of the 1994 Plan Update Amendments - Certification of Available Disposal Capacity Selected Portions of Act 451 (P.A. of 1994 as Amended) What If...? List of References Chapter and Paae Exhibit List of Exhibits List of Exhibits It's a Complex and Continuous Process... 1.0 Calculating Oakland County's Solid Waste Disposal Requirements 1.2 SEMCOG's 2020 Regional Development Forecast • 2.4 Projected Disposal Needs, Baseline VR - 1990 to 2005 2.5 Projected Disposal Needs, Aggressive VR - 1990 to 2005 2.6 Details of 1997 Volume Reduction Achievement Levels 3.2 Lower Michigan's Disposal Facilities 3.4 Disposal Facilities in Southeastern Michigan 3.5 Southeast Michigan's Landfills - March, 1997 3.6 Upper Michigan's Disposal Facilities 3.7 Regional Operating Capacity 3.8 Oakland County's Disposal Capacity Opportunities 5.2 Oakland County - Disposal Capacity Availability - Spring, 1997 WI.2 What If? Oakland County's Act 451 Disposal Capacity Availability 3 a) ta C co 2 133 CO To 2 Note: The SOCIA incinerator closed in mid-1988. NET ESTIMATED LANDFILL NEEDS 2000 2005 0 1_11111111111i 1985 1990 1995 Year Ending on December 31, Waste generation calculations based on SEMCOG's 2/96 Recommended RDF Calculating Oakland County's Solid Waste Disposal Requirements ( With 1997 Volume Reduction (VR) Efforts Held Constant ) • 1 - Needs without VR •2 - Less COD & ISW VR * 3 - Less MSW VR • 4 - Less Impact of YVV Ban e 5 - Less WTE & Incin. 6 - Plus Ash = Net Needs 97RDFREG.WK4 RJS, PE 04/29/97 11:13 Oakland County Solid Waste Planning Chapter 1 - Employment and Population - Estimates and Projection Chapter 1 Employment and Population - Estimates and Projections Oakland County's waste stream estimating technique is principally based on data relating to population, to employment by employment type by place of work, and to waste generation rates on a per capita or per employee basis. Oakland County's 1990 Plan Update and the database contained in the 1994 Plan Update Amendments were based on population and employment estimates and projections previously prepared by the Southeastern Michigan Council of Governments (Regional Development Forecast, Ver 84 and Ver 89 respectively). The waste stream estimates and projections contained in this document were based on SEMCOG's Recommended 2020 Regional Development Forecast dated February 8, 1996 as approved by the Executive Committee and General Assembly in March, 1996. The population and employment information contained therein is displayed on the exhibits following. Oakland County's Population History Year Source Population Change % Change 1840 Census 23,646 1850 ,, 31,270 7,624 32.24% 1860 .. 38,261 6,991 22.26% 1870 ,, 40,867 2,606 6.81% 1880 „ 41,537 670 1.64% 1890 ,, 41,245 (292) 4170% 1900 n 44,792 3,547 8.60% 1910 i. 49,576 4,784 1068% 1920 " 90,050 40,474 81 .64% 1930 ,. 211,251 121,201 13459% 1940 n 254,068 42,817 20.27% 1950 " 396,001 141,933 55.86% II 1960 690,603 294,602 74.39% 1970 " 907,871 . 217,268 31.46% ., 1980 1,011,793 103,922 1145% 1990 ,, 1,083,592 71,799 7.10% 2000 Projected t 192,164 108,572 10.02% 2010 „ 1,272,192 80,028 671% 2020 ,, 1,359g46 87,654 6.89% Future projections are based upon SEMCOG's Recommended 2020 Regional Development Forecast dated 2-8-96. Chapter 1 - Page 1 SEMCOG's 2020 Regional Development Forecast Recommended Forecast - February 8, 1996 OaMend County Sold Waste Mannino 96RDFRE0IWK4 030557 13:37 Population Change, % Change 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 1995 to 2020 1995 to 2020 SEMCOG 4,590,465 4,735,738 4,804,389 4,877,433 4,962,603 5,067,093 5,162,405 426,667 9.01% Livingston 115,645 135,558 154,061 170,853 187,725 204,875 219,674 84,116 62.05% Macomb 717,400 754,494 775,875 802,349 832,477 860,899 884,222 129,728 17.19% Monroe 133,600 141,449 146,701 150,732 154,867 160,160 164,788 23,339 16.50% Oakland 1,083,592 1,150,872 1,192,164 1,232,182 1,272,192 1,318,997 1,359,846 208,974 18.16% St. Clair 145,607 158,921 167,478 175,050 182,766 191,525 199,160 40,239 25.32% Washtenaw 282,934 300,489 313,130 325,599 340,274 357,443 373,362 72,873 24.25% Wayne 2,111,687 2,093,955 2,054,980 2,020,668 1,992,302 1,973,194 1,961,353 (132,602) -6.33% Wayne (pt) 1,083,708 1,101,664 1,102,957 1104716 1,107,957 1,114,546 1,124,059 22,395 2.03% Detroit 1,027,979 992,291 952,023 915,952 884,345 858,648 837,294 (154,997) -15.62% Total Employment by Place of Work Change, % Change 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 1995 to 2020 1995 to 2020 SEMCOG 2,350,238 2,477,024 2,615,187 2,724,994 2,776,724 2,775,235 2,773,688 296,664 11.98% Livingston 39,296 46,700 55,139 63,355 69,376 70,887 71,925 25,225 54.01% Macomb 333,723 361,350 386,158 403,706 410,574 409,647 407,633 46,283 12.81% Monroe 50,364 55,541 60,702 64,574 66,501 66,807 67,155 11,614 20.91% Oakland 681,037 745,309 806,126 856,189 883,393 885,258 887,826 142,517 19.12% St. Clair 55,730 60,556 64,654 69,393 72,462 73,476 74,398 13,842 22.86% Washtenaw 213,895 228,331 242,770 252,759 258,184 258,962 260,270 31,939 13.99% Wayne 976,193 979,237 999,638 1,015,018 1,016,234 1,010,198 1,004,481 25,244 2.58% Wayne (pt) 563,703 595,521 630,759 657,675 668,028 668,453 667,129 71,608 12.02% Detroit 412,490 383,716 368,879 357,343 348,206 341,745 337,352 (46,364) -12.08% Manufacturing Employment by Place of Work Change, % Change 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 1995 to 2020 1995 to 2020 SEMCOG 486,644 482,591 468,709 467,057 461,633 439,602 415,321 (67,270) -13.94% Livingston 8,186 8,670 9,099 9,742 10,183 9,752 9,232 562 6.48% Macomb 102,751 105,066 102,550 99,809 97,383 92,102 86,266 (18,800) -17.89% Monroe 9,430 10,685 10,866 11,016 10,919 10,397 9,799 (886) -8.29% Oakland 116,987 119,339 116,201 120,613 122,512 117,948 113,296 (6,043) -5.06% St. Clair 10,565 11,044 11,270 11,502 11,449 10,864 10,226 (818) -7.41% Washtenaw 37,363 33,737 31,697 32,232 32,177 30,727 28,982 (4,755) -14.09% Wayne 201,362 194,050 187,026 182,143 177,010 167,812 157,520 (36,530) -18.83% Wayne (pt) 137,991 138,349 136,431 133,910 130,630 123,791 116,119 (22,230) -16.07% Detroit 63,371 55,701 50,595 48,233 46,380 44,021 41,401 (14,300) -25.67% Notes: Employment measures number of jobs, both full-time and part-time - not the number of employed persons or the number of FTEs (Full Time Equivalents). Construction jobs and military are not included in RDF employment. Previous RDFs included construction jobs. However, the large majority of construction jobs are mobile, moving from job-site to job-site. Perhaps only 10% hold stationary positions at the offices or shops of construction companies. Having no specific way to differentiate between the two for future transportation planning purposes, a decision was made by SEMCOG at the policy level to not include either in the 2020 RDF projections. Manufacturing employment measures the number of jobs within the SIC Code manufacturing categories. It is not a measurement of the number of "factory workers" nor does it relate to land use. In many instances, all such employment may be pure office type work in the headquarters of "manufacturing" companies. In others, it may represent employment within research facilities or in a factory environment only. 1 . 2 Chapter 2 - Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates Chapter 2 Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates The Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream is comprised of several major components as shown below. Waste Cateaory Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Single family residential Multi-family residential Commercial Industrial MSW Total Construction and Demolition Debris (COD) Industrial Special Waste (ISW) Act 451 Total Waste Type Type II Type II Type II Type II Type II Type III Type III All The industrial component of MSW (generally comprised of industrial housekeeping wastes such as packaging, pallets, cafeteria and washroom wastes, and office wastes) is exclusive of industrial process wastes (such as foundry sands, coal or wood ash, wastewater treatment sludges, and sediments from wood processing or paper manufacturing which are described as ISW). This distinction is important because industrial MSW is classified as a Type II waste which must be disposed of in Type II landfills. However, Type III wastes, generally less intrusive in nature than Type II wastes and therefore capable of being disposed of in the lower standard Type III landfills, can also be disposed of in Michigan's Type II landfills. The waste generation rates contained in the May, 1996 Demonstration of Available Capacity report (and discussed in considerable detail in that document) continue to be used to estimate and project the waste stream into the future without modification. Volume Reduction Achievement Levels: Previous Demonstrations of Available Capacity were based on a 15% volume reduction (VR) achievement level across all solid waste categories for 1995 plus adjustments for Michigan's yard waste ban which became fully operational on March 28, 1995. The 15% assumption for 1995 continues to be utilized across all waste stream categories in this baseline analysis except for the residential categories. In this latter instance, the excellent database maintained by the Southeastern Oakland County Resource Recovery Authority (SOCRRA) has provided a clear examination of residential VR successes. SOCRRA is a solid waste authority owned by 14 of the County's 61 municipalities and the residential waste stream from these municipalities represents 28% of the County's total. Analysis of the 1995-96 data shows that once yard wastes are subtracted from total wastes handled, recovered recyclable materials represent in excess of 12% of the remainder. Two external factors had to be taken into account during this analysis which resulted in a distortion of SOCRRA's baseline data. First was the newspaper strike during this period which suppressed the amount of materials normally recovered and second was the extensive scavaging of newspaper during that period when prices were high for the recovered material. Chapter 2 - Page 1 Apparent Actual VR Level VR Level 21.24% 20.17% 2.30% 1.69% 15.00% 13.88% 15.00% 13.88% 22.13% 20.55% Chapter 2 - Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates Both of these dramatically reduced the amount of material delivered to SOCRRA's facilities although material was recovered through scavaging. SOCRRA's data further shows that yard wastes have sharply declined in annual volume because of successful lawn mulching and home composting programs and because of the outright municipal bans on the collection of grass clippings in some instances. County wide, yard wastes are projected at 18.52% of the residential waste stream prior to source reduction and composting efforts. This varies from 25% in dense urban single family areas, 5% in rural single family areas, 2% for urban multi-family projects to 0% in rural multiple family areas. Within the commercial MSW waste category, yard wastes were projected at 2% of the waste stream. Once the entire waste stream without volume reduction efforts has been projected, yard wastes at their original generation levels are subtracted and then recycling reductions are then made to determine disposal needs. This approach produced the following volume reduction achievement levels for 1997. In concert with Act 451, this VR level is maintained constant into the future for the purposes of demonstrating capacity availability. Volume Reduction Achievement Levels Waste Cateaory Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Incineration of MSW Construction and Demolition Debris (CDD) Industrial Special Waste (ISW) Act 451 Total The difference between "Apparent" and "Actual" VR levels represents the addition of process residues back into the disposal category. Process residues include non-recoverable material from the material recovery facilities (MRFs), non-compostable material from compost operations, and ash from incineration and waste-to-energy facilities. Shown from a different perspective, the 1997 waste stream would appear as below. Oakland County's 1997 Disposal Needs All Act 451 Wastes less Yard Wastes less Recyclables less Waste-to-Energy plus process residues Total disposables Tons / Day 5,093.30 (409.00) (620.49) (97.75) 80.51 4,046.56 VR Level (8.03%) (12.18%) (1.92%) 1.58% (20.55%) A More Aaaressive Viewpoint: Although a great deal is known about the residential waste stream in terms of VR achievements, little is known about the commercial and industrial MSW categories or the CDD and ISW waste stream categories. This generally occurs since governmental programs do not focus on these waste streams and such information is generally considered proprietary in nature by those who do service these sectors. The 1994 Keep America Beautiful report titled "The Role of Recycling in Integrated Solid Waste Chapter 2 - Page 2 Chapter 2 - Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates Management to the Year 2000" as prepared by Franklin Associates, Ltd. indicated that the non-residential portion of the MSW waste stream can be attributed with recycling rates (not considering yard wastes) of slightly more than 30% on a national basis. The volume reduction efforts previously described were based upon a 15% achievement level for all waste categories except residential. Most will agree that such an assumption is conservatively safe, but a more aggressive assumption may be appropriate for examining consequences. For that purpose, a second waste stream projection was prepared assigning a 30% recovery level to both the commercial and industrial MSW streams. This second viewpoint, allows "What If...?" questions to be analyzed - see Appendix. This approach resulted in the changes shown below. Volume Reduction Achievement Levels - Aaaressive Apparent VR Level Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Incineration of MSW Construction and Demolition Debris (CDD) Industrial Special Waste (ISW) Act 451 Total 28.79% Waste Cateaory 29.20% 2.30% 15.00% 15.00% Actual VR Level 27.74% 1.69% 13.88% 13.88% 26.88% Oakland County's 1997 Disposal Needs - Aaaressive VR Levels All Act 451 Wastes less Yard Wastes less Recyclables less Waste-to-Energy plus process residues Total disposables Tons / Day 5,093.30 (409.00) (959.77) (97.75) 97.47 3,724.25 VR Level (8.03%) (18.84%) (1.92%) 1.91% (26.88%) Application of the volume reductions achievement levels previously described produces the disposal needs shown in the exhibits following. Exhibit 2.4 displays details of the baseline waste stream from 1990 through 2005. Exhibit 2.5 displays similar material should the "Aggressive" volume reduction scenario described above come to fruition. Exhibit 2.6 shows details of the 1997 volume reduction assumptions by individual waste stream category and the final exhibit (presented at the beginning of Chapter 1) provides a graphic of Oakland County's disposal requirements since 1985. This last exhibit illustrates the volume reductions previously achieved by the Southeast Oakland County Incinerator Authority (SOCIA) facility until its closure in mid 1988. This facility had a design capacity of 600 tons of municipal solid waste per day, displayed in this exhibit at 85% operating capacity or 510 tons per day. Chapter 2 - Page 3 20.33% 3,353.87 (97.75) 3,256.12 5.65% 3,758.03 (97.75) 3,660.28 0.00% 3,864.27 (97.75) 3,766.52 2.82% 3,812.94 (97.75) 3,715.19 8.47% 3,700.16 (97.75) 3,602.41 13.47% 3,549.52 (97.75) 3,451.77 21.07% 3,643.96 (97.75) 3,54621 21.12% 3,540.17 (97.75) 3,442.42 21.18% 3,432 00 (97.75) 3,334.25 21.14% 3,505.61 (97.75) 3,407.86 21.21% 3,392.94 (97.75) 3,295.19 21.24% 3,353.88 (97.75) 3,256.13 21.09% 3,609.35 (97.75) 3,511.60 21.11% 3,574.75 (97.75) 3,477.00 21.16% 3,471.06 (97.75) 3,373.31 18.25% 3,402.36 (97.75) 3,304.61 1833 24.48 4.99 4.43 25.90 78.13 2062. 25.05 5.10 4.27 2590 80.94 20.45 24.76 5 04 4.35 25.90 80.51 20.96 25.61 5.20 4.10 25.90 81.79 2079. 25.33 5.15 4.19 25.90 81.36 21.27 26.13 5 30 417 25.90 82.77 21.12 25.87 5.25 4.14 25.90 82.28 21.43 26 39 5.35 4.20 25.90 83.26 21.58 2665 5.39 4.23 25.90 83.75 21/3 26.91 5.44 4.26 25.90 84.24 Daman, Volume Reduction Achievement Levels Oakland County prolected Disoosal Needs - 1990 Generation Rates & 1997 Volume Reduction Efforts Held Constant 97RDFFtE0 V.K4 9663131 1003 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Population 8 Employment Stets Population 1,083,592 1,097,048 1,110,504 1,123,960 1,137,416 1,150,872 1,159,130 1,167,389 1,175,647 1,183,906 1,192,164 1,200,168 1,208,171 1,216,175 1,224,178 1,232,182 Tetra Bnployment 681,037 693,891 706,746 719,600 732,455 745,309 757,472 769,636 781,799 793,963 806,126 816,139 826,151 836,164 846,176 856,169 Manufacturing Employment 116,987 117,457 117,928 118,398 118,669 119,339 118,711 118,084 117,456 116,829 116.201 117,083 117,966 118,848 119,731 120,613 WasicartemullUtoll Munidpal Sold Waste (MSW) Residential 1,852.94 1,875.95 1,898.96 1,921.97 1,944.98 1,967.99 1,982.11 1,996.23 2,010.36 2,024.48 2,038.60 2,052.29 2,065.97 2,079.66 2,093.35 2,10703 Commode, 1,688.91 1,728.22 1,767.52 1,806.83 1,846.13 1,885.44 1,925.10 1,964.77 2,004.43 2,044.09 2,083.76 2,110.77 2,137.78 2.164.79 2,191.60 2,218.81 industrial 322.42 319.60 316.79 313.97 311.16 308.34 302.72 297.09 291.47 285.84 280.22 282.35 284.47 286.60 28873 290.86 Total MSW 3,864.27 3,923.77 3,983.27 4,042.71 4,102.27 4,161.77 4,209.93 4,258.09 4,306.25 4,354.42 4,402.58 4,445.40 4,488.23 4,531.05 4,573.87 4,616.70 Si / capita / day (MSW only) 7.132 7.153 7.174 7.194 7.213 7.232 7.264 7.295 7.326 7.356 7.386 7.408 7.430 7.451 7.473 7.494 COOSt. & Demo. Debris (CDO) 408.51 414.60 420.69 426.78 432.88 438.97 443.69 448.42 453.15 457.88 462.60 466.77 47005 475.12 479.29 483.46 Ind. Special Wastes (ISW) 419.75 416.08 412.42 408.76 405.09 401.43 394.10 386.78 379.46 372.14 364.81 367.58 370.35 373.12 375.89 378.66 Total Waste Slream wo VR 4,692.53 4,754.46 4,816.38 4,878.31 4,940.24 5,002.16 5,047.73 5,093.30 5,138.86 5,184.43 5,229.99 5,279.76 5,329.53 5.379.29 5,429.06 5,478.82 # / capita / day (total Act 451) 8.661 8.668 8.674 8.681 8.687 8.693 8.710 8.726 8.742 8.758 8.774 8.798 8.822 8.846 8.870 8893 Total MSW with VR (tod) MSW % reductions MSW w VR Less Incineration Net MSW COO % reductions COD w VR 0.00% 3.00% 6.00% 9.00% 12.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 408.51 401,43 394.36 387.28 380.20 373.12 377.14 381.16 385.18 389.20 393.21 396.76 400.30 403.85 407.39 410.94 ISW % reductions 0.00% 3.00% 6.00% 9.00% 12.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% ISW w VR 419.75 404.04 388.33 372.63 356.92 341.21 334.99 328.76 322.54 316.32 310.09 312.45 314.80 317.16 319.51 321.86 Total Waste Stream w VR 4,594.78 4,520.67 4,442.97 4,362.32 4,188.89 4,018.95 3,968.25 3,966.05 4,002.91 4,039.76 4,076.61 4,117.06 4,157.53 4,198.01 4,238.50 4,279.01 Apparent VR Achievement Level 2.08% 4.92% 7.75% 10.58% 15.21% 19.66% 21.39% 22.13% 22.11% 22.08% 22.05% 22.02% 21.99% 21.96% 21.93% 2100% Process Residues Composting 0.00 0.98 1.99 3.03 8.56 13.78 Recycling 0.00 4.84 9.68 14.51 19.35 24.19 COD 0.00 0.99 1.98 2.96 3.95 4.94 ISW 0.00 0.90 1.81 2.71 361 4.52 Incinerator Ash 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 Sub-total, Process Residues 25.90 33.61 41.35 49.12 61.38 73.33 Total Disposal Needs 4,620.68 4,554.28 4,484.32 4,411.44 4,250.27 4,092.27 4,046.38 4,046.56 4,083.84 4,121.12 4,158 40 4,199.34 4,24030 4.281.27 4.322.25 4,363.25 Actual VR Achievement Level (not including incineration) 1.53% 4.21% 6.89% 9.57% 13.97% 18.19% 19.94% 20.55% 20.53% 20.51% 20.49% 20.46% 20.44% 20.41% 20.39% 20.36% -0.00% 2.70% 5.40% 8.10% 12.51% 16.75% 18.41% 19.14% 19.13% 19.12% 19.12% 19.10% 19.09% 19.08% 19.06% 19.05% 97 Demo - Amual Bankvards MSW 2,062,170 2,037,253 2,010,391 1,981,927 1,905,128 1,930,064 1,806,160 1,807,484 1,829,118 1,850,752 1,872,386 1,891,529 1,910,679 1,929,838 1,949,004 1.968,178 Ash 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9455 Sub-total, Type II 2,071,624 2,046,708 2,019,846 1,991,362 1,914,582 1,839,519 1,815,615 1,816,939 1,836,573 1,860,207 1,881,841 1,900,983 1,920,134 1,939,293 1,958,459 1,977,633 COD 149,107 146,884 144,661 142,438 140,215 137,992 139,478 140,964 142,450 143,936 145,423 146,734 148,045 149,356 150,667 151,978 ISW 175,095 168,920 162,745 156,569 150,394 144,218 141,587 138,957 136,326 133,695 131,064 132,060 133,055 134,050 135,045 136,041 Sit-total. Type III 324,202 315,804 307,405 299,007 290 608 282,210 281,065 279,921 278=776 277131 276,487 278,793 281,100 283,406 285,712 288.019 Grand Total 2,395,827 2,362,511 2,327,251 2,296,388 2,205,191 2,121,29 2,0967680 2,096,860 2,1177349 2,137,838 2,158327 2,179.777 2,201234 2,222.699 2,244,171 2,265,652 97 Demo - Annual Gatevardt MSW 4,124,339 4,074,506 4,020,782 3,963,853 3,810,255 3,660,129 3,612,320 3,614,969 3,658,236 3,701,504 3,744,771 3,783,057 3,821,359 3.859,676 3,898,008 3,936,357 Ash 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 Sit-total, Type II 4,133,794 4,083,961 4,030,237 3,973,308 3,819,710 3,669,583 3621 .775 3,624,424 3,667,691 3,710,959 3,754.226 3,792,512 3,830,814 3869,131 3,907,463 3,945,811 COO 298,213 293,767 289,321 284,875 280,429 275,983 278,956 281,928 284,900 287,873 290,845 293,467 296,089 298.712 301,334 303,956 ISW 175,095 168.920 162,745 156,569 150,394 144,218 141,587 138,957 136,326 133,695 131,064 132,060 133,055 134,050 135,045 136,041 Sit-total, Type III 473,309 462,687 452,066 441,445 430,823 420,202 420_143 420,885 421,226 421,568 421,909 425,527 429,144 432,762 436,379 439,997 Grand Total 4,607,103 4,546,648 4,482,303 4,414,753 4,250533 4,069,785 4,042-318 4,045308 4188,917 4,132,526 4,176,136 4,218,039 4,259.958 4.30192 4,343,842 4,385,606 Ackiressive Voltam ReducUon Achievement Levels Protected Disposal Needs • 1990 Generation Rates & 1997 Volume Reduction Efforts Held Constant 97ROFREG 1M(4 05n96197 10:04 Oakland County 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Population & Employment Slats Population 1,083,592 1,097,048 1,110,504 1,123,960 1,137,416 1,150,872 1,159,130 1,167,389 1,175,647 1,183,906 1,192,164 1,200,168 1,208,171 1,216175 1,224,178 1,232,182 Total Employment 681,037 693.891 706,746 719,600 732,455 745,309 757,472 769,636 781,799 793,963 806,126 818,139 826,151 836,164 846,176 856,189 Manufacturing Employment 116,987 117,457 117,928 118,398 118,869 119,339 118,711 118,084 117,456 116,829 116,201 117.083 117,966 118,848 119,731 120,613 Waste Stream as VR (tDcl) Munidpal Sold Waste (MSW) Residential 1,852.94 1,875.95 1,898.96 1,921.97 1,944.98 1,967.99 1,982.11 1,996.23 2,010.36 2024.48 2,038.60 2,052.29 2,065.97 2,079.66 2,093.35 2,107.03 Commercial 1,68891 1,728.22 1,767.52 1,806.83 1,846.13 1,885.44 1,925.10 1,964.77 2,004.43 2,044.09 2,083.76 2,110.77 2,137.78 2,164.79 2,191.80 2,218.81 Industrial 322.42 319.60 316.79 313.97 311.16 308.34 302.72 297.09 291.47 285.84 280.22 282.35 284.47 286.60 288.73 290.86 Total MSW 3,864.27 3,923.77 3,983.27 4,042.77 4,102.27 4,161.77 4,209.93 4,258.09 4,306.25 4,354.42 4,402.58 4,445.40 4,488.23 4,531.05 4,573.87 4,616.70 a / capita / day (MSW only) 7.132 7.153 7.174 7.194 7.213 7.232 7.264 7.295 7.326 7.356 7.386 7.408 7.430 7.451 7.473 7.494 Coast. & Demo. Debris (COD) 408.51 414.60 420.69 426.78 432.88 438.97 443.69 448.42 453.15 457.88 462.60 46977 470.95 475.12 479.29 483.46 Ind. Special Wastes (ISW) 419.75 416.08 412.42 408.76 405.09 401.43 394.10 386.78 379.46 372.14 364.81 367.58 370.35 373.12 375.89 378.66 Total Waste Stream wo VR 4,69253 4,754.46 4,816.38 4,878.31 4,940.24 5,00216 5,047.73 5,093.30 5,138.86 5,184.43 5,229.99 5,279.76 5,329.53 5,379.29 5,429.06 5,478.82 ft /capita / day (total Act 451) 8661 8.668 8.674 8.681 8.687 8.693 8.710 8.726 8.742 8.758 8.774 8.798 8 822 8.846 8.870 8.893 Total MSW With VR (tDcg MSW % reductions 0.00% 3.55% 7.11% 10.65% 16.38% 21.89% 26.13% 29.20% 29.21% 29.21% 29.21% 29.22% 29.22% 29.22% 29.22% 29.22% MSW w VR 3,864.27 3,784.64 3,699.94 3,612.16 3,430.13 3,250.56 3,109.68 3,014.60 3,048.55 3,082.51 3,116.46 3,146.67 3,176.89 3,207.10 3,237.30 3,267.51 Less Incineration (97.75) (9775) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) (97.75) Net MSW 3,766.52 3986.89 3,602.19 3,514.41 3,332.38 3,152.81 3,011.93 2,916.85 2,950.80 2,984.76 3,018.71 3,048.92 3,079 14 3,109.35 3,139.55 3,169.76 COD % reductions 0.00% 3.00% 6.00% 9.00% 12.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% COD w VR 408.51 401.43 394.36 387.28 380.20 373.12 377.14 381.16 385.18 389.20 393.21 396.76 400 30 403.85 407.39 410.94 ISW % reductions 0.00% 3.00% 6.00% 9.00% 12.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% ISW w VR 419.75 104.04 388.33 372.83 356.92 341.21 334.99 328.76 322.54 316.32 310.09 312.45 '314.80 317.16 319.51 321.86 Total Waste Stream w VR 4,594.78 4,492.313 4,384.88 4,274.32 4,069.50 3,867.14 3,724.05 3,626.77 3,658.52 3,690.27 3,722.01 3,758.13 3,794.24 3,830.35 3,866.46 3,902.56 Apparent VR AcNevement Level 2.08% 5.51% 8.96% 12.38% 17.63% 22.69% 26.22% 28.79% 28.81% 28.62% 28.83% 28.82% 2881% 213.79% 28.78% 28.77% Process Residues Composting 0.00 0.98 1.99 3.03 8.56 13,78 18.33 20.45 20.62 20.79 20.96 21.12 21.27 21.43 21.58 21.73 RecycIng 0.00 6.36 12.71 19.07 25.43 31.78 36.69 41.72 42.26 42.80 43.34 43.82 44.30 44.78 45.25 45.73 COD 0.00 0.99 1.98 2.96 3.95 4.94 4.99 5.04 5.10 5.15 5.20 5.25 5.30 5.35 5.39 5.44 ISW 0.00 0.90 1.81 2.71 3.61 4.52 4.43 4.35 4.27 4.19 4.10 4.14 4.17 4.20 4.23 4.26 Incinerator Ash 2590 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 2590 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 25.90 Sub-total, Process Residues 2590 35.13 44.39 53.68 67.45 80.92 90.34 97.47 98.16 98.84 . 99.52 100.23 100.94 10195 102.36 103.06 Total Disposal Needs 4,620.68 4,527.49 4,42927 4,328.00 4,136.96 3,948.06 3,814.39 3,724.25 3,756.68 3,789.10 3,821.53 3,85836 3,895.18 3,932.00 3,968.81 4,005.63 Actual VR Achievement Level 1.53% 4.77% 8.04% 11.28% 16.26% 21.07% 24.43% 26.88% 26.90% 26.91% 26.93% 26.92% 26.91% 26.90% 2990% 26.89% (not inducing incineration) -0.00% 3.26% 6.55% 9.81% 14.81% 19.64% 23.01% 25.47% 25.50% 25.53% 25.56% 25.56% 25.57% 25.57% 25.57% 25.58% 97_Demo - Annoal.*6alcA, MSW 2,062,170 2,022,587 1,980,250 1,936,242 1,843,088 1,751,107 1,679,149 1.631,017 1.649,995 1,668,973 1,687,951 1,704,840 1,721,726 1,738,611 1,755,495 1,772.377 Ash 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 Sub-total, Type II 2,071,624 2,032,042 1,989,705 1,945,697 1,852,543 1,760,562 1,688,603 1,640,472 1,659,450 1,678,428 1,697,406 1.714,294 1,731,181 1,748,066 1,764,950 1,781,832 COD 149,107 146,884 144,661 142,438 140,215 137,992 139,478 140,964 142,450 143,936 145,423 146,734 148,045 149,356 150,667 151,978 ISW 175,095 168,920 162,745 156,569 150,394 144,218 141,587 138,957 136,326 133,695 131,064 132,060 133.055 134,050 135,045 136,041 Sub-total, Type III 324,202 315904 307,405 299007 290,608 282,210 281,065 279,921 278,776 277,631 276,487 278,793 2111,100 283,406 285,712 288,019 Grand Total 2,396,827 2,347,946 2,297,110 2,24704 2.143,151 2,042.772 1,969969 1,920,392 1.938,226 1,956,059 1,973,893 1 .993,088 2,012,281 2,031,472 2,050.662 2,069,851 97 Demo - Annual Gateyards MSW 4,121,339 4,045,174 3,960,500 3,872,484 3,686.176 3,502,214 3,358,297 3,262,034 3,299,990 3.337,946 3,375,902 3,409,679 3,443,453 3.477,223 3,510,990 3,544,754 Ash 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 9,455 Sub-total, Type II 4,133,794 4,054.629 3,969,955 3,881,939 3,695,631 3,511,669 3,367,752 3,271,489 3,309,445 3,347,401 3,385,357 3,419,134 3,452,907 3,086,678 3,520,445 3,554,209 COD 298,213 293,767 289,321 284,875 280,429 275,983 278,956 281,928 284,900 287,873 290,845 293,467 296,089 298,712 301,334 303,956 ISW 175,095 168,920 162,745 156,569 150,394 144,218 141,587 138,957 136,326 133,695 131,064 132,060 133,055 134,056 135,045 136,041 SW-total, Type III 473 309 462 687 452 066 441 445 430 823 420 202 420 543 420 885 421 226 421 568 421.909 425 527 429.114 432 762 436 379 439 997 Grand Total 4,, ,103 4, , • 4, 2,i . , , i. • „ . • • . . • (J1 1997 Baseline VR Total Waste Stream, tpd t.) Oakland County. Michigan Details of 1997 Volume Reduction Achievement Levels Apparent Volume Reduction Remaining Process Actual Recycling Yard Wastes Incineration Total Stream, tpd Residues, tpd VR Residential MSW 1,996.23 9.78% 18.52% 28.30% 1,431.30 28.25 26.89% Commercial MSW 1,964.77 13.00% 2.00% 15.00% 1,670.05 14.74 14.25% Industrial MSW 297.09 15.00% 32.90% 47.90% 154.78 28.13 38.43% MSW sub-total 4,258.09 11.63% 9.61% 2.30% 23.53% 3,256.14 71.11 21.86% COD 448.42 15.00% 15.00% 381.16 5.04 13.88% ISW 386.78 15.00% 15.00% 328.77 4.35 13.88% Act 451 Wastes 5,093.30 12.18% 8.03% 1.92% 22.13% 3,966.05 80.51 20.55% Total Waste Apparent Volume Reduction Process Actual 1997 Aggressive VR Stream, tpd Recycling Yard Wastes Incineration Total Stream, tpd Residues, tpd VR Residential MSW 1,996.23 9.78% 18.52% 28.30% 1,431.30 28.25 26.89% Commercial MSW 1,964.77 28.00% 2.00% 30.00% 1,375.34 29.47 28.50% Industrial MSW 297.09 30.00% 32.90% 62.90% 110.21 30.36 52.68% MSW sub-total 4,258.09 19.60% 9.61% 2.30% 31.50% 2,916.85 88.07 29.43% CDD 448.42 15.00% 15.00% 381.16 5.04 13.88% ISW 386.78 15.00% 15.00% 328.76 4.35 13.88% Act 451 Wastes 5,093.30 18.84% 8.03% 1.92% 28.79% 3,626.78 97.47 26.88% Solid Waste Planning 15:21 04/25/97 Chapter 3 - Disposal Facility Inventory and Inter-County Flows Chapter 3 Disposal Facility Inventory and Inter-County Flows Based upon the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality disposal facility database and upon discussions with MDEQ staff and facility owners, a revised inventory of Michigan's disposal facilities (landfills and incinerators and/or waste-to-energy facilities) has been prepared. This is shown in the exhibits following. This information, when coupled with knowledge of remaining permissible disposal capacity, local annual disposal requirements, permissible inter- county flows, and probable inter-county flows, allows long term facility availability to be calculated. As applicable to Oakland County, summary material is shown in the exhibits following the map displays. The exhibit on Page 3.7 shows each of the landfills within the immediate Oakland County area, the estimated remaining capacity (shown in bankyards) as of a date certain and the gateyard operating levels reported to the MDEQ for the pe'riod from October 1, 1995 through September 30, 1996. These factors, when coupled with waste stream projections, allow the estimated remaining lifetime of each facility to be calculated. Such calculations are based on the assumption that each landfill operator achieves a certain density of wastes in the final facility and that the 95-96 reported operating level is maintained on into the future. Once the projected lifetime of each landfill is known, it is then possible to estimate how long Oakland County's export opportunities to a given facility will remain available. It must be noted that opportunities here are defined by the maximum amount of permissible intercounty flows from Oakland County into the subject host county facilities. This information is displayed in the exhibit on Page 3.8. As in the 1996 Demonstration of Available Capacity report, the level of permissive exports to Wayne County' has been maintained at theoretical zero. The Michigan Department of Environmental Quality has previously advised that since the January, 1995 mandated Wayne County Plan Update Amendment was disallowed by a ruling of the Wayne County Circuit Court, none could be counted upon by Oakland County in its annual demonstrations even though such exports are permissible because of a related consent judgement filed in the same Court. Although Oakland County believes that it can be successfully argued that MDEQ's position on this matter is incorrect and that exports to Wayne County in the annual maximum amount of 2 million gateyards are in fact permissible, Oakland County chooses not to make an issue on this at the present time. Three factors lead to this position. First, Wayne County is in the process of amending its plan. Second, even without counting upon these exports, Oakland County can be shown to have available disposal capacity considerably beyond that required for the 1997 Demonstration. Third, exports to Wayne County do in fact occur daily under provisions of the consent judgement. 'The level of permissive exports to Wayne County as shown in Oakland County capacity demonstrations increased from 1 million gateyards per year in the 1994 Plan Update Amendment to 2 million gateyards per year in the 1995 Demonstration documents. This increase was in concert with a formal request from Wayne County to MDNR and the published MDNR mandated amendments to the Wayne County Plan Update. 1 Chapter 3 - Page 1 Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan Lower Michigan's Disposal Facilities O Type II Landfille * Waste-to-Energy & Incinerator Plante • Special PUrpose Landfills (Type Ill) * Hazardous Waste Landfills (Type 1) JS. PE March 1.1907 March, 1997 Proposal Region Boundry. HO-4057 25 50 0 100 Appradmoto Scab In IAN WON 11111111111 %them 3=1111 1111111111111111MMIC 71311ai:0111 I s Mild.1111111111111111 MARIWAIr =In 11111111111111=11 IIIIIIIIIIIIIII BM MIME 1111M2111 Atm IMES _ iTii iiii PRIM a REM Mlchloareo Indnoratons and Warta-to-Enemy Focitao (NOW Warta. OnIy) GOMA (City of MOON Koot County GrCIZDA (Grooms Pbkrtao - Clinton) CWCOA (Caws! Wayne) Jackoon County GIA Truck & Coach (fbrstac) 5Ix 51too Total Wore Co. rat Ca Macomb Ca Wrbao Ca Jackson Ca Oakland Co. 2,50 tone par day 600 600 500 200 115 4.166 tpri Caraipo Capacity Note* Report mope are tweed on Polftical Townships and/or Countiee. Cities and Villagers not ahown Clieplar oho* all landfill, which have remaining and rwarionably wag* Plan draignetad capacity Ale of March 1.1997 Some may not be currently operational 4060 Val Operating Capockw Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan March, 1997 25 AMIliggOlf Fik 1111 col nelf111 11111 I 111111 g4 k Ego Er% Road Peopl e 00111Y-15an 41111111.11 MOWN Om . n°111111111.111111111M I I 11 SEE 1111, r 1--- -#0144STIF 1111 enlce Park 0 C Pleposal 1 • afrIAS70 IICE • 0 row En (7. Hills • nia cow 1111151111111P4 to 4 4 07P--- A - 5IbleY QuarTY Eng rzcsa Migheralie 111Enall, C - MoClouth Steel LavY King Rd- WA" MAIM' IIMEMINe Disposal Facilities 1111 ' Laiellaw reon .ter • Southeastern Michigan 0 6 10 Mks o Type ll Landfills * Waste-to-Energy &Incinerator Plants • Special Purpose Landfills (Type III) * Hazardous Waste Landfills (Type I) RJS. PE March 1.1997 3 . 4 Type II Bankyard Availability Comment Owner Township Co. # County Basic Ash Mono Type III Type I Section Type Cells? Cells? Cells? Landfill Name Whitefeather Landfill ID. E. Kam Plant J. C. Weadock Coal Ash Disposal Granger #2 Landfill Brent Run Landfill Citizens Disposal Cove Landfill Granger #1 Landfill Daggett Sand & Gravel North Lansing Landfill McGill Road Landfill Liberty Environmentalist Pioneer Rock Landfill Adrian Landfill Pine Tree Acres City of Midland Landfill Salzburg Road Sanitary Landfill Vienna Junction Monroe Power Plant Ash Basin J. R. Whiting Plant Jefferson Smurfit Corp. Industrial LF Matlin Road Landfill North Star Steel Company Wayne Disposal - Rockwood Landfill Collier Road Landfill Eagle Valley RDF Wayne Disposal - Oakland SOCRRA Landfill People's Garbage Disposal, Inc. Miller Road Landfill Taymouth Landfill GM Central Foundry - Grey Iron Plant Fort Gratiot Smith Creek Range Road Property Tr-City RDF Venice Park Landfill Arbor Hills West Landfill Only Wayne Disposal Site #2 Carleton Farms Riverview Land Preserve Sauk Trail Hills Woodland Meadows RDF * Taylor Landfill Site City of Livonia LF Site Edward C. Levy - King Road site Edward C. Levy Yes Ford Allen Park Clay Mine Landfill Huron Quarry SLF McClouth Steel Products Corp. Sibley Quarry 5.2 landfills in la counties - 5 Type Its in 11 counties Ill II It II Ill Ill II Yes Yes Ill Ill Ill Ill Ill Ill Ill Ill II II It Ill II - Closed, Not Shown Ill II Yes Ill Ill Ill Ill Ill Ill Ill Whitefeather Development Co. 5.320 Consumers Power Co. Consumers Power Co. Granger Land Development Co. City Management - (+ 32.887) USA Waste Services, Inc. Mitech Services Granger Land Development Co. Daggett Sand & Gravel, Inc. Board of Water & Light Philip Environmental 1.000 Liberty Environmentalist City Management Corp. Allied Waste Industries, Inc. City Management - (+ 14.133) City of Midland Dow Chemical Co. Browning-Ferris Industries 3.000 Detroit Edison Co. Consumers Power Co. Jefferson Smurfit Corp. Regulated Resource Recovery, Inc. North Star Steel Company Wayne Disposal City of Pontiac 1.628 Waste Management 8.142 Wayne Disposal 8.200 SOCRRA 0.060 City Management Corp. 5.680 City Management Corp. 1.320 Tay-Ban Corp. 2.200 General Motors =_closed, S r_pirsigz_1995, St. Clair Solid Waste Agency Detroit Edison Co. Waste Management Waste Management Browning-Ferris Industries Wayne Disposal City Management - (+ 66.144) City of Riverview Wayne Disposal Waste Management Designated site only City of Livonia Edward C. Levy Co. Edward C. Levy Co. Ford Motor Company Central Wayne Co Sanitary Auth. McClouth Steel Products Corp. Detroit Edison Company Available Type II Capacity 360 765 6.500 42.947 Modified 15.250 0.500 Estimated 4.000 1.500 2.417 24.158 Modified 6.000 0.750 Adjusted 6.900 11 130 4.500 35.000 0.000 94.244 Modified 17.400 16.600 23.419 11.000 a Bankyard availability is capacity which was designated prior to 1-1-94 and that designated since Adjustments were made for capacity lost because of premature closures. Data was obtained from a MWIA report dated 3-25-94, from the MDEO permit database Report #4 dated 10-18-95 and from follow-on discussions with MDEQ staff and various facility operators Map_3_97.wk4 Oakland County Solid Waste Planning RJS, P.E 04/18/97 Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan Michigan's Landfills - March. 1997 (Type II capacity expressed in millions of bankyards available on or since 1-1-94, see Special Note #3) Southeastern Michigan 9 Bay Bay Bay 19 Clinton 25 Genesee Genesee 32 Huron 33 Ingham Ingham Ingham 38 Jackson Jackson 44 Lapeer 46 Lenawee 50 Macomb 66 Midland Midland 58 Monroe Monroe Monroe Monroe Monroe Monroe Monroe 63 Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland 73 Saginaw Saginaw Saginaw Saginaw 74 St. Clair St Clair St. Clair 76 Sanilac 78 Shiawassee 81 Washtenaw 82 Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Counties - 22 Counties Total. Pinconning Twp. 2 Hampton Twp. 1 Hampton Twp. 1 Watertown Twp. 29 Montrose Twp. 23 Mundy Twp. 23 Sheridan Twp. 22 Lansing Twp. 3 Lansing Twp. 13 Lansing Twp. 3 Blackman Twp. 24 Liberty Twp. 1 Burnside Twp. 21 Palmyra Twp. 6 Lenox Twp. 23 Midland Twp. 12 Midland Twp. 35 Erie Twp. - 9S, 8E 6 Monroe Twp. 16 Erie Twp. 14 City of Monroe 6 Ash Twp. 8 City of Monroe 6 Berlin Twp. 34 Pontiac Twp. 9 Orion Twp. 27 Pontiac Twp. 2 Rochester Hills 24 Taymouth Twp. 15 James Twp. 1 Taymouth Twp. 15 Buena Vista Twp. 5 Fort Gratiot Twp. 16 Kimball Twp. 32 China Twp. 12 Bridgehampton Twp. 32 Venice Twp. 27 Salem Twp. 13 Van Buren Twp. 17 Sumpter Twp. 36 Riverview 11 Canton Twp. 35 Van Buren Twp. 1 Taylor 33 Livonia 27 Trenton 18 Taylor 34 Allen Park 36 Huron Twp. 36 Gilbrattar 35 Monquagon Twp. 7 14) Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan O Type II Landfills * Waste-to-Energy & Incinerator Plants • Special Purpose Landfills (Type III) * Hazardous Waste Landfills (Type I) 40 ,„„, f John writ 50 15 100 Nog alla 40" ihtt rE 3/1/97 2s Apprc.mate Sae Oleo °mot LAkee rip & FISts Mich Environs S31 Mich Envimm rimm Upper Michigan's Disposal Facilities March, 1997 No...n mitrik‘ , Irmarih; n1111nI MEOW 11) WM1111111111 hi. '4411ININI1111116. f 11171:201111111111Millimallmw i MARE Mr= Alums m ,rammesomeirm- J I MI UMW is1111111111M11111 INIMIE=1111111111111 1.000 1.600 1.600 2.000 1.878 1.878 1.878 1.878 1.878 1.878 1,878 1.878 1.878 1.878 1.878 1.878 1.878 1.878 1.878 0.431 1.872 1.872 1.872 3.524 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 3.658 0.140 0.137 0.133 0.130 0.131 0.133 0.134 0.135 0.137 0.139 0.140 0.142 0.144 0.146 0.148 0.150 0.152 0.154 0.156 0.158 0.160 0.162 0.164 0.166 0.168 0.170 0.172 0.174 0.176 16.092 16.097 17.170 19.263 20.471 20.473 20.474 20.475 21.977 21.979 21.870 20.234 20.236 20.238 17.603 15.234 14.507 14.509 14.511 13.065 12.637 12.639 11.244 10.688 7.922 6.184 6.186 6.188 6.182 Solid Waste Databaso How Much Annual Operating Capacity Will Be Available In the Region? 97GYOREaws4 Oakland County, Michigan (Millions of Gateyards) RJS, PE 04/29/97 Average gtyds/bankyard 1.94 1058 Facility Wayne Eagle Collar Oakland Ikkigston Pioneer Finlike. Rbeiview Woodland Sault Trail Carleton Year Disposal Valley Road New Sit. kbor His County Rock Acres Highlands Meadows Hills Farms With Planned With Planned EPILIMILMMIL New Site New Site? Additional'? Additional? No No Yes Yes 7.177 6.250 1.219 1.748 Bankyarda remaining at 1/1/94 Barnard, remaining at 1/1/96 Annual Average Glateyards, 95-96 0.000 35.000 0.000 2.417 24.158 17.400 23.419 16.600 94.244 3.653 0.385 0.000 3.013 0.000 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 1.878 3.658 1992 0.712 0.716 0.156 0.000 2.955 0.000 0.085 0.832 1.032 2.574 1993 0.712 0.716 0.156 0.000 2.955 0.000 0.085 0.832 1.032 2.574 1994 0.970 2.087 0.156 0.000 2.955 0.000 0.085 0.832 1.032 2.574 1995 0.954 1.583 0.330 0.000 2.955 0.000 0.085 0.832 1.500 2.496 1996 1.219 1.748 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 1997 1.219 1.748 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 1998 1.219 1.748 0.385 3.013 0 085 0.883 1.565 3.891 1999 1.219 1.748 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 2000 1.219 1.748 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 2001 1.219 1.748 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 2002 1.219 1.638 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 2003 1.219 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 2004 1.219 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 2005 1.219 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 3.891 2006 1.219 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 1.448 2007 0.515 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 2008 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 2009 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 2010 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 2011 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 2012 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 2013 0.385 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 2014 0.149 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.565 2015 3.013 0.085 0.883 1.496 2016 1.739 0.085 0.883 2017 0.085 0.883 2018 0.085 0.883 2019 0.085 0.883 2020 0.085 0.883 Facility Laidlaw SRIley Huron Ford Levy steLoutk City of Citizens Laidlaw Wayne Disp. Year Taylor Quarry Quarry Alen Park Taylor Steel Livonia Disposal Lenawee Redmond Special Totals % from Wash & Liu SIMMaLtiott.L. New Faclitr Counties North COD & SW Yea 60% to Jackson Co. Ysar 2000 96 VR Flat 11.000 Bankyards remaining at 1/1/94 0.000 14.000 1.167 1.762 2.330 5.010 0.918 15.250 2.417 22.250 9416kanis reiwaining at 1t1/96 Annual Average Oateyards, 95-96 0.000 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 0.582 0.271 0.034 0.715 0.715 0.715 0.715 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 0.582 1992 0.000 0.400 0.025 0.200 0.400 0.150 0.020 1993 0.000 0.400 0.025 0.200 0.400 0.150 0.020 1994 0.000 0.400 0.025 0.200 0.400 0.150 0.020 1995 0.000 0.400 0.025 0.200 0.400 0.150 0.020 1996 0.000 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 1997 0.000 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 1998 0.000 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 1999 0.000 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 2000 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.366 0.150 0.008 2001 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 2002 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 2003 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 2004 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 2005 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.150 0.008 2006 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.163 0.150 0.008 2007 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2008 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2009 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2010 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2011 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2912 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2013 1.500 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2014 0.340 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2015 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2016 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2017 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2018 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2019 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.150 0.008 2020 0.244 0.025 0.113 0.150 0.008 0,749 0.215 0.749 0.215 0.749 0.215 0.749 0.215 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.271 0.257 0.214 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 0.257 3.7 Note: No new facilities or expansions beyond those plan designations which existed at the time of this report preparation are assumed in this analysis. 97GYDREG.WK4 04/29/97 11:09 RJS, PE Solid Waste Database co Oakland County, Michigan Oakland County's Available Disposal Capacity Opportunities fall values in millions of annual gateyards) Less Total Imports at 20% Oakland Export Maximum of Oakland Available Year In-County Livingston Lapeer Lenawee Macomb Genesee Washtenaw Washtenaw Wayne Opportunities Available Capacity Capacity Primary Secondary 1992 2.728 0.000 0.028 0.250 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.563 7.291 6.745 1993 2.136 0.000 0.028 0.250 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.563 6.699 6.272 1994 3.213 0.000 0.028 0.250 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.563 7.776 7.133 1995 2.867 0.000 0.028 0.250 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.563 7.430 6.857 1996 3.352 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.404 7.756 7.085 1997 3.352 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.403 7.756 7.085 1998 3.352 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 5.756 5.085 1999 3.352 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 5.756 5.085 2000 3.352 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 5.756 5.085 2001 3.352 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 5.756 5.085 2002 3.242 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 5.646 4.997 2003 1.604 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 4.008 3.687 2004 1.604 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 4.008 3.687 2005 1.604 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 4.008 3.687 2006 1.604 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.403 4.008 3.687 2007 0.900 0.000 0.028 0.071 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.384 3.285 3.105 2008 0.385 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.699 2.621 2009 0.385 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.699 2.621 2010 0.385 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.699 2.621 2011 0.385 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.699 2.621 2012 0.385 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.699 2.621 2013 0.385 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.699 2.621 2014 0.149 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.462 2.432 2015 0.000 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.313 2.313 2016 0.000 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.313 2.313 2.313 2017 0.000 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.563 0.563 0.563 2018 0.000 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.563 0.563 0.563 2019 0.000 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.563 0.563 0.563 2020 0.000 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.510 0.025 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.563 0.563 0.563 Chapter 4 - Inter-State and Inter-Country Flows Chapter 4 Inter-state and Inter-country Waste Flows In the June 1, 1992 Fort Gratiot decision, the US Supreme Court determined that Michigan counties could not bar the import of out-of-state wastes by simple provisions contained in their planning documents. If there is a willing landfill operator, such wastes can flow unhindered. Since that time, a considerable amount of out-of-state wastes beyond that planned for in the 83 county solid waste management plans has been disposed of in Michigan. This is a problem of major concern to all. A report released by the Michigan Waste Industries Association in March of 1994 indicated that in 1993, approximately 962,000 tons of out-of-state wastes were imported into Michigan, 68,740 tons were exported, leaving a net import of 893,260 tons. This would have resulted in approximately 3.6 million net gateyards of waste imports for 1993 - assuming such wastes were transferred at densities of 500 pounds per cubic gateyard or four gateyards per ton. In 1996, Michigan legislation was adopted which required mandatory and uniform reporting by disposal facility operators as to the amount, type and source of wastes received at their facilities. In the first annual report since adoption of the legislation, 5,689,767 gateyards of out-of-state waste imports were identified during FY 1996 (October 1, 1995 through September 30, 1996). This represented about 13% of the total waste stream handled. However, a substantial additional portion of the total wastes handled were not assigned as to source (6,588,364 gateyards or about 16%) since the legislation was adopted midway through the first reporting year. Because of the location of the facilities not assigning a source to the wastes handled, it is quite probable that a large percentage of the unassigned wastes are also imports. The information resulting from the 1996 reporting requirements are welcomed additional planning tools. However, the current material contains some flaws and much analysis and interpretation is necessary. This occurs primarily because the reporting is in gateyards, not measured weights. Gateyards are difficult to measure (how full was that truck?) and the degree that wastes may be compacted into the delivering vehicle varies substantially based upon many factors. Many landfills in the state simply do not operate with scale facilities, and gateyard reporting is the only current tally method available to all. Those landfills that do weight all incoming materials were advised to report the receipts using standard conversion factors. However, in terms of landfill usage, gateyards is not a precise measuring tool of bankyard or airspace usage. The most important factor becomes densification of the wastes after they have been placed in the landfill. Additionally, no current accounting of exports of Michigan's wastes is required. However, early indications to MDEQ staff from other states are that exports remain in the 69,000 ton per year range. Much additional data and analysis is required. The inter-state movements of waste are generally driven by economics. If it is cheaper to pay the cost of transportation as well as the cost of disposal of the wastes at a landfill elsewhere than it is to dispose of the wastes locally - and as long as there are willing landfill operators, wastes will be imported and exported. This continues to point in new directions if such imports are to be controlled in a reasonable manner and if Michigan's counties are required to plan for the future disposal of their own wastes. First, would be governmental ownership Chapter 4 - Page 1 Chapter 4 - Inter-State and Inter-Country Flows of future landfills. Without a willing owner/operator, imports could not come. In the alternative, any new private sector landfill sited or expanded, should be allowed only in the presence of a "host community agreement" where the owner willingly agrees to limit or simply not accept such wastes. In the Carbone decision of May 15, 1994, the US Supreme Court perhaps even made the governmental ownership option a mute point. In this decision, the Supreme Court essentially barred governmental agencies from entering into flow control agreements for the future waste stream which would form the basis of financing such proposals. Subsequent lower level appellate court decisions have provided some basis for flow control arrangements, but these matters are still hotly debated across the nation. Although legislation at the national level is currently proposed to grandfather older flow control arrangements thus guaranteeing present financing arrangements, future programs based on flow control would be allowed only under a strenuous set of conditions. Additionally, national legislation is proposed to allow some level of inter-state and inter-country flow restrictions - supposedly at that level which existed as of a certain point in time. However, adoption of such legislation remains speculative at best. In the June 16, 1995 C.L.A.R.E. decision, Michigan's Court of Appeals upheld the legality of Michigan's Act 451 inter-county flow restrictions. In that case, the Court acknowledged that with the Fort Gratiot and Carbone decisions, nothing prevents a landfill operator "...from seeking out-of-state markets nor deprives out-of-state businesses from having access to this state's local markets. In fact, rather than burdening interstate commerce, the statute (Act 451) appears to now afford out-of-state businesses preferential access to local markets." All of this leaves some solid waste planning agencies in a quandary. They are currently required to site or arrange for access rights to landfill capacity for disposal of their own wastes for at least ten years. Failure to do so requires that a mechanism exist for the siting of additional capacity to be used when the reserves fall below some minimum level. When this occurs, additional capacity is required and essentially is forced. Existing capacity is being depleted by unplanned or unwanted out-of-state wastes, bringing the next landfill siting closer in time. Even should a county's legal reserves become depleted, landfills in neighboring counties may be aggressively marketing more than a sufficient amount of capacity to solve the first county's problem, to out-of-state waste generators. Unless they own or otherwise control the landfill facilities so that usage by others can be tightly controlled, how does one determine how much capacity to provide? For the purposes of this report, inter-state and inter-country flows of wastes have been projected to remain constant at the levels reported by each landfill operator during that period from October 1, 1995 through September 30, 1996. Pending national legislation may provide the opportunity to control these flows in the future, but at present that appears highly unlikely. Chapter 4 - Page 2 Chapter 5 - Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity Chapter 5 Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity Oakland County's projected future waste stream was measured against available in-county landfill capacity and against export opportunities to other willing host counties. As shown on exhibit 5.2, Oakland County waste generators appear to have access to more than a sufficient amount of landfill capacity until some time during the Year 2003. When and should that event occur, it is assumed that all available in-county disposal capacity would then be applied to extend the theoretical depletion date as far as possible into the future. Calculations show that it would be extended well into the Year 2006. As may be seen, disposal opportunities exceed estimated needs by approximately 22% for the Year 2000. In fact, disposal opportunities exceed needs by a substantially larger margin because of court permitted exports to Wayne County. With approval of the pending Wayne County Solid Waste Plan amendments, wherein such flows are to be quantified, these flows may be officially recognized in the annual demonstration documents and the excess disposal opportunities increase dramatically to nearly 70% in the Year 2000. Additionally, access to more than a sufficient amount of landfill capacity exists to well beyond the Year 2010 even should an improvement not be achieved in the currently observed volume reduction efforts. This Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity process will be revisited each year so that changes to the findings contained herein may be noted and appropriate actions taken to provide access to additional disposal capacity, well before a crisis might arise. Findings: Oakland County has access to more than 66 months of disposal capacity beyond June 30, 1997 into at least the Year 2006. Therefore, Oakland County's Interim Siting Mechanism for landfill facilities need not be made operative through 1998 as provided for in Act 451 as amended. (-ii 8 e :.• i... Oakland County Disposal Capacity 6 — Availability Spring, 1997 IL: S. .7. :: :I 16 ge it (.9 ... 4 — o -IF Total Needs et C 2 2 :1 c o 4- Type II Needs wo CDD & ISW E- .... A, Available In-County Capacity 4a Total Available to Oakland Co. a 2 — . Landfill Operating Factors 1 0 = 2,500 Gtyds /Working Day 1 4 = 3500 Gtycis /Working Day 1 7= 4,250 Gtyds / Wotidng Day 2.0 = 5,000 Gtyds / Worldng Day 2.4 = 6,000 Gtyds / Worldng Day A —A (2,500 x 286 = 715,000 Gtyds / Year) (3,500 x 286 = 1,001,000 Gtyds / Year) I 1 _I I _L 1 I 0 I J 1 I I I L I I I 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Year Ending on December 31, Principal Variables Demonstrated Wayne-Oaldand Eagle Valley Region's Landfill Density Factor 96 MSW VR Factor Factor (Gateyards per Bankyard) 21.24% 1.70 2.44 1940. 96 COD VR Imports as a % of available in-county capacity —, _ 20% 15.00% Annual oatevards from , 9615W VR Oakland County 15.00% 04/15197 11:27 Year 2000 Excess Disposal Opportunities 21.77% Alternate Disposal Opportunities Wayne Co. BFI's A.H. Genesee Co. 0.000 0.250 0.025 Year During Which Insufficient Capacity Occurs After Exhausting All Remaining Available In-County Capacity 2006 Apparent Shortage Year 2003 RJS, PE 11:09 04/29/97 97GYDREG WK4 Appendix APPENDIX List of Contents: Selected portions of the 1994 Plan Update Amendments - Certification of Available Disposal Capacity Selected Portions of Act 641 of the Public Acts of 1978 as Amended What If...? List of References Certification of Available Disposal Capacity The material below was excerpted from the 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Manaaement Plan Update - Chapter 5, Paae 6. III. The BoC shall annually certify and demonstrate remaining available disposal capacity. A. Certification of available disposal capacity shall be made annually, by June 30 of each year. If a sufficient amount of disposal capacity is available such that during the entire next calendar year the County's disposal capacity will not fall below that minimum reserve required by Amended Act 641 or MDNR, landfill Requests shall not be considered, commencing with the certification date and continuing on through December 31 of the year following. If the amount of available disposal capacity is expected to become insufficient such that during the next calendar year the County's disposal capacity will fall below that minimum reserve required by Amended Act 641 or MDNR, landfill Requests will be received by staff during the next calendar year beginning on the insufficient capacity date certified. B. The certification process shall include either the recertification of the data contained in Chapters 1, 2, 3 and 4 of this Plan Amendment or the preparation of updated replacement data and information. It is understood that such certifications do not constitute a plan amendment but will allow each certification to rely on up to date data. C. Certification may be made at any other time as is deemed appropriate by the BoC. Such certifications shall supersede all previous certifications, shall become effective 30 days after adoption, and will remain in effect until the next mid-term or annual certification. Such mid-term certifications, upon the date they become effective, shall not impact upon landfill Requests which have been previously received by the County Executive and which were properly and timely submitted as provided in III. A. above. D. Should additional disposal capacity be found consistent with the plan, the certified available disposal capacity values shall be automatically adjusted to account for the newly designated capacity on the date such capacity is found consistent. No official action by the Board of Commissioners is necessary for this adjustment to take effect. Certification - Page 1 Selected Portions of Act 451 of the Public Acts of 1994 as Amended Sec. 11538. (2) Each solid waste management plan shall identify specific sites for solid waste disposal areas for a 5-year period after approval of a plan or plan update (approval date being the date approved by the MDEQ Director). In calculating disposal need requirements to measure compliance with this section, only those existing waste stream volume reduction levels achieved through source reduction, reuse, composting, recycling, or incineration, or any combination of these reduction devices, that can currently be demonstrated or that can be reasonably expected to be achieved through currently active implementation efforts for proposed volume reduction projects, may be assumed by the planning entity. In addition, if the solid waste management plan does not also identify specific sites for solid waste disposal areas for the remaining portion of the entire planning period required by this act (10 years) after approval of a plan or plan update, the solid waste management plan shall include an interim siting mechanism and an annual certification process as described in subsection (3) and (4). In calculating the capacity of identified disposal areas to determine if disposal needs are met for the entire required planning period, full achievement of the solid waste management plan's volume reduction goals may be assumed by the planning entity if the plan identifies a detailed programmatic approach to achieving these goals. If a siting mechanism is not included, and disposal capacity falls to less than 5 years of capacity, a county shall amend its plan to resolve the shortfall. (3) An interim siting mechanism shall include both a process and a set of minimum siting criteria, both of which are not subject to interpretation or discretionary acts by the planning entity, and which if met by an applicant submitting a disposal area proposal, will guarantee a finding of consistency with the plan. The interim siting mechanism shall be operative upon the call of the board of commissioners or shall automatically be operative whenever the annual certification process shows that available disposal capacity will provide for less than 66 months of disposal needs. In the latter event, applications for a finding of consistency from the proposers for disposal area capacity will be received by the planning agency commencing on January 1 following completion of the annual certification process. Once operative, an interim siting mechanism will remain operative for at least 90 days or until more than 66 months of disposal capacity is once again available, either by the approval of a request for consistency or by the adoption of new certification process which concludes that more than 66 months of disposal capacity is available. (4) An annual certification process shall be concluded by June 30 of each year, commencing on the first June 30 which is more than 12 months after the department's approval of the plan or plan update. The certification process will examine the remaining disposal area capacity available for solid wastes generated within the planning area. In calculating disposal need requirements to measure compliance with this section, only those existing waste stream volume reduction levels achieve through source reduction, reuse, composting, recycling, or incineration, or any combination of these reduction devices, that can currently be demonstrated or that can be reasonably expected to be achieved through currently active implementation efforts for proposed volume reduction projects, may be assumed. The annual certification of disposal capacity shall be approved by the board of commissioners. Failure to approve an annual certification by June 30 is equivalent to a finding that less than a sufficient amount of capacity is available and the interim siting mechanism will then be operative on the first day of the following January. As part of the department's responsibility to act on construction permit applications, the department has final decision authority to approve or disapprove capacity certifications and to determine consistency of a proposed disposal area with the solid waste management plan. (5) A board of commissioners may adopt a new certification of disposal capacity at any time. A new certification of disposal capacity shall supersede all previous certifications, and become effective 30 days after adoption by the board of commissioners and remain in effect until subsequent certifications are adopted. Note: Sections in bold italics added for clarity. February 29, 1996 Act 451 - Page 1 What If...? What If...? The baseline projections in this report are based upon a series of conservative assumptions which collectively result in an early projected date for disposal capacity deficiency. First, no future increase in the volume reduction levels from that identified for 1997 is projected, even though a continuing general increase in volume reduction efforts is noted by all. Further, the baseline projections have included an assumption that the nationally observed volume reduction levels are not occurring in Michigan, relying instead upon a 15% projection for all waste stream components except the residential component. Finally, an underlying assumption is made that all excess disposal capacity in the region during any given year is used by unwanted others (most likely by wastes generated in other states and Canada). If the annual excess disposal capacity were not so utilized, that is such usage was limited to that waste stream approved in the local Solid Waste Management Plan, capacity would be available for planned wastes over a substantially longer period of time than is indicated. However, even though disposal capacity will most likely be available longer than this report indicates, it is still appropriate to ask an additional series of worst case, best case "What If..." questions. For example, what if no exports were permissible and all wastes had to be disposed of in Oakland County landfills? What if some disposal facilities closed prematurely, such as Pontiac's Collier Road landfill or GM's Truck & Coach waste-to-energy plant in Pontiac? What if all exports from Oakland County to other counties except Washtenaw County were prohibited? What if VR achievement levels within the commercial and industrial portions of the municipal solid waste stream occurred at the national average levels as reported by the Keep America Beautiful report dated September, 1994? See Chapter 2 for stream estimates. What if additional inter-county flows are authorized beyond those indicated or what if additional capacity were approved in Oakland County? The basic conclusion that can be drawn from such analysis is that within the realm of reasonable scenarios, Oakland County has access to substantially more than 66 months of sufficient disposal capacity beyond June 30, 1997. It is probable that sufficient capacity will be available to beyond the Year 2006, and quite possibly to a point well beyond the Year 2010. The exhibit following displays some of the principal scenarios outlined. What If...? - Page 1 • Total Needs - Baseline -4n- Total Needs w High VR -A- Available In-County Capacity ta With Exports to Washtenaw -e- And to others except Wayne 411- With Wayne Exports -04.- With Eagle Valley Expan. Millions of Gateyards 2006 2008 2010 12-2003 12-2007 If the calculations had been based upon aggressive VR efforts, the baseline scenario would have yielded the answers above. > > > What If ? Oakland County's Act 451 Disposal Capacity Availability 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Year Ending on December 31, "What ScenarimIlleasured Against Baseline Needs Year of Year of Apparent Actual Shortage Shortage Note: The difference between the year of apparent shortage and the year of actual shortage represents the time it takes to use all remaining in-County capacity to cover shortages. Baseline Scenario > Using available in-County landfill capacity only. With exports to Washtenaw County added. Also with exports to all other willing host counties except Wayne County. With exports to Wayne County added. Additionally with expansion of the Eagle Valley landfill. 1998 2003 9-2003 5-2006 11-2003 12-2006 2010+ 2010+ 2010++ 2010++ References References 1. Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update, Oakland County, Michigan. Basic Solid Waste Database, Inter-County Flow Arrangements, Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity, Interim Siting Mechanism, Contingency Plan, and Designation of Additional Disposal Capacity. As adopted by the Oakland County Board of Commissioners, June 9, 1994. 2. Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - May, 1995 and Oakland County Board of Commissioners Miscellaneous Resolution #95140 dated May 11, 1995. 3. Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - May, 1996 and Oakland County Board of Commissioners Miscellaneous Resolution #96117 dated May 23, 1996. 4. Recommended 2020 Regional Development Forecast - Population, Households and Employment by Minor Civil Division dated February 8, 1996. Southeast Michigan Council of Governments. 5. "The Role of Recycling in Integrated Solid Waste Management to the Year 2000" as prepared for Keep America Beautiful, Inc. by Franklin Associates, Ltd., September, 1994. References - Page 1 Resolution #97118 May 22, 1997 Moved by Palmer supported by Huntoon the resolution be adopted. AYES: Jensen, Johnson, Kaczmar, Kingzett, McCulloch, McPherson, Moffitt, Obrecht, Palmer, Pernick, Powers, Schmid, Taub, Wolf, Amos, Coleman, Devine, Dingeldey, Douglas, Garfield, Huntoon, Jacobs. (22) NAYS: None. (0) A sufficient majority having voted therefor, the resolution was adopted. L.- Brooks Patterson, County Executive THE FOREGOING RESOL7TIO Ay/72 Date STATE OF MICHIGAN) COUNTY OF OAKLAND) I, Lynn D. Allen, Clerk of the County of Oakland, do hereby certify that the foregoing resolution is a true and accurate copy of a resolution adopted by the Oakland County Board of Commissioners on May 22, 1997 with the original record thereof now remaining in my office. In Testimony Whereof, I have hereunto set my hand and affixed the seal of the County of Oakland at Pontiac, Michigan this 22nd day-of May 19'9.7. , D. Allen, County Clerk