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HomeMy WebLinkAboutResolutions - 1998.05.07 - 25460MAY 7, 1998 MISCELLANEOUS RESOLUTION # 98111 BY: PLANNING AND BUILDING COMMITTEE - CHARLES E. PALMER, CHAIRPERSON IN RE: CERTIFICATION OF AVAILABLE DISPOSAL CAPACITY ACT 451 NON-HAZARDOUS SOLID WASTES SPRING, 1998 To the Oakland County Board of Commissioners Chairperson, Ladies and Gentlemen: WHEREAS, Oakland County's 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update require that annually, on or before June 30, the Board demonstrate and certify available remaining disposal capacity for all Act 451 non- hazardous solid wastes generated within the County; and WHEREAS, a finding that sufficient capacity is available (more than 66 months beyond June 30) equates to a moratorium during the following year on the use of the interim siting mechanism contained in the 1994 Amendments for the siting of additional landfill capacity in the County; and WHEREAS, Act 451 as amended, concludes that failure to adopt a required annual certification is equivalent to a finding that less than a sufficient amount of capacity is available and the interim siting mechanism will then be operative on the first day of the following January; and WHEREAS, a review has been conducted of the current and projected Act 451 non- hazardous waste stream generated within the county, the current volume reduction efforts being achieved by the County's residents and businesses, current inter-county flow arrangements and of available remaining disposal capacity both within the County and within nearby counties; and WHEREAS, the analysis contained in the County Executive's report titled "Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - April 20, 1998" (which is on file with the County Clerk) shows clearly that disposal capacity is available for the County's Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream beyond December 31, 2003 (which date is 66 months beyond June 30, 1998) as is summarized on the Exhibit attached. NOW THEREFORE BE IT RESOLVED THAT the Oakland County Board of Commissioners hereby certifies that sufficient disposal capacity exists so that the interim siting mechanism for the siting of additional landfill capacity within the County as contained Planning and Building Committee Vote: Motion carried unanimously on a roll call vote. og) date...401% _A/ s t AND BU •ING COMMITTE within the 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update will not become operational until January 1, 2000 or later, such date to be identified in a future certification. Chairperson, on behalf of the Planning and Building Committee, I move the adoption of the foregoing resolution. 8 ............. DISPOSAL , OPPORTUNITIES Apparent Year of Depletion 2003 Year of Depletion using all remaining in-county capacity 2004 6 DISPOSAL NEEDS 4 Millions of Gateyards 2 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Year Ending on December 31, 2006 2008 2010 Oakland Coun Dis • os . I Ca • aci Availabili - Serin • 1998 Act 451 Non-Hazardous Solid Wastes with 1997 Volume Reduction Rates Held Constant 0 1998 CERTIFICATION TARGET DATE DECEMBER 31, 2003 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I _I Oakland County Solid Waste Planning 98GYDREG NM RJS, PE 04/20/98 Resolution #98111 May 7, 1998 Moved by Palmer supported by Johnson the resolution be adopted. AYES: McCulloch, McPherson, Millard, Moffitt, Obrecht, Palmer, Powers, Schmid, Taub, Wolf, Amos, Coleman, Devine, Dingeldey, Douglas, Garfield, Gregory, Huntoon, Jacobs, Jensen, Johnson, Kingzett. (22) NAYS: None. (0) A sufficient majority having voted therefor, the resolution was adopted. I HEREBY lleq't114'17 XHE FOREGOING RESOLUTIO L. Y7/71C Brooks a(f nCvnty Executive Date STATE OF MICHIGAN) COUNTY OF OAKLAND) I, Lynn D. Allen, Clerk of the County of Oakland, do hereby certify that the foregoing resolution is a true and accurate copy of a resolution adopted by the Oakland County Board of Commissioners on May 7, 1998 with the original record thereof now remaining in my office. In Testimony Whereof, I have hereunto set my hand and affixed the seal of the County of Oakland at Pontiac, Michigan this 7th day of May 1998. D. Allen, County Clerk 1990 SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT PLAN UPDATE As Amended On June 9, 1994 Oakland County, Michigan Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity April 20, 1998 L. Brooks Patterson, County Executive Careful Purchasing Decisions Waste Minimization Source & Reuss Separation Consumer Or Solid Waste Generator Generally Act 451 ... Part 115 4-7-n Part 111 Mixed Wastes Special Wastes Markets Recovered Materials Markets - Utility Grid - Gas, Steam & Electricity Use of Non- Renewable Resources Other Uses Source Reduction Manufacture of New Products Consumer or Solid Waste Generator Careful Purchasing Decisions Oaldand County, Michigan Solid Waste Planning RJS, P.E - May 6, 1996 Solid Waste Generation, Collection, Handing, Processing and Disposal It's a Complex and Continuous Process . . . Yard Wastes Special Processing Facilities Collection Systems Transfer Of Direct Haul Processing Facilities Source Separated I Recyclables MRF Returnables Maed-Waste MRF Household Hazardous Wastes HHW Processing Facility Hazardous I Wastes Transfer or Direct Haul Volume Reduction Disposal Facilities Incineration or VVTE Special Wastes Landfill Sanitary Landfill Methane Recovery Ash Monofill Leachate Treatment H. Waste Disposal Minimize Impacts Conserve Resources Problem: Disposal facilities use valuable land and cause health and environmental concerns because of gaseous, particulate and liquid emissions. Basic Approach: Reduce the rate at which waste is generated and maximize the recovery of materials and energy to minimize the need for locating additional disposal facilities and to minimize their impact. Issue: What roles should Oakland County and its 61 cities, villages and townships play? Executive Summary Executive Summary Oakland County's 1994 Amendments to its 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update and Act 451 of 1994 each require that the County annually demonstrate, on or before June 30, available remaining disposal capacity for the County's Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream. Should the demonstration show less than 66 months of available capacity measured from June 30, the interim siting mechanism contained in the 1994 Amendments for the siting of new disposal capacity would go into operation on the following January 1. Should a siting proposal be received which met all predefined criteria, its approval would be nearly automatic. If more than 66 months is demonstrated, all proposals for additional disposal capacity can be rejected through the following year. The County's Act 451 waste stream has been analyzed to determine both its magnitude and the volume reduction levels currently being achieved by the generators of each category of wastes. The resultant disposal needs have been projected into the future to account for estimated employment and population growth. The projections were then measured against the disposal capacity of landfills currently available to Oakland County waste generators and the continuing availability of this capacity over time was calculated. Act 451 provides that wastes generated in one Michigan county may not be disposed of in another county unless such arrangements are recognized in the Solid Waste Management Plans of both counties. The 1994 Oakland County Plan Amendments provided for a schedule of intercounty flows to meet these requirements and to reflect current free market realities. However, a Wayne County Circuit Court ruling on Wayne County's Solid Waste Management Plan impacted upon the amount of such flows the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality would allow Oakland County to use in its annual demonstration of available capacity. At the same time, a related consent judgement had the effect of allowing the flows to continue between the two counties without restriction as to annual limits. Although not reflecting the real world situation, this document assumes zero intercounty flows between the two counties so as to reflect an extremely conservative viewpoint as to disposal capacity availability. It is anticipated that Wayne County will amend its plan during the ongoing Update process to correct this problem. This analysis addresses the loss of disposal capacity caused by the unplanned and unwanted imports from out-of-state and out-of-country waste sources. It recognizes such imports as they were reported for 1995-96 and 1996-97 and assumes that they will continue at that same constant level into the future. Should national legislation on this issue be adopted to allow some modicum of future local control, this could extend the time that current landfill capacity would suffice for Michigan's disposal needs. Based upon the findings contained in this report, Oakland County has access to sufficient disposal capacity (at in-county facilities and through permissive inter-county flow arrangements with other nearby counties) to sometime beyond December 31, 2003 or more than 66 months from June 30, 1998. Therefore, Requests for a Determination of Consistency for landfill facilities through Oakland County's Interim Siting Mechanism (as adopted by the Board of Commissioners on June 9, 1994) need not be received prior to the end of 1999. Executive Summary - Page i Contents Table of Contents Chapter Title Executive Summary Table of Contents List of Exhibits 1 Employment and Population - Estimates and Projections 2 Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates 3 Disposal Facility Inventory and Inter-County Flows 4 Inter-state and Inter-country Waste Flows 5 Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity Appendix Selected portions of the 1994 Plan Update Amendments - Certification of Available Disposal Capacity Selected Portions of Act 451 (P.A. of 1994 as Amended) What If...? List of References Chapter and Page Exhibit List of Exhibits List of Exhibits It's a Complex and Continuous Process... Oakland County's Municipalities 1.2 SEMCOG's 2020 Regional Development Forecast 2.5 SOCRRA Basics 2.6 Volume Reduction Programs - RRRASOC Municipalities 2.7 Volume Reduction Percentages - 1988 2.8 Projected Disposal Needs, Baseline VR - 1995 to 2010 3.2 Lower Michigan's Disposal Facilities 3.4 Disposal Facilities in Southeastern Michigan 3.5 Southeast Michigan's Landfills - April, 1998 3.6 Upper Michigan's Disposal Facilities 3.7 Regional Operating Capacity 3.8 Oakland County's Disposal Capacity Opportunities 5.2 Oakland County - Disposal Capacity Availability - Spring, 1998 WI.2 Worst Case Analysis - Disposal Capacity Availability WI.3 Disposal Capacity Availability Details - 4.347 Million Gateyards WI.4 Disposal Capacity Availability Details - 4.761 Million Gateyards --------------\ \ \\...__ Vkitertord Tvp. *WOO Keep°It abor Troy Commerce Twp. Lyon Avp. Irwlopondoncw Pop. Row 1Wp. Springfield Twp. Hlohland Twp. White Lake Avp. UVINGSTON COUNTY kg°'d Allford1Wp. a Ni Twp. WASHTENAW CO. 1.Horibik GENESEE COUNTY Holy Twp. Gra/eland Twp. Oakland County's Municipalities 30 Cities 21 Townships 10 Villages 61 Total Chapter 1 - Employment and Population - Estimates and Projection Chapter 1 Employment and Population - Estimates and Projections Oakland County's waste stream estimating technique is principally based on data relating to population, to employment by employment type by place of work, and to waste generation rates on a per capita or per employee basis. Oakland County's 1990 Plan Update and the database contained in the 1994 Plan Update Amendments were based on population and employment estimates and projections previously prepared by the Southeastern Michigan Council of Governments (Regional Development Forecast, Ver 84 and Ver 89 respectively). The waste stream estimates and projections contained in this document were based on SEMCOG's Recommended 2020 Regional Development Forecast dated February 8, 1996 as approved by the Executive Committee and General Assembly in March 1996. The population and employment information contained therein is displayed on the exhibits following. Oakland County's Population History Year Source Population Change %Change 1840 Census 23,646 1850 II 31,270 ' 7,624 32.24% 1860 ,, 38,261 6,991 2236% 1870 „ 40,867 2,606 6.81% 1880 ,, 41,537 670 1.6494 1890 II 41,245 (292) -070% 1900 " 44,792 3,547 8.60% 1910 11 49,576 4,784 1058% 1920 ,, 90,050 40,474 81.64% 1930 ., 211,251 121,201 13459% 1940 ,, 254,068 42,817 2027% 1950 ., 396,001 141,933 5556% . 1960 II 690,603 294,602 7438% 1970 ,, 907,871 217,268 31.46% 1980 ,, 1,011,793 103,922 11.45% 1990 ,, 1,083,592 71,799 7.10% 2000 Projected 1,192164 108,572 10.02% 2010 II 1,272I92 80,028 671% 2020 II 1,359,846 87,654 6.89% Future projections are based upon SEMCOG's Recommended 2020 Regional Development Forecast dated 2-8-96. Chapter 1 - Page 1 SEMCOG's 2020 Regional Development Forecast Recommended Forecast - February 8, 1996 Oaidand County Sold Wag* Planning Sardtog.olut 04/20tal 0853 Population Change, % Change 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 1995 to 2020 1995 to 2020 SEMCOG 4,590,465 4,735,738 4,804,389 4,877,433 4,962,603 5,067,093 5,162,405 426,667 9.01% Livingston 115,645 135,558 154,061 170,853 187,725 204,875 219,674 84,116 62.05% Macomb 717,400 754,494 775,875 802,349 832,477 860,899 884,222 129,728 17.19% Monroe 133,600 141,449 146,701 150,732 154,867 160,160 164,788 23,339 16.50% Oakland 1,083,592 1,150,872 1,192,164 1,232,182 1,272,192 1,318,997 1,359,846 208,974 18.16% St. Clair 145,607 158,921 167,478 175,050 182,766 191,525 199,160 40,239 25.32% Washtenaw 282,934 300,489 313,130 325,599 340,274 357,443 373,362 72,873 24.25% Wayne 2,111,687 2,093,955 2,054,980 2,020,668 1,992,302 1,973,194 1,961,353 (132,602) -6.33% Wayne (pt) 1,083,708 1,101,664 1,102,957 1,104,716 1,107,957 1,114,546 1,124,059 22,395 2.03% Detroit 1,027,979 992,291 952,023 915,952 884,345 858,648 837,294 (154,997) -15.62% Total Employment by Place of Work Change, % Change 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 1995 to 2020 1995 to 2020 SEMCOG 2,350,238 2,477,024 2,615,187 2,724,994 2,776,724 2,775,235 2,773,688 296,664 11.98% Livingston 39,296 46,700 55,139 63,355 69,376 70,887 71,925 25,225 54.01% Macomb 333,723 361,350 386,158 403,706 410,574 409,647 407,633 46,283 12.81% Monroe 50,364 55,541 60,702 64,574 66,501 66,807 67,155 11,614 20.91% Oakland 681,037 745,309 806,126 856,189 883,393 885,258 887,826 142,517 19.12% St. Clair 55,730 60,556 64,654 69,393 72,462 73,476 74,398 13,842 22.86% Washtenaw 213,895 228,331 242,770 252,759 258,184 258,962 260,270 31,939 13.99% Wayne 976,193 979,237 999,638 1,015,018 1,016,234 1,010,198 1,004,481 25,244 2.58% Wayne (pt) 563,703 595,521 630,759 657,675 668,028 668,453 667,129 71,608 12.02% Detroit 412,490 383,716 368,879 357,343 348,206 341,745 337,352 (46,364) -12.08% Manufacturing Employment by Place of Work Change, % Change 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 1995 to 2020 1995 to 2020 SEMCOG 486,644 482,591 468,709 467,057 461,633 439,602 415,321 (67,270) -13.94% Livingston 8,186 8,670 9,099 9,742 10,183 9,752 9,232 562 6.48% Macomb 102,751 105,066 102,550 99,809 97,383 92,102 86,266 (18,800) -17.89% Monroe 9,430 10,685 10,866 11,016 10,919 10,397 9,799 (886) -8.29% Oakland 116,987 119,339 116,201 120,613 122,512 117,948 113,296 (6,043) -5.06% St. Clair 10,565 11,044 11,270 11,502 11,449 10,864 10,226 (818) -7.41% VVashtenaw 37,363 33,737 31,697 32,232 32,177 30,727 28,982 (4,755) -14.09% Wayne 201,362 194,050 187,026 182,143 177,010 167,812 157,520 (36,530) -18.83% Wayne (pt) 137,991 138,349 136,431 133,910 130,630 123,791 116,119 (22,230) -16.07% Detroit 63,371 55,701 50,595 48,233 46,380 44,021 41,401 (14,300) -25.67% Notes: Employment measures number of jobs, both kill-time and part-time - not the number of employed persons or the number of FTEs (Full Time Equivalents). Construction jobs and military are not included in RDF employment. Previous RDFs included construction jobs. However, the large majority of construction jobs are mobile, moving from job-site to job-site. Perhaps only 10% hold stationary positions at the offices or shops of construction companies. Having no specific way to differentiate between the two for future transportation planning purposes, a decision was made by SEMCOG at the policy level to not include either in the 2020 RDF projections. Manufacturing employment measures the number of jobs within the SIC Code manufacturing categories. It is not a measurement of the number of "factory workers" nor does it relate to land use. In many instances, all such employment may be pure office type work in the headquarters of "manufacturing" companies. In others, it may represent employment within research facilities or in a factory environment only. 1.2 Chapter 2 - Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates Chapter 2 Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates The Act 451 non-hazardous waste stream is comprised of several major components as shown below. Waste Cateaory Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Single family residential Multi-family residential Commercial Industrial MSW Total Construction and Demolition Debris (CDD) Industrial Special Waste (ISW) Act 451 Total Waste Type Type II Type II Type II Type II Type II Type III Type III All The industrial component of MSW (generally comprised of industrial housekeeping wastes such as packaging, pallets, cafeteria and washroom wastes, and office wastes) is exclusive of industrial process wastes (such as foundry sands, coal or wood ash, wastewater treatment sludges, and sediments from wood processing or paper manufacturing) which are described as ISW. This distinction is important because industrial MSW is classified as a Type II waste which must be disposed of in Type II landfills. However, Type III wastes, generally less intrusive in nature than Type II wastes and therefore capable of being disposed of in the lower standard Type III landfills, can also be disposed of in Michigan's Type II landfills. Waste Generation Rte: The waste generation rates contained in this report have been modified from those contained in previous Demonstration of Available Capacity reports as outlined in the following material. The FY97 landfill report ("Report of Solid Waste Landfilled in Michigan, October 1, 1996 - September 30, 1997", dated February 27, 1998 as released by the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality on March 18, 1998) was anticipated to provide the first full accounting of wastes placed in Michigan landfills in terms of amount, type and the source of the wastes. The FY96 report (the first in the series) did not accurately reveal the source of wastes since the underlying legislation requiring the reports was adopted midway through the reporting period and the source of much of the stream was simply unknown. The FY97 report showed substantially'more gateyards of wastes from Oakland County than had been previously projected. As a result, both the FY97 landfill data and the waste stream projection models were carefully examined to determine if adjustments to the models are warranted. First, the landfill data. It is generally accepted that the data contains limitations that must be recognized up front. The volumes reported are in gateyards which are derived from a variety of different reporting methods. These are a mixture of waste tonnages converted to gateyards according to a prescribed schedule (3 gateyards per ton for municipal solid wastes or 1 gateyard per ton for incinerator ash), estimated number of gateyards when tonnages are not available, and Chapter 2 - Page 1 Chapter 2 - Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates for special waste stream elements, tonnages converted to gateyards at the landfill operator's preferred rate of conversation or pure gateyard estimates. Additionally, discussions with landfill operators have shown that even when waste stream weights were available, some reported gateyards based upon their experience rather than using the conversion schedules. As an example, some landfill operators have reported that when fees for wastes being disposed of at landfills are levied on the basis of gateyards, haulers tend to deliver heavy gateyards - sometimes exceeding 875 pounds per gateyard. One of the major regional facilities reports that an average weight of 800 pounds would not be unreasonable. When fees are based on weight, locally based haulers tend to bring gateyards that are rather light, averaging 500 pounds per gateyard and frequently less. The results vary by location within the region. The source of the wastes in some instances is estimated (as opposed to a precise summary of delivery vehicle operator responses) and thus some must be questioned. It is questionable if accounting of waste by type is accurate. The report sought to identify Type II, Type III, Type III Mixed and Type III Segregated wastes. However, 33 of the 83 counties were reported as having generated no Type III wastes of any kind. This brings further clouds over the validity of the gateyard data. Finally, care must be taken in the use of the data since no information is available on the waste stream that may have been exported from Michigan counties to disposal points located elsewhere. Even given these several issues, the landfill data is a welcomed addition to the planning tool basket. However, much analysis and interpretation is necessary. This occurs primarily because the reporting is in gateyards, not measured weights. Gateyards are difficult to measure (how full was that truck?) and the degree that wastes may be compacted into the delivering vehicle varies substantially based upon many factors. Many landfills in the state simply do not operate with scale facilities, some that do have scales do not weigh the entire entering waste stream, and gateyard reporting is the only current tally method available to all. As previously noted, those landfills that do weight all incoming materials were advised to report the receipts using standard conversion factors although this is not uniformly done. Finally, in terms of landfill usage, gateyards is not a precise measuring tool of bankyard or airspace usage. The most important factor becomes the degree of densification of the wastes in the completed landfill. Oakland County's projection models are based upon the weight of wastes generated and the weight of the densified material in completed landfills. Since the major landfill operations in southeastern Michigan are high-rise large facilities, fairly heavy bankyard weights are used in the analysis. Gateyards are the interim volume form of wastes as delivered to the landfills. Gateyards unfortunately are also the form in which inter-county flow restrictions are contained within the most county plan documents. The Oakland County solid waste projection model was also carefully examined. The Southeastern Oakland County Resource Recovery Authority (SOCRRA) waste stream data was enhanced by the release of new reports from SOCRRA that have shown not only the amount of wastes, yard wastes and recyclables handled but also the amount of grass clippings not collected as a result of the Chapter 2 - Page 2 Chapter 2 - Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates Authority's aggressive programs. A careful review of this data (see Page 2.5) in conjunction with the number of dwelling units and residents served by the SOCRRA municipal programs resulted in adoption of a new countywide per capita residential waste generation rate of 3.77 pounds per person per day. This rate previously was held as 3.42 pounds per capita per day in the 1994 plan amendments, as 2.9 pounds per capita per day in the 1990 plan update documents and at approximately 2.7 pounds per capita per day in the original Solid Waste Management Plan documents. Details of the generation rate on the basis of urban and rural single family residents and of urban and rural multi-family residents is shown below and in the exhibit on Page 2.7. Residential Waste Generation Rates (lbs/capita/day) Dwellina Unit Tviloe Total % YW wo YW After YW Single Family Urban 4.1420 -22.55% 3.2080 Rural 3.3768 -5.00% 3.2080 Multi-family Urban 2.9461 -2.00% 2.8872 90% of SF Rural 2.8872 -0.00% 2.8872 90% of SF Countywide All 3.77 -16.70% (rounded) Volume Reduction Achievement Levels: Previous Demonstrations of Available Capacity were based on a 15% volume reduction (VR) achievement level across all solid waste categories plus adjustments for Michigan's yard waste ban which became fully operational on March 28, 1995. The 15% assumption continues to be utilized across all waste stream categories in this baseline analysis except for the residential categories. In this latter instance, the excellent database maintained by the County's two solid waste authorities, the Resource Recovery and Recycling Authority of Southwestern Oakland County (RRRASOC) and the Southeastern Oakland County Resource Recovery Authority (SOCRRA), have provided a clear examination of residential VR successes. Volume reduction successes through recycling of 12% of the total wastes generated (once yard wastes are discounted from the stream) are currently being achieved by the aggressive authority municipalities (1997). This may be seen in the SOCRRA and RRRASOC data exhibits which follow. From a countywide perspective, it is assumed that single family residents residing in municipalities without full service curbside programs probably achieve only one-half the success rates observed within the full service authority municipalities and finally assumed that multi-family residents achieve only one-quarter of the original success rates because of their limited access to volume reduction services. The exhibit on Page 2.7 provides the details of the revised waste generation rate and the structured recycling analysis approach. This conservative approach to volume reduction rates produces the following results for the 1998 waste stream. Total 1998 Waste Stream Less Yard Wastes Less Recyclables Plus Process Residues Wastes destined for disposal Tons/Day Percent 5,370.01 100.00% -409.09 -7.62 -603.11 -11.23 41.18 0.77 4,398.99 81.92% Chapter 2 - Page 3 Chapter 2 - Waste Stream and Disposal Need Estimates Viewed from another perspective, total reductions are comprised of the following. Waste Stream Category VP Percentage Residential 23.67% Commercial 14.30% Industrial 14.25% MSW sub-total 18.89% CDD 13.87% ISW 13.87% Act 451 Totals 18.08% Volume Reduction Facilities: One additional factor has to be taken into account when examining disposal need projections for Oakland County solid wastes. The General Motors Truck and Coach waste-to-energy plant in the City of Pontiac was closed in 1997. Wastes which were handled at this location must now be landfilled. This results in increased need for landfill capacity. Revised Waste Stream Prolectinns. Considering all the factors previously discussed, waste stream disposal needs are projected as shown in the final exhibit in this Chapter, see Page 2.8. Although the total waste stream from Oakland County as projected by the model increases over that previously projected, it does not meet the gateyard levels reported in the FY97 landfill report. Comparing results on landfill availability obtained by the revised model and by values matching those shown in the report shows that the minimal differences resulting are within acceptable limits. See the "What If...?" Appendix. SOCRRA Basics Expressed in Tonnage soc_sfld.wk4 04/15/98 RJS PE Look What Local Effort Can Do! - (Tons of Grass) Month 90-91 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 July 1,757 2,195 3,033 2,245 1,694 1,381 1,327 August 3,547 2,120 2,545 1,873 1,304 1,864 862 Sept 2,997 1,988 2,698 2,287 1,109 858 862 October 3,429 1,397 1,273 1,098 537 589 526 April 1,540 941 442 162 183 4 58 May 7,057 4,385 3,917 2,129 2,468 2,297 1,680 June 4.240 3.164 3.498 2.029 2.334 2,328 1.893 Totals 24,567 16,190 17,406 11,823 9,629 9,321 7,208 Difference from 90-91 8,377 7,161 12,744 14,938 15,246 17,359 SOCRRA's Waste Stream Data As Adjusted for Grass Clipping Reductions Total Total % Recycling Period Mixed & Bulky %. Yard Wastes .%. Recyclables Ye Tonnage SCR wo_n8/ 90 - 91 163,392 73.50% 45,774 20.59% 13,121 5.90% 222,288 26.5% 7.43% 91 - 92 158,897 72.13% 46,702 21.20% 14,700 6.67% 220,299 27.9% 8.47%' 92 - 93 160,506 68.59% 54,521 23.30% 18,990 8.11% 234,017 31.4% 10.58% 93 - 94 160,133 70.65% 46,356 20.45% 20,152 8.89% 226,641 29.3% 11.18% 94 - 95 159,220 69.93% 47,043 20.66% 21,406 9.40% 227,669 30.1% 11.85% 95 - 96 155,180 70.41% 47,266 21.45% 17,941 8.14% 220,386 29.6% 10.36% 96 - 97 155,088 69.50% 48,654 21.80% 19,409 8.70% 223,151 30.5% 11.12% Note: The adjusted yard waste data was expanded to include the grass clipping reductions shown above to reflect proper VR percentages. CR 10.05% 10.36% 12.17% 17.40% 12.53% 17.36% wo Walled Lake & wo Drop-off also wo Yard Wastes Volume Reduction Programs - RRRASOC Municipalities (All values expressed in tons) 1995 Farmington Farrnington Hills Lyon Township Novi South Lyon Southfield Walled Lake Wixom Ignore Ignore Ignore drop-off drop-off & drop-off YW Dro .-off Curbside YW R • - o., °. • ycle _ % YW 157.99 543.55 941.05 3,924.18 5,566.77 131.79 3,691.12 6,188.15 25,761.09 35,772.15 122.30 262.00 245.31 2,285.01 2,914.62 9.38% 10.29% 8.79% 56.03 1,948.49 5,509.20 22,541.13 30,054.85 6.50% 7.96% 18.36% 0.00 271.67 300.00 2,282.52 2,854.19 9.52% 10.64% 10 S.1% Total 468.11 6,716.83 13,183.71 56,793.93 77,162.58 8.76% 10.58% 17.19% 0.61% 8.70% 17.09% 73.60% 100.00% wo Drop-off 6,716.83 13,183.71 56,793.93 76,694.47 8.76% 17.19% 74.05% 100.00% wo Yard Wastes 6,716.83 56,793.93 63,510.76 10.58% 89.42% 100.00% ignore Ignore Ignore drop-off drop-off & drop-off YW 1996 Drop-off Curbside YW Refuse Total % recycle % recycle oh yw Farmington 90.88 574.34 929.50 3,709.83 5,304.55 11.02% 13.41% 17.83% Farmington Hills 126.92 3,784.22 6,112.20 24,394.89 34,418.23 11.04% 13.43% 17.82% Lyon Township Novi South Lyon 151.50 305.65 233.05 2,486.98 3,177.18 10.10% 10.94% 7.70% Southfield 218.23 2,017.68 5,787.30 24,226.57 32,249.78 6.30% 7.69% 18.07% Walled Lake Wixom 0.00 302.78 342.35 2,390.56 3,035.69 9.97% 11.24% 11.28% Total 587.53 6,984.67 13,404.40 57,208.83 78,185.43 9.00% 10.88% 17.27% 0.75% 8.93% 17.14% 73.17% 100.00% wo Drop-off 6,984.67 13,404.40 57,208.83 77,597.90 9.00% 17.27% 73.72% 100.00% wo Yard Wastes 6,984.67 57,208.83 64,193.50 10.88% 89.12% 100.00% Also wo Walled Lake Ignore Ignore Ignore drop-off drop-off & drop-off YW 1997 Drop-off Curbside YW Refuse Total % recycle % recycle % YW Farmington 7.17 673.90 829.12 4,124.20 5,634.39 11.98% 14.05% 14.73% Farmington Hills 0.00 4,667.00 5,801.69 28,441.46 38,910.15 11.99% 14.10% 14.91% Lyon Township 130.01 130.01 Novi 554.42 554.42 South Lyon 130.01 291.83 210.27 2,576.62 3,208.73 9.48% 10.17% 6.83% Southfield 312.82 2,297.75 4,079.87 23,085.50 29,775.94 7.80% 9.05% 13.85% Walled Lake 2,473.56 2,473.56 Wixom 0.00 433.30 377.16 2,873.86 3,684.32 11.76% 13.10% 10.24% Total 1,134.43 8,363.78 11,298.11 63,575.20 84,371.52 10.36% 12.04% 13.99% 1.34% 9.91% 13.39% 75.35% 100.00% 8,363.78 11,298.11 61,101.64 80,763.53 10.36% 13.99% 75.65% 100.00% soc sfld.wk4 8,363.78 61,101.64 69,465.42 04/15/98 12.04% 87.96% 100.00% RJS PE 2.6 04/14/N 15:14 441/Jec.N4 Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan Volume Reduction Percentages - 19118 0.00 0.00 10.23 26.24 5.06 4.67 4.67 5.08 0.00 0.00 7.27 24.29 5.08 4.67 4.67 5.08 Other & Process Residues GM WTE Ash Yard Wastes 2.50% Recycling 5.00% CDD Recycling 7.50% ISW Recycling 7.50% Gross for Disposal IMMO SF Resid mF Rink( lot.Resid. Comm. lad.M t/ QM laW &Lilt Ian R81111 WINO Rural 1,539.67 305.40 329.28 35.26 2,209.61 2,001.96 291.17 4,502.74 451.85 415.41 5,370.01 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 4.1429 5.8708 2.0461 2,8572 5.7696 (347.20) (15.27) (6.59) 0.00 (369.05) (40.04) 0.00 (409.09) 0.00 0.00 (409.09) .22.55% -6.00% -2.00% 0.00% -16.70% -2.00% 0.00% -9.09% 0.00% 0.00% -7.62% 1,192.48 290.13 322.70 35.26 1,840.56 1,961.93 291.17 4,093.65 451.85 415.41 4,960.92 77.45% 95.00% 98.00% 100.00% 13.3011 96.00% 100.00% 90.91% 100.00% 100.00% 9238% 5.2966 4.2586 2.8872 2.8872 8.1401 Raring (Net YW) fa 12.00% (143.10) (34.82) (38.72) (4.23) (220.87) (220.87) (220.87) vw elyi Recycling • ' 18.00% (260.26) (43.68) (303.93) (303.93) NV and NINON • 18.00% (67.78) (67.76) vw awl Recycling • 16.00% (62.31) (62.31) YW Grass Clip Factor 32.00% -9.29% •11.40% .1136% -12.00% -10.00% -13.00% -15.00% -1146% -15.00% -15.00% .12.20% County's Waste Stream Yard Wastes Net after YW Net for Disposal 1,049.38 255.31 29397 31.03 1,619.69 1,701.67 247.50 3,568.86 384.07 353.10 4,308.03 68.16% 63.60% 56.24% 88.00% 7340% 85.00% 115.00% 7926% 86.00% 85.00% 110.19% 1.525 2.122 2.641 2.641 2.7628 Other & Process Residues Wit & Incineration 0.00 0.00 Ash 25.60% 0.00 0.00 Yard Wastes 2.60% 5.90 0.26 0.11 0.00 6.27 1.00 0.00 7.27 Recycling 6.00% 7.15 1.74 1.94 0.21 11.04 13.01 2.18 26.24 COD Recycling 7.80% ISW Recycling 7.60% Gross for Disposal 1,062.44 257.31 286.02 31.24 1,637.01 1,715.68 249.68 3,602.37 389.16 357.78 4,352.25 69.00% 114.26% 86.86% 68.60% 74.09% 85.70% 85.75% 90.00% 86.13% 116.13% 81.05% 2.185 IAN 2.6611 2.668 2.7929 11LI51 Wien= 1. Ifttriat 11 rernsinder of County Residential performed only half as well as Full Service Proarams on recycling? Full Service (+1-) Programs 1,333.98 93.35 69.47 1.39 1,496.18 88.64% 30.57% 21.10% 3.94% 67.00% Lon Recycling (aller VW) 12.00% (123.98) (10.64) (8.17) (0.17) (142.96) -4.05% .3.48% .2.48% -0.47% -6.47% Other Residential Wastes 205.69 212.05 259.81 33.87 711.42 0.6 13.36% 69.43% 7090% 96.06% 32.20% Les, Recr-Ing NAN YW) 6.00% (9.56) (12.09) (15.28) (2.03) (38.95) -0.62% -3.96% -4.64% -5.76% .1.76% Total Recycling (133.54) (22.73) (23.45) (2.20) (181.91) 4.67% .7.44% -712% -6.24% 823% Net for Disposal after YW 1,058.94 267.40 299.25 33.06 1,858.85 1,701.67 247.50 3,607.81 384.07 353.10 4,344.99 66.78% 87.56% 90.88% 93.76% 75.07% 05.00% 115.00% 79.26% 85.00% 66.00% 80.01% Other & Process Residues GM WTE 0.00 0.00 Ash 26.50% 0.00 0.00 Yard Wastes 2.50% 6.27 0.34 0.15 0.00 6.77 1.00 0.00 7.27 Recycling 5.00% 6.68 1.14 1.17 0.11 9.10 13.01 2.18 24.29 COD Recycling 7.50% ISW Recycling 7.50% Gross for Disposal 1,071.89 268.88 300.58 33.17 1,674.51 1,715.68 249.68 3,639.38 389.18 357.78 4,366.31 69.62% 68.04% 91.211% 94.08% 75.70% 85.70% 05.75% 110.63% 06.13% 06.13% 81.66% 11.221i YILOimta 2, What If multiples performed only half as well as in What 61? 0.6 Full Service (+/-) Programs 1,333.98 93.35 69.47 1.39 1,498.18 0614% 30.57% 21.10% 3.94% 67.50% Lon RocyclIng (Mar NV) • 12.00% (123.98) (10.64) (4.08) (0.08) (138.79) 4.05% -3.48% -124% -0.24% .629% Other Residential Wastes 205.89 212.05 259.81 33.87 711.42 0.6 13.36% 69.43% 7090% 96.06% 32.20% 18114 Recycling (Nor VV., • Total Recycling Net for Disposal after YW 6.00% (9.56) -0.62% (12.09) (7.64) (1.02) (30.30) -3.96% -2.32% -2.98% -1.37% (133.54) (22.73) (11.72) (1.10) (169.09) -6.67% -7.44% .3.56% -3.12% -7.65% 1,058.94 267.40 310.97 34.16 1,671.47 1,701.67 247.50 3,620.63 384.07 353.10 4,357.81 68.70% 87.56% 94.44% NM 75.65% 85.00% 85.00% 80.41% 85.00% 06.00% 81.15% 6.27 0.34 0.15 0.00 6.77 8.68 1.14 0.59 0.05 8.45 1,071.89 268.68 311.71 34.21 1,686.69 1,715.68 249.68 3,652.06 389.16 357.78 4.398.99 69.62% 88.04% 94.61% 97.04% 76.33% 85.70% 85.75% 81.11% 66.13% 86.13% 81.92% MAIM Manua 2.7 Total MSW with VR Gad) MSW % reductions MW w VR Less Incineration Net MSW COD 14 reductions CDD w VR ISW % reductions ISW w Total Waste Stream w VR Baseline Volume Reduction Achievement Levels saareg.ista Prokicled Disposal Needs - 1990 Generation Rates 61867 Volum* Reduction Efforts Held Constant agsusa 13:19 Oakland County 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Population 6 Fmoloyment Slats, Population 1,150872 1,159,130 1,167,389 1,175,647 1,183,906 1,192,164 1,200,168 1,208,171 1,216,175 1,224,178 1,232,182 1,240,184 1,248,186 1,256,188 1,264,190 1,272,192 Total Employment 745,309 757,472 769,636 781,799 793,963 806,126 816.139 826,151 836,164 846.176 856,189 861.630 867,071 872,511 877,952 883,393 Manufacturing Employment 119,339 118,711 118,084 117,456 116,829 116,201 117,083 117,966 118,848 119,731 120,613 120,993 121,373 121,752 122,132 122,512 Waste Stream wo Vli (tod) Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) Residential 2,169.39 2,184.96 2,200.53 2,216.09 2,231.66 2,247.23 2,262.32 2,277.40 2,292.49 2,307.58 2,322.66 2,337.75 2,35283 2.367.91 2,383.00 2,398.08 Commercial 1,885.44 1,925.10 1,964.77 2,004.43 2,044.09 2,083.76 2.110.77 2,137.78 2,164.79 2,191.80 2,218.81 2,233.69 2,248.57 2,263.44 2,278.32 2,293.20 Industrial 308.34 302.72 297.09 291.47 285.84 280.22 282.35 284.47 286.60 288.73 290.86 291.77 292.69 293.61 294.52 295.44 Total MSW 4,363.17 4,412.18 4,462.39 4,511.99 4,561.60 4,611.21 4,655.43 4,699.66 4,743.88 4,788.11 4,832.33 4,863.21 4,894.09 4,924.96 4,955.84 4,986.72 X/ capita / day (MSW only) 7.582 7.614 7.645 7.676 7.706 7.736 7.758 7.780 7.801 7.823 7.644 7.843 7.842 7.841 7.840 7.840 Const. & Demo. Debris (CDD) 438.97 443.69 448.42 453.15 457.88 462.60 466.77 470.95 475.12 479.29 483.46 486.57 489.68 492.79 495.91 499.02 Ind. Special Wastes (ISW) 439.91 431.89 423.86 415.84 407.81 399.79 402.83 405.86 40990 411.93 414.97 416.28 417.58 418.89 420.20 421.50 Total Waste Stream wo VR 5,242.05 5,28936 5,334.67 5,380.98 5,427.29 5,473.60 5,525.03 5,576.46 5,627.89 5,679.33 5,730.76 5,766.05 5,801.35 5,836.65 5,871.94 5,907.24 9 / capita / day (total Act 451) 9.110 9.125 9.139 9.154 9.168 9.183 9.207 9.231 9.255 9.279 9.302 9.299 9.296 9.293 9 290 9 287 17.38% 18.61% 19.61% 19.59% 19.58% 19.56% 19.55% 19.53% 19.52% 19.51% 19.50% 19.50% 19.50% 19.50% 19.50% 19.50% 3,604.97 3,591.71 3,587.23 3,627.94 3,668.65 3,709.36 3,745.52 3,781.69 3.817.87 3.854.06 3,890.26 3.915 10 3,939.93 3,964.77 3.989 61 4.014 44 (97.75) (97.75) (48.88) 0.00 0.00 0.00 000 0.00 000 0.00 0.00 000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3,507.22 3,493.96 3,538.36 3,627.94 3,668.65 3,709.36 3,745.52 3,781.69 3,817.87 3,854.06 3,890.26 3,915.10 3,939.93 3,964.77 3,989.61 4,014.44 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.013% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 373.12 377.14 381.16 385.18 389.20 393.21 396.76 400.30 403.85 407.39 410.94 413.58 416.23 418.87 421.52 424.17 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 373.93 367.11 360.28 353.46 346.64 339.82 342.40 344.98 347.56 350.14 352.72 353.83 354.95 356.06 357.17 358.28 4,254.27 4,238.20 4,279.80 4,366.58 4,404.49 4,442.40 4,484.68 4,526.97 4,569.28 4,611.60 4,653.93 4,682.52 4,711.11 4,739.70 4,76929 4,79668 Apparent VR Achievement Level 18.84% 19.86% 19.77% 18.85% 18.85% 18.84% 18.83% 18.82% 18.81% 18.80% 18.79% 18.79% 18.79% 18.79% 18.80% 18.80% Process Residues Composting 5.12 6.09 6.92 6.97 7.03 7.09 7.14 7.19 7.25 7.30 7.35 7.40 7.45 7.49 7.54 7.59 Recycling 22.87 23.14 23.42 23.69 23.97 24.24 24.49 24.74 24.99 25.24 25.49 25.65 25.81 25.97 26.13 26.29 COD 4.94 4.99 5.04 5.10 5.15 5.20 5.25 530 5.35 5.39 5.44 5.47 5.51 5.54 5.58 561 ISW 4.95 4.86 4.77 4.68 4.59 4.50 4.53 457 4.60 4.63 4.67 4.68 4.70 4.71 4.73 4 74 Incinerator Ash 25.90 25.90 12.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 aoo 0.00 0.00 oao 0.00 0.00 0.0.0 0.00 Sub-total, Process Residues 63.77 64.99 53.10 40.44 40.74 41.03 41.42 41.80 42.18 42.56 42.94 43.20 43.46 43.72 43.98 44.24 Total Disposal Needs 4,318.04 4,303.19 4,332.90 4.40702 4,445.23 4,483.43 4,526.10 4,568.77 4,611.46 4,654.16 4,896.87 4,725.72 4.75457 4,783.42 4,812.27 4,841,12 Actual VR Achievement Level 17.63% 18.63% 18.78% 18 10% 18.09% 18.09% 18.08% 18.07% 18.06% 18.05% 18.04% 18.04% 18.04% 18.05% 18 05% 18.05% (not Including incineration) 16.26% 17.27% 18.11% 18.10% 18.09% 18.09% 18.08% 18.07% 18.06% 18.05% 18.04% 18.04% 18.04% 18.05% 18.05% 18.05% 97Dtm .0._AM11191Elafiliatth MSW 1,935,521 1,928,947 1,953,858 2,003,088 2,025,558 2,048,029 2,067,991 2,087,959 2,107,932 2,127,912 2,147,898 2.161,610 2,175,322 2,189,034 2,202,745 2,216,457 Ash 9,455 9,455 4,727 0 o o o o o o o o o o o 0 Sub-total, Type II 1,944,976 1,938,401 1,958,585 2,003,088 2,025,558 2,048,029 2,067,991 2,087,959 2,107,932 2,127,912 2,147,898 2,161,610 2,175,322 2,189,034 2,202,745 2,216,457 COD 137,992 139,478 140,964 142,450 143,936 145,423 146,734 148,045 149,356 150,667 151,978 152,956 153,935 154,913 155,891 156,869 18W 158,045 155,162 152,279 149,396 146,513 143,630 144,721 145,811 146,902 147,993 149,084 149,553 150,022 150,492 150,961 151,431 Sub-total, Type III 296,037 294,640 293,243 291,846 290.449 289,053 291,454 293,856 296,258 298,660 301,062 302,509 303,957 305,405 306,852 308,300 Grand Total 2,241,013 2,233,041 2,251,829 2,294,934 ,316,008 2,337,08 .359,445 2,381,815 2,404,190 2.426,572 2.448,959 2,464,119 2,479,279 2,494,438 2,509.598 2,524,157 97 Demo - Annual Gateyards MSW 3,871,043 3,857,893 3,907.716 4,006,175 4,051,117 4,096,058 4,135,982 4,175,917 4,215,865 4,255,824 4,295,795 4,323,219 4,350,643 4,378,067 4,405,490 4,432,914 0 o o 0 0 0 Ash 9,455 9,455 4,727 0 o o o o o o Sub-total, Type II 3,880,498 3,867,348 3,912,443 4,006,175 4,051,117 4,096,058 4,135,982 4,175,917 4,215,865 4,255,824 4,295,795 4,323,219 4,350,643 4,378,067 4,405,490 4,432,914 COD 275,983 278,956 281,928 264,900 287,873 290,845 293,467 296,089 298,712 301,334 303,956 305,913 307,869 309,826 311.782 313,739 15W 158,045 155,162 152,279 149,396 146,513 143.630 144,721 145,811 146,902 147,993 149.084 149,553 150.022 150,492 150.961 151.431 Sub-total, Type III 434,029 434,118 434,207 431_296 434,386 434,475 4311,188 441901 445214 449,327 453,040 455„466 457,892 460,318 462,744 - - 4 6 .1, 6- - Grand Total 4,314,526 4,301,466 4,346,951 4,440-A72 4,485503 4,530,533 4,574,170 4,617,918 4.68'1,279 4,705,151 4,749.835 4,778,685 4,808,535 4,838085 4,868.234 4,1198983 Chapter 3 - Disposal Facility Inventory and Inter-County Flows Chapter 3 Disposal Facility Inventory and Inter-County Flows Based upon the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality disposal facility database and upon discussions with MDEQ staff and facility owners, a revised inventory of Michigan's disposal facilities (landfills and incinerators and/or waste-to-energy facilities) has been prepared. This is shown in the exhibits following. This information, when coupled with knowledge of remaining permissible disposal capacity, local annual disposal requirements, permissible inter- county flows, and probable inter-county flows, allows long term facility availability to be calculated. As applicable to Oakland County, summary material is shown in the exhibits following the map displays. The exhibit on Page 3.7 shows each of the landfills within the immediate Oakland County area, the estimated remaining capacity (shown in bankyards) as of a date certain and the gateyard operating levels reported to the MDEQ for those periods from October 1, 1995 through September 30, 1996 and from October 1, 1996 through September 30, 1997. These factors together allow the estimated remaining lifetime of each facility to be calculated. Such calculations are based on the assumption that each landfill operator achieves a certain density of wastes in the final facility and that the 95-96 and 96-97 average reported operating level is maintained on into the future. Once the projected lifetime of each landfill is known, it is then possible to estimate how long Oakland County's export opportunities to a given facility will remain available. It must be noted that opportunities here are defined by the maximum amount of permissible intercounty flows from Oakland County into the subject host county facilities. This information is displayed in the exhibit on Page 3.8. As in the 1996 and 1997 Demonstration of Available Capacity reports, the level of permissive exports to Wayne County' has been maintained at theoretical zero. The Michigan Department of Environmental Quality has previously advised that since the January, 1995 mandated Wayne County Plan Update Amendment was disallowed by a ruling of the Wayne County Circuit Court, none could be counted upon by Oakland County in its annual demonstrations even though such exports are permissible because of a related consent judgement filed in the same Court. Although Oakland County believes that it can be successfully argued that MDEQ's position on this matter is incorrect and that exports to Wayne County in the annual maximum amount of 2 million gateyards are in fact permissible, Oakland County chooses not to make an issue on this at the present time. Three factors lead to this position. First, Wayne County is in the process of amending its plan. Second, even without counting upon these exports, Oakland County can be shown to have available disposal capacity beyond that required for the 1998 Demonstration. Third, exports to Wayne County do in fact occur daily under provisions of the consent judgement. 'The level of permissive exports to Wayne County as shown in Oakland County capacity demonstrations increased from 1 million gateyards per year in the 1994 Plan Update Amendment to 2 million gateyards per year in the 1995 Demonstration documents. This increase was in concert with a formal request from Wayne County to MDNR and the published MDNR mandated amendments to the Wayne County Plan Update. Chapter 3 - Page 1 l (A) Lower Michigan's Disposal Facilities April, 1998 Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan Ammo 01711;a2.1111 AlITI 411 1111 11.111111111111•11111 M111111111•111 mental Con 0 Elk Run Mon immir Now Emir m dl burg rak NIL Lest34 O Type II Landfills * Waste-to-Energy & Incinerator Plants • Special Purpose Landfills (Type III) lask * Hazardous Waste Landfills (Type I) .J8. PE April 20.1998 -11111111rp. A Lafarge cpv, Li For Monroe and Wayne Typo I & III facility name% see SE Michigan map. 0 25 50 75 100 Co rn°1 ° o (..A) Mall1014 111111=311 10111111111111111111t 111111111110111111111111111111111V 111111111111111111111111111111 11,11,6 1111110 °Avitnr low • "P 11111111111111111 it iraa,=romrmr Apprcodrnote Scale in Mlles Notes: Report maps are based on Polttical Townships and/or Counties. atlas and Villages not shown. Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan 0 5 10 Miles April. 1998 Sibley Quarry Disposal Facilities In Southeastern Michigan O Type II Landfills * Waste-to-Energy & Incinerator Plants • Special Purpose Landfills (Type Ill) * Hazanious Waste Landfills (Type 0 RJ5, l'E April 20,1998 3 . 4 Owner Township Type II Bankyard Availability Comment Basic Ash Mono Type III Type I Section Type Cells? Cells? Cells? Landfill Name Co. # County 5.320 6.500 42.947 Modified 15.250 0.500 Estimated 4.000 1.000 1.500 2.417 24.158 Modified 6.000 Estimated 3.000 1.628 8.142 8.200 0.060 5.680 1.320 2.200 0.750 Adjusted 6.900 11.130 4.500 35.000 94.244 Modified 17.400 16.600 23.419 11.000 New Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan Michigan's Landfills - April. 199? (Type II capacity expressed in millions of bankyards available on or since 1-1-94, see Special Note #3) 191.1thItatitertIPIEChIclan 9 Bay Bay Bay 19 Clinton 25 Genesee Genesee 32 Huron 33 Ingham Ingham Ingham 38 Jackson Jackson 44 Lapeer 46 Lenawee 50 Macomb 56 Midland Midland 58 Monroe Monroe Monroe Monroe Monroe 63 Oakland Oakland Oakland Oakland 73 Saginaw Saginaw Saginaw Saginaw 74 St. Clair St. Clair St. Clair 76 Sanilac 78 Shiawassee 81 Wastiteriaw 82 Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne Wayne CDSintitl_r_27,CQUIlEtS Pinconning Twp. Hampton Twp. Hampton Twp. Watertown Twp. Montrose Twp. Mundy Twp. Sheridan Twp. Lansing Twp. Lansing Twp. Lansing Twp. Blackman Twp. Liberty Twp. Bumside Twp. Palmyra Twp. Lenox Twp. Midland Twp. Midland Twp. Erie Twp. - 9S, 8E Monroe Twp. Erie Twp. Ash Twp. Berlin Twp. Pontiac Twp. Orion Twp. Pontiac Twp. Rochester Hills Taymouth Twp. James Twp. Taymouth Twp. Buena Vista Twp. Fort Gratiot Twp. Kimball Twp. China Twp. Bridgehampton Twp. Venice Twp Salem Twp. Van Buren Twp. Sumpter Twp. Riverview Canton Twp. Van Buren Twp. Taylor Livonia Taylor Allen Park Huron Twp. Monquagon Twp. Tsttal 2 II 1 III 1 Ill 29 II 23 II 23 II 22 II 3 II 13 III 3 Ill 24 II Yes Yes 1 III 21 II 6 II 23 II 12 II 35 III 6 II 16 III 14 Ill 8 III 34 III 9 II 27 II 2 II 24 II 15 II 1 II 15 II 5 III 16 ll - Closed, Not Shown 32 II 12 Ill 32 II 27 II 13 II 17 36 Il Yes 11 II 35 II 1 II 33 II 27 III 34 Ill 36 III 36 III 7 III VVhitefeather Landfill D. E. Karn Plant J. C. Weadock Coal Ash Disposal Granger #2 Landfill Brent Run Landfill Citizens Disposal Cove Landfill Granger #1 Landfill Daggett Sand & Gravel North Lansing Landfill McGill Road Landfill Liberty Environmentalist Pioneer Rock Landfill Adrian Landfill Pine Tree Acres City of Midland Landfill Salzburg Road Sanitary Landfill Vienna Junction Monroe Power Plant Ash Basin J. R. Whiling Plant Matlin Road Landfill Wayne Disposal - Rockwood Landfill Collier Road Landfill Eagle Valley RDF Oakland Heights SOCRRA Landfill People's Garbage Disposal, Inc. Miller Road Landfill Taymouth Landfill GM Central Foundry - Grey Iron Plant Fort Gratiot Smith Creek Range Road Property Tr-City RDF Venice Park Landfill Arbor Hills West Landfill Only Wayne Disposal Site #2 Carleton Farrns Riverview Land Preserve Sauk Trail Hills Woodland Meadows RDF* Taylor Landfill Site City of Livonia LF Site Edward C. Levy Yes Ford Allen Park Clay Mine Landfill Huron Quarry SLF Sibley Quarry USA Waste Services, Inc. Consumers Power Co. Consumers Power Co. Granger Land Development Co. USA Waste Services - (+ 32.887) Allied Waste Industries, Inc. Mitech Services Granger Land Development Co. Daggett Sand & Gravel, Inc. Board of Water & Light USA Waste Services, Inc. Liberty Environmentalist USA Waste Services, Inc. Allied Waste Industries, Inc. USA Waste Services - (+ 14.133) City of Midland Dow Chemical Co. Browning-Ferris Industries Detroit Edison Co. Consumers Power Co. Regulated Resource Recovery, Inc. Standard Disposal Services, Inc. City of Pontiac Waste Management Allied Waste Industries, Inc. SOCRRA USA Waste Services, Inc. USA Waste Services, Inc. Tay-Ban Corp. General Motors --- Closed. Spring 1995 -- St. Clair Solid Waste Agency Detroit Edison Co. Waste Management Waste Management Browning-Ferris Industries Environmental Quality USA Waste Services - (+ 66.144) City of Riverview Allied Waste Industries, Inc. Waste Management Designated site only. City of Livonia Edward C. Levy Co. Ford Motor Company Central Wayne Co. Sanitary Auth. Detroit Edison Company 4E landfills in 16 counties - 26 Type Ils in 16 counties a Bankyard availability is capacity which was designated prior to 1-1-94 and that designated since. Adjustments were made for capacity lost because of premature closures. Data was obtained from a MVVIA report dated 3-25-94, from the MDEQ permit database Report #4 dated 10-18-95 and from follow-on discussions with MDEQ staff and various facility operators. Available Type II Capacity 360.765 newmap2.w1c4 Oakland County Solid Waste Planning RJS, P.E. 04/16/98 Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan !'" c Upper Michigan's Disposal Facilities April, 1998 O Type II Landfills * Waste-to-Energy & Incinerator Plants • Special Purpose Landfills (Type III) * Hazardous Waste 14:mar1ne (Type I) Aperroornece 0cate in Miles 00 75 100 &IS. FE 4120/90 Great, Lakes Pulp & Fibre Mich Environs id • At .mr‘ \ AMMINn 14.4411111111111101.6. _Awidllummummik tirmianumminamalk if mum 1112-11. Aft 1112111111115trir- ..mw f *am • ma &. 4rd11111151101MIIIIIIIMMEMIN EMI 1 4111111111111011M1= 111111111111011111... MI 11.1111111111161.11111 AliIre° ' FCCi w7;:i; wrd , 111111.111 In met nal EAcanaba r - tesgsra of Wisconsin ,„ , 1115 tone FlepAeh Landfill Solid Waste Database Mow Much Annual Oparating Canaakv Will Se Available in the !Union? Oakland County, Michigan Average glyds/bankyard 1.94 (Millions of Gatsysrds) 98(3YDREGMK4 RJS, PE 04/21/98 12:25 Feta. Oa'Ord Eagle Collar Pewees Citizen, Brent RivenOw INcerland Sauk Trail CarMan Year HeIglea VIIlirf Road SOCRRA Alt. Nib Acres Dianna' rem NIeltenda_% Mb m,rms T kr Nth Named NM Flamed ERIMMLEGEOL. Addidonal? AddIllaral? Nov Facity7 Vas Yee Yes Year 2000 11.000 lankysscle rernalning d 1/1/99 5.892 4.485 0.592 0.003 28.814 22.925 13.882 41.209 14.720 28.521 12.828 90.848 0.000 *mull Averags Getrfards, 069 1.441 1.712 0.389 0.050 3.045 1.198 0.808 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 0.000 1992 0.712 0.716 0.156 0.000 2.955 0.832 0.715 0.500 1.032 2.574 1.000 1.872 0.000 1993 0.712 0.716 0.156 0.000 2.955 0.832 0.715 0.500 1.032 2.574 1.600 1.872 0.000 1994 0.970 2.087 0.156 0.000 2.955 0.832 0.715 0.500 1.032 2.574 1.600 1.872 0.000 1995 0.954 1.583 0.330 0.000 2.955 0.832 0.715 0.500 1.500 2.496 2.000 3.524 0.000 1996 1.219 1.748 0.385 0.002 3.013 0.883 0.582 0.908 1.565 3.891 1.878 3.658 0.000 1997 1.663 1.677 0.393 0.004 3.078 1.509 1.029 0.778 1.102 3.523 2.227 3.317 0.000 1998 1.441 1.712 0.389 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 0.000 1999 1.441 1.712 0.389 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3,488 0.000 2000 1.441 1.712 0.370 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2001 1.441 1.712 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2002 1.441 1.712 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2003 1.441 0.138 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2004 1.441 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2005 0.953 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2006 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2007 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2008 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 2.053 3.488 1.500 2009 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 1.917 3.488 1.500 2010 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.707 3.488 1.500 2011 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.257 3.488 1.500 2012 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.488 1.500 2013 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.488 1.500 2014 - 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.488 2015 0.003 3.045 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.488 2016 0.003 1.082 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.488 2017 0.003 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.488 2018 0.003 1.196 0.806 0.843 1.333 3.488 2019 0.003 1.196 0.806 0.843 0.559 3.488 2020 0.003 1.196 0.806 0.843 3.488 Facility Loam. Plower Tti City Skley Won Ford Levy McLouth City of Wayne Dap. Year Loom Rock Santo Quarry Quarry Alen Park Yoke Sled Lioria Rockwood Special Totals % ham Won & Lie EMISMUM9111 Castile North CDO ISW 931t to Jackson Co. 66116 Flat 5oatyard. remaking at 1/1/99 1.348 2.240 2.500 13.338 1.108 1.417 1.558 4.855 0.888 21.883 Arrant Awns. Ginsyards, 969 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 1992 0.749 0.085 0.125 0.400 0.025 0.200 0.400 0.150 0.020 0.215 0.140 16.717 1993 0.749 0.085 0.125 0.400 0.025 0.200 0.400 0.150 0.020 0.215 0.137 16.722 1994 0.749 0.085 0.125 0.400 0.025 0.200 0.400 0.150 0.020 0.215 0,133 17.795 1995 0.749 0.085 0.125 0.400 0.025 0.200 0.400 0.150 0.020 0.215 0.130 19.888 1996 0.271 0.085 0.136 0.244 0.025 0.121 0.356 0.000 0.008 0.034 0.131 21.143 1997 0.310 0.090 0.271 0.243 0.040 0.148 0.341 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.133 22.120 1998 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.134 21.733 1999 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.135 21.734 2000 0.290 0.1387 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.137 23.216 2001 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.139 22.848 2002 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.140 22.849 2003 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.142 21.277 2004 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.144 21.141 2005 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.349 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.146 20.655 2006 0.290 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.234 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.148 19.589 2007 0.000 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.150 19.067 2008 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.152 19.069 2009 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.154 18.935 2010 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.156 17.020 2011 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.158 16.572 2012 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.160 13.317 2013 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.162 13.319 2014 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.164 11.821 2015 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.166 11.823 2016 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.168 9.861 2017 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.135 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.170 8.782 2018 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.058 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.172 8.707 2019 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.174 7.877 2020 0.087 0.204 0.244 0.033 0.000 0.009 0.232 0.176 7.320 3.7 Note', No new facilities or expansions beyond those plan designations which existed at the time of this report preparation are assumed in this analysis. 98GYDREG.W1(4 04/18/98 10:58 RJS, PE Solid Waste Database Oakland County, Michigan Oakland County's AvailablellisiDosaLCaoacity Opportunities (all values in millions of annualliatelardl) Less Total Imports at 17% Oakland Export Maximum of Oaldand Available Year In-County Livingston Lapeer Monroe SanNac Lenawee Macomb Genesee VVashtenaw Washtenaw VVayne Opportunities Available capacity Capacity Primary Secondary 1992 2.728 0.000 0.028 0.250 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.563 7.291 6.827 1993 2.136 0.000 0.028 0.250 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.563 6.699 6.336 1994 3.213 0.000 0.028 0.250 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.563 7.776 7.230 1995 2.867 0.000 0.028 0.250 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.563 7.430 6.943 1996 3.352 0.000 0.028 0.090 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.404 7.756 7.186 1997 3.734 0.000 0.030 0.046 0.103 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.465 8.198 7.564 1998 3.543 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.097 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 2.000 4.457 8.000 7.398 1999 3.543 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.097 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.457 6.000 5.398 2000 3.524 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.097 0,510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.457 5.981 5.382 2001 3.154 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.097 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.457 5.611 5.075 2002 3.154 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.097 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.457 5.611 5.075 2003 1.580 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.097 0,510 0.025 1.500 . 0.250 0.000 2.457 4.037 3.768 2004 1.441 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.097 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.457 3.898 3.653 2005 0.953 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.097 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.457 3.411 3.249 2006 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.097 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.457 2.457 2.457 2007 0.000 0.003 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 to 2008 0.000 0.003 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 2009 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 CO 2010 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 2011 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 2012 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 2013 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 2014 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 2015 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 2016 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 1.500 0.250 0.000 2.361 2.361 2.361 2017 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.611 0.611 0.611 2018 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.611 0.611 0.611 2019 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.611 0.611 0.611 2020 0.000 0.000 0.029 0.046 0.000 0.000 0.510 0.025 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.611 0.611 0.611 Chapter 4 - Inter-State and Inter-Country Flows Chapter 4 Inter-state and Inter-country Waste Flows In the June 1, 1992 Fort Gratiot decision, the US Supreme Court determined that Michigan counties could not bar the import of out-of-state wastes by simple provisions contained in their planning documents. If there is a willing landfill operator, such wastes can flow unhindered. Since that time, a considerable amount of out-of-state wastes beyond that planned for in the 83 county solid waste management plans has been disposed of in Michigan. This is a problem of major concern to all. A report released by the Michigan Waste Industries Association in March of 1994 indicated that in 1993, approximately 962,000 tons of out-of-state wastes were imported into Michigan, 68,740 tons were exported, leaving a net import of 893,260 tons. This would have resulted in approximately 3.6 million net gateyards of waste imports for 1993 - assuming such wastes were transferred at densities of 500 pounds per cubic gateyard or four gateyards per ton. In 1996, Michigan legislation was adopted which required mandatory and uniform reporting by disposal facility operators as to the amount, type and source of wastes received at their facilities. In the first annual report since adoption of the legislation, 5,689,767 gateyards of out-of-state waste imports were identified during FY96 (October 1, 1995 through September 30, 1996). This represented about 13% of the total waste stream handled. However, a substantial additional portion of the total wastes handled were not assigned as to source (6,588,364 gateyards or about 16%) since the legislation was adopted midway through the first reporting year. In the FY97 report, 5,581,452 gateyards or 12.8% were reported from out-of-state sources and 101,746 gateyards or 0.2% were reported from unknown sources. Unfortunately, no current accounting of exports of Michigan's wastes is required. However, indications to MDEQ staff from other states are that exports remain in the 69,000 ton per year range. It is not projected that any of Oakland County's solid waste stream is currently exported from Michigan. The inter-state movements of waste are generally driven by economics. If it is cheaper to pay the cost of transportation as well as the cost of disposal of the wastes at a landfill elsewhere than it is to dispose of the wastes locally - and as long as there are willing landfill operators, wastes will be imported and exported. This continues to point in new directions if such imports are to be controlled in a reasonable manner and if Michigan's counties are required to plan for the future disposal of their own wastes. First, would be governmental ownership of future landfills. Without a willing owner/operator, imports could not come. In the alternative, any new private sector landfill sited or expanded, should be allowed only in the presence of a "host community agreement" where the owner willingly agrees to limit or simply not accept such wastes. In the Carbone decision of May 15, 1994, the US Supreme Court perhaps even made the governmental ownership option a mute point. In this decision, the Supreme Court essentially barred governmental agencies from entering into flow control agreements for the future waste stream which would form the basis of financing such proposals. Subsequent lower level appellate court decisions have provided some basis for flow control arrangements, but these matters are still hotly debated across the nation. Chapter 4 - Page 1 Chapter 4 - Inter-State and Inter-Country Flows Although legislation at the national level has been proposed to grandfather older flow control arrangements thus guaranteeing prior financing arrangements, future programs based on flow control would be allowed only under a strenuous set of conditions. Additionally, national legislation has been proposed to allow some level of inter-state and inter-country flow restrictions - supposedly at that level which existed as of a certain point in time. However, adoption of such legislation remains speculative at best. In the June 16, 1995 C.L.A.R.E. decision, Michigan's Court of Appeals upheld the legality of Michigan's Act 451 inter-county flow restrictions. In that case, the Court acknowledged that with the Fort Gratiot and Carbone decisions, nothing prevents a landfill operator "...from seeking out-of-state markets nor deprives out-of-state businesses from having access to this state's local markets. In fact, rather than burdening interstate commerce, the statute (Act 451) appears to now afford out-of-state businesses preferential access to local markets." All of this leaves some solid waste planning agencies in a quandary. They are currently required to site or arrange for access rights to landfill capacity for disposal of their own wastes for at least ten years. Failure to do so requires that a mechanism exist for the siting of additional capacity to be used when the reserves fall below some minimum level. When this occurs, additional capacity is required and essentially is forced. Existing capacity is being depleted by unplanned or unwanted out-of-state wastes, bringing the next landfill siting closer in time. Even should a county's legal reserves become depleted, landfills in neighboring counties may be aggressively marketing more than a sufficient amount of capacity to solve the first county's problem, to out-of-state waste generators. Unless they own or otherwise control the landfill facilities so that usage by others can be tightly controlled, how does one determine how much capacity to provide? For the purposes of this report, total flows into each landfill (including inter-state and inter-country flows of wastes) have been projected to remain constant at the levels reported by each landfill operator during that two year period from October 1, 1995 through September 30, 1997. Pending national legislation may provide the opportunity to control the inter-state and inter- country flows in the future, but at present that appears highly unlikely. Chapter 4 - Page 2 Chapter 5 - Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity Chapter 5 Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity Oakland County's projected future waste stream was measured against available in-county landfill capacity and against export opportunities to other willing host counties. As shown in the exhibit on Page 5.2, Oakland County waste generators appear to have access to more than a sufficient amount of landfill capacity until some time during the Year 2003. When available disposal capacity starts to fall below the current need level, it is assumed that all available in-county disposal capacity would then be applied to extend the theoretical depletion date as far as possible into the future. Calculations show that it would be extended well into the Year 2004. As may be seen, disposal opportunities exceed estimated needs by approximately 19% for the Year 2000. In fact, disposal opportunities exceed needs by a substantially larger margin because of court permitted exports to Wayne County. With approval of the new Wayne County Solid Waste Plan Update, wherein such flows are to be quantified, these flows may be officially recognized in the annual demonstration documents and the excess disposal opportunities increase dramatically to nearly 63% in the Year 2000. For an additional analysis of disposal capacity availability, see the "What If...?" appendix. This Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity process will be revisited each year so that changes to the findings contained herein may be noted and appropriate actions taken to provide access to additional disposal capacity, well before a crisis might arise. Findings: Oakland County has access to more than 66 months of disposal capacity beyond June 30, 1998. Therefore, Oakland County's Interim Siting Mechanism for landfill facilities need not be made operative through 1999 as provided for in Act 451 as amended. Chapter 5 - Page 1 Oakland County Disposal Capacity Availability Spring, 1998 • Total Needs ..c> Type II Needs wo COD & ISW Available In-County Capacity e Total Available to Oakland Co. Millions of Gateyards 2006 2008 2010 Principal Variables Demonstrated Volume Reduction Achievement Levels Region's Landfill Density Factor 98 MSW VR • 98 CDD VR_ 98 ISW VR (Gateyards per Bankyard) 19.61% 15.00% 15.00% 1940. Year 2000 Excess Disposal Oppigignitgas 18.79% Year During Which Insufficient Capacity Occurs AlleLExhattating All Remaining Available In-County Capacity 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Year Ending on December 31, 17% 1997 Total Gtyds = 4.347 Imports as a % of available in-county capacity [ Annualgaleyankiram—, Oaldand County 04/01/98 09:09 Alternate Disposal Opportunities Wayne Co. BFI's A.1-1. Genesee Co. 0.000 0.250 0.025 2004 Apparent Shortage Year 2003 RJS, PE 11:28 0420/98 98GYDREGIAK4 Appendix APPENDIX List of Contents: Selected portions of the 1994 Plan Update Amendments - Certification of Available Disposal Capacity Selected Portions of Act 451 of the Public Acts of 1994 as Amended What If...? List of References Certification of Available Disposal Capacity The material below was exceroted from the 1994 Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Menamement Plan Update - Chaner 5, Page 6. III. The BoC shall annually certify and demonstrate remaining available disposal capacity. A. Certification of available disposal capacity shall be made annually, by June 30 of each year. If a sufficient amount of disposal capacity is available such that during the entire next calendar year the County's disposal capacity will not fall below that minimum reserve required by Amended Act 641 or MDNR, landfill Requests shall not be considered, commencing with the certification date and continuing on through December 31 of the year following. If the amount of available disposal capacity is expected to become insufficient such that during the next calendar year the County's disposal capacity will fall below that minimum reserve required by Amended Act 641 or MONR, landfill Requests will be received by staff during the next calendar year beginning on the insufficient capacity date certified. B. The certification process shall include either the rpc-prtifirAtinn of the data contained in Chapters 1, 2, 3 and 4 of this Plan Amendment or the preparation of updated replacement data and information. It is understood that such certifications do not constitute a plan amendment but will allow each certification to rely on up to date data. C. Certification may be made at any other time as is deemed appropriate by the BoC. Such certifications shall supersede all previous certifications, shall become effective 30 days after adoption, and will remain in effect until the next mid-term or annual certification. Such mid-term rprtifiratinns, upon the date they become effective, shall not impact upon landfill Requests which have been previously received by the County Executive and which were properly and timely submitted as provided in III. A. above. D. Should additional disposal capacity be found consistent with the plan, the certified available disposal capacity values shall be automatically adjusted to account for the newly designated capacity on the date such capacity is found consistent. No official action by the Board of Commissioners is necessary for this adjustment to take effect. Certification - Page 1 Selected Portions of Act 451 of the Public Acts of 1994 as Amended Sec. 11538. (2) Each solid waste management plan shall identify specific sites for solid waste disposal areas for a 5-year period after approval of a plan or plan update (approval date being the date approved by the MDEQ Director). In calculating disposal need requirements to measure compliance with this section, only those existing waste stream volume reduction levels achieved through source reduction, reuse, composting, recycling, or incineration, or any combination of these reduction devices, that can currently be demonstrated or that can be reasonably expected to be achieved through currently active implementation efforts for proposed volume reduction projects, may be assumed by the planning entity. In addition, if the solid waste management plan does not also identify specific sites for solid waste disposal areas for the remaining portion of the entire planning period required by this act (10 years) after approval of a plan or plan update, the solid waste management plan shall include an interim siting mechanism and an annual certification process as described in subsection (3) and (4). In calculating the capacity of identified disposal areas to determine if disposal needs are met for the entire required planning period, full achievement of the solid waste management plan's volume reduction goals may be assumed by the planning entity if the plan identifies a detailed programmatic approach to achieving these goals. If a siting mechanism is not included, and disposal capacity falls to less than 5 years of capacity, a county shall amend its plan to resolve the shortfall. (3) An interim siting mechanism shall include both a process and a set of minimum siting criteria, both of which are not subject to interpretation or discretionary acts by the planning entity, and which if met by an applicant submitting a disposal area proposal, will guarantee a finding of consistency with the plan. The interim siting mechanism shall be operative upon the call of the board of commissioners or shall automatically be operative whenever the annual certification process shows that available disposal capacity will provide for less than 66 months of disposal needs. In the latter event, applications for a finding of consistency from the proposers for disposal area capacity will be received by the planning agency commencing on January 1 following completion of the annual certification process. Once operative, an interim siting mechanism will remain operative for at least 90 days or until more than 66 months of disposal capacity is once again available, either by the approval of a request for consistency or by the adoption of new certification process which concludes that more than 66 months of disposal capacity is available. (4) An annual certification process shall be concluded by June 30 of each year, commencing on the first June 30 which is more than 12 months after the department's approval of the plan or plan update. The certification process will examine the remaining disposal area capacity available for solid wastes generated within the planning area. In calculating disposal need requirements to measure compliance with this section, only those existing waste stream volume reduction levels achieved through source reduction, reuse, composting, recycling, or incineration, or any combination of these reduction devices, that can currently be demonstrated or that can be reasonably expected to be achieved through currently active implementation efforts for proposed volume reduction projects, may be assumed. The annual certification of disposal capacity shall be approved by the board of commissioners. Failure to approve an annual certification by June 30 is equivalent to a finding that less than a sufficient amount of capacity is available and the interim siting mechanism will then be operative on the first day of the following January. As part of the department's responsibility to act on construction permit applications, the department has final decision authority to approve or disapprove capacity certifications and to determine consistency of a proposed disposal area with the solid waste management plan. (5) A board of commissioners may adopt a new certification of disposal capacity at any time. A new certification of disposal capacity shall supersede all previous certifications, and become effective 30 days after adoption by the board of commissioners and remain in effect until subsequent certifications are adopted. Note: Sections in bold italics added for clarity. Act 451 - Page 1 What If...? What If...? It is appropriate to ask a series of "What If..." questions when examining the future and making decisions concerning the availability of solid waste disposal capacity. How accurate are the waste stream projections that are being used in the analysis? The FY97 landfill report data shows considerably more gateyards of waste generated in Oakland County than the projection models show. The revised models show 4,346,651 gateyards for 1997 and the report displayed 4,760,844 gateyards, a difference of 414,193 gateyards or 9.53% more than the model values. A worst case approach would be to simply run the analysis a second time using the report values. Adjusting the model values upwards so that 1997 matches the gateyards contained in the FY 97 report results in the same year of deficiency, 2004, albeit 55 days earlier in the year. This is shown in the "worst case" exhibit on Page WI.2. Even though using the FY97 gateyard data produces essentially the same final time line results as the models, Oakland County believes that the current projection models reflect an accurate future picture of disposal capacity needs in terms of cubic yards of completed landfill volume (bankyards). Landfill capacity needs are not defined by the number of gateyards of waste delivered to facilities but by the total weight of the various classifications of waste. Whether haulers bring the material tightly compacted within the delivery containers or loosely compacted makes no difference in the amount of landfill volume ultimately utilized. See additional discussion in Chapter 2. Michigan law requires that demonstrations of available disposal capacity be conducted by June 30 of each year and if less than 66 months of disposal capacity is found to be available, applications for a finding of consistency from the proposers for disposal area capacity will be received commencing of the next January 1. June 30, 1998 plus 66 months yields an end or target date of December 31, 2003. What occurs when the disposal opportunities in Wayne County are factored into play? As shown in the Disposal Capacity Availability Details exhibits on Pages WI.3 and WI.4, whether the Oakland County waste stream projection model is used or that model is forced to match the FY97 landfill report, sufficient disposal capacity exists into year 2006, well beyond the 66 month target. What if additional inter-county flows are authorized beyond those used in the analysis or what if additional capacity were approved in Oakland County? Each occurrence would simply increase Oakland County's opportunities for disposal and improve upon the future picture. Finally, what if Oakland County solid waste generators achieve a larger percentage of volume reduction than is currently observed? As may be seen in the "details" exhibits and given no additional inter-county flow authorizations than those assumed in the basic analysis set, sufficient capacity to beyond the year 2010 is perhaps possible. The basic conclusions that can be drawn from such analysis is that within the realm of reasonable scenarios, Oakland County has access to more than 66 months of disposal capacity beyond June 30, 1998. It is quite probable that sufficient capacity will be available well beyond that point in time. What If...? - Page 1 Oakland County Disposal Capacity Availability Spring, 1998 • Total Needs • Type II Needs wo CDD & ISW * Available In-County Capacity B Total Available to Oakland Co. Worst Case Analysis Need Curves Adjusted to Match FY97 Landfill Report Millions of Gateyards 2006 2008 2010 Principal Variables Demonstrated Volume Reduction Achievement Levels Region's Landfill Density Factor 98 MSWVR 98 COD VR 98 ISWVR (Gateyards per Bankyard) 19.61% 15.00% 15.00% 1.940 Year 2000 Excess Disposal Opportunities 8.46% Year During Which Insufficient Capacity Occurs After Exhausting AN Remaining Available In-County Capacity 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Year Ending on December 31, 17% 1997 Total Glyds = 4.761 [ Imports as a % of available in-county capacity I Annual gateyards from Oakland County 04/01198 09:09 Alternate Disposal Opportunities Wayne Co. BFI's A.H. Genesee Co. 0.000 0.250 0.025 2004 Apparent Shortage Year 2003 RJS, PE 11:32 mass 98GYDREG.M4 10 8 6 Millions of Gateyards 4 2 2010 2006 2008 0.025 0.046 0.000 0.126 17% 'Chart Basis 4,346,661 97 gateyardsi Export Opportunities in Millions of Gateyards VVayne 2.000 Genesee Washtenaw 1 1.500 Monroe INashtenaw 2 0.250 SanNac Macomb 0.510 Others Year 2000 Total Export Opportunities 4.457 RA: PE 11:52 04/20/98 98GYDREGAAK4 Principal Variables Demonstrated Volume Redudion Achievement Levels Region's Landfill Density Factor 96 MSWVR 96 COD VR 96 ISWVR (Gateyards per BanIcyard) 19.61% 15.00% 15.00% 1.940 -I Imports as a % of available in-county capacity Annualgateyards from Oakland County 04101198 09:09 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Year Ending on December 31, Oakland County Disposal Capacity Availability Details Spring, 1998 IF Total Needs • Type II Needs * Net In-County e Wayne • Washtenaw Primary * VVashtenaw Secondary • Macomb if,. Genesee Other Opportunities Future VR 10 8 6 Millions of Gateyards 4 2 0 2006 2008 2010 2.000 Genesee Monroe Sanlac Others 0.025 0.046 0.000 0.126 Wayne Washtenaw 1 1.500 Washtenavr 2 0.250 Macomb 0.510 Principal Variables Demonstrated Volume Reduction Achievement Levels Region's Landfill Density Factor 96 WISW VR 96 CDD VH 96 ISVV VII tGateyards per Bankyard) 19.61% 15.00% 15.00% 1.940 Imports as a % of available In-county capacity Annual gatoyards from Oakland County 04/01/98 09:09 Year 2000 Total Export Opportunities 4.457 RJS. PE 11:51 04/20/95 98GYDREG.IAK4 17% 'Chart Basis 4,760,844 97 gateyards I 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Year Ending on December 31, Oakland County Disposal Capacity Availability Details Spring, 1998 it Total Needs .0. Type 11 Needs * Net In-County e Wayne • Washtenaw Primary Washtenaw Secondary • Macomb * Genesee Jr_ Other Opportunities 0 Future VR Export Opportunities in Millions of Gateyards References References 1. Amendments to the 1990 Solid Waste Management Plan Update, Oakland County, Michigan. Basic Solid Waste Database, Inter-County Flow Arrangements, Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity, Interim Siting Mechanism, Contingency Plan, and Designation of Additional Disposal Capacity. As adopted by the Oakland County Board of Commissioners, June 9, 1994. 2. Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - May, 1995 and Oakland County Board of Commissioners Miscellaneous Resolution #95140 dated May 11, 1995. 3. Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - May, 1996 and Oakland County Board of Commissioners Miscellaneous Resolution #96117 dated May 23, 1996. 4. Demonstration of Available Disposal Capacity - May, 1997 and Oakland County Board of Commissioners Miscellaneous Resolution #97118 dated May 13, 1997. 5. Recommended 2020 Regional Development Forecast - Population, Households and Employment by Minor Civil Division dated February 8, 1996. Southeast Michigan Council of Governments. 6. "The Role of Recycling in Integrated Solid Waste Management to the Year 2000" as prepared for Keep America Beautiful, Inc. by Franklin Associates, Ltd., September, 1994. 7. "Solid Waste Management at the Crossroads" by Franklin Associates, Ltd., December, 1997. 8. "Report of Solid Waste Landfilled in Michigan, October 1, 1996 - September 30, 1997" dated February 27, 1998 by the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality as released on March 18, 1998. References - Page 1 Cr) C: X C") r- LA) COAKLAND; L. BROOKS PATTERSON, OAKLAND COUNTY EXECUTIVE COUNTY MICHIGAN May 20, 1998 I hereby withdraw my veto of MR # 98091 and acknowledge MR # 98091 will become effective pursuant to 1973 PA 139, Section 11(2), that being MCL 45.561(2). L. Brooks Palyerson Oakland Cd.mty Executive 3 rn (-; EXECUTIVE OFFICE BUILDING 34 EAST • 1200 N TELEGRAPH RD DEPT 409 • PONTIAC MI 48341-0409 • (248) 858-0484 • FAX (248) 452-9215