HomeMy WebLinkAboutReports - 2019.12.17 - 32668<CBDoc TenantId="2" EntityTypeId="3100" EntityId="2905" DocumentTypeId="1" EffectiveDate="09/30/2019" Interval="3" Description="Quarterly Report" />
Investment Performance Review
Period Ending September 30, 2019
Oakland County ERS
Superseding Trust
Executive Summary Page 1
Asset Allocation Vs. Policy Targets Page 11
Asset Allocation Pie Charts Page 12
Historical Asset Allocation Page 14
Performance Review Trailing Periods Page 16
Total Fund Analysis Page 18
SSgA S&P 500 Page 20
CS McKee Page 22
Historical Hybrid Composition Page 24
Definitions & Disclosure Pages Page 25
Table Of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: 3Q 2019 Market Summary: Broad asset class returns were mixed during the 3rd quarter with more conservative segments faring better during this period. The Federal Reserve and slowing global economic growth played major roles in the market’s performance. Equities advanced in July in anticipation of rate cuts from the Fed. However, the U.S. central bank indicated additional stimulus was not anticipated, causing investors to fear a recession in coming quarters; the stock market sold off and the yield curve inverted further. As evidence of the slowing global economy mounted, the Fed suggested more accommodative policies would be forthcoming. Stocks rallied and interest rates rose to finish the quarter. Large cap posted positive results, but small caps and international markets ended in negative territory. Fixed income provided the strongest returns. Over the past 12 months core fixed income is up over 10%, handily beating all major equity indices, some of which are down over this period. Conclusions/Recommendations: 1. The Total Fund returned 2.01% during the quarter, ranking near the top of the public fund universe and performing in line with the Policy Index. The Fund has benefited for a relatively conservative allocation (large cap and core fixed income). 2. The Total Fund posted a return of 6.43% over the past year, trailing the Policy Index by 56 basis points and ranking near the top of the peer group. 3. CS McKee out performed the BB US Aggregate Index this quarter and ranked in the top quartile of their peer group. Longer-term, the manager exceeds performance expectations. 4. At quarter end both allocations were within policy ranges and near target allocations. 5. AndCo does not have any recommendations at this time. Page 1
3rd Quarter 2019 Market Environment
Page 2
Broad asset class returns were mixed during the 3rd quarter of 2019 with both
US large cap equity and fixed income indices extending their year-to-date
gains while US small cap and international indices declined.Volatility was high
during the period as investors weighed the effects of ongoing trade disruption
and slowing global economic data against the announcement of several new
central bank stimulus measures.US stocks continued their year-to-date
outperformance relative to international stocks during the period.US markets
faced headwinds from continued escalation in the ongoing trade dispute with
China,slowing economic data,particularly with regards to manufacturing,and
political uncertainty following a late quarter impeachment inquiry against
President Donald Trump.However,markets were supported by easing
monetary policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed)which cut interest rates twice
during the period.In general,lower risk assets performed better through the
period as investors weighed the increased risk of a recession.Within domestic
equity markets,large cap stocks outperformed small cap equities during the
quarter with the S&P 500 Index returning 1.7%versus a -2.4%return on the
small cap Russell 2000 Index.US equity returns over the 1-year period were
positive for large and mid-cap stocks,returning 4.3%and 3.2%respectively,
but small cap stocks posted a loss,falling -8.9%.
International markets posted negative returns for the 3rd quarter.Similar to US
markets,international returns were impacted by continued weakness in
economic data,heightened geopolitical uncertainly around global trade and
Brexit and newly announced stimulus measures from global central banks
including the European Central Bank (ECB)and Peoples Bank of China
(PBoC).International returns also faced headwinds from a strengthening US
dollar (USD)which appreciated against most major currencies during the
period.Developed markets continued their outperformance relative to
emerging markets during the period with the MSCI EAFE Index falling -1.1%
versus a -4.2%decline for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.Both developing
and emerging markets posted slight losses over the 1-year period,returning
-1.3%and -2.0%respectively.
Fixed income returns outperformed equities during the 3rd quarter as investors
looked for relative safety amid the equity market volatility.The broad market
Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Index gained 2.3%as interest rates fell
following central bank stimulus from the Fed and other global central banks.
The US Treasury Yield Curve also inverted in August,contributing to growing
concern around the potential for an upcoming recession.Investment grade
corporate issues were the best performing securities for the third quarter in a
row,returning 3.0%,outperforming Treasury and securitized issues.Corporate
issues benefitted from their relatively high duration and yield.The bond market
has meaningfully outperformed the equity market over the trailing 1-year
period with the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate posting a solid 10.3%return.
Source: Investment Metrics
The Market Environment
Major Market Index Performance
As of September 30, 2019
0.6%
3.0%
1.4%
1.3%
2.4%
2.3%
-2.4%
0.5%
1.4%
1.2%
1.7%
-4.2%
-1.1%
-1.8%
-5.0%-4.0%-3.0%-2.0%-1.0%0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%
3-Month T-Bill
Bbg Barclays Corp IG
Bbg Barclays MBS
Bbg Barclays US TIPS
Bbg Barclays US Govt
Bbg Barclays US Agg
Russell 2000
Russell MidCap
Russell 1000
Russell 3000
S&P 500
MSCI Emerg Mkts
MSCI EAFE
MSCI ACWxUS
Quarter Performance
2.4%
13.0%
7.8%
7.1%
10.4%
10.3%
-8.9%
3.2%
3.9%
2.9%
4.3%
-2.0%
-1.3%
-1.2%
-10.0%-5.0%0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%
3-Month T-Bill
Bbg Barclays Corp IG
Bbg Barclays MBS
Bbg Barclays US TIPS
Bbg Barclays US Govt
Bbg Barclays US Agg
Russell 2000
Russell MidCap
Russell 1000
Russell 3000
S&P 500
MSCI Emerg Mkts
MSCI EAFE
MSCI ACWxUS
1-Year Performance
Page 3
Source: Investment Metrics
The Market Environment
Domestic Equity Style Index Performance
As of September 30, 2019
US equity returns were modestly positive during the 3rd quarter,but results
varied considerably across the style and capitalization spectrum.Data
released during the quarter showed signs that the US economy could be
slowing down.Weakening metrics around manufacturing and sentiment were
particularly concerning and employment,typically a bright spot for the US
economy,missed expectations for the pace of new jobs and hours worked.A
likely contributor to the softening economic data is the ongoing trade war
between the US and China.Despite last quarter’s agreement to cease
escalations following a meeting between President Trump and President
Jinping at the G20 summit,the 3rd quarter saw the announcement and
implementation of a series of new tariffs from both the US and China.
Additionally,in response to new tariffs,the PBoC allowed the yuan to
depreciate to its lowest level since 2008 leading US Treasury officials to
accuse China of currency manipulation.Even with the apparent breakdown in
relations between the two sides,both China and the US agreed to continue
negotiations set to take place in October.Markets also reacted to the late
quarter announcement of a formal impeachment inquiry against President
Trump following a whistle blower report alleging that President Trump
pressured the government of Ukraine to investigate the son of political
opponent Joe Biden.Despite these substantial headwinds,the US equity
market found support from Fed easing of monetary policy in the form of two
separate interest rate cuts and ended the period with a gain.The Russell 3000
Index returned 1.2%and 2.9%for the quarter and 1-year period respectively.
During the quarter,higher market cap stocks outperformed lower market cap
stocks across the style spectrum.The large cap Russell 1000 Index gained
1.4%during the period versus a -2.4%return for the small cap Russell 2000
Index.Investors may have been attracted to large cap names as a result of the
quarter’s volatility as large cap stocks are typically viewed as less risky than
their small cap counterparts.When viewed over the most recent 1-year period,
large cap stocks significantly outperformed small cap stocks with the Russell
1000 posting a 3.9%gain while the while the Russell 2000 had considerable
losses,declining -8.9%.
In general,value stocks outperformed growth stocks during the 3rd quarter as
investors gravitated toward the relative safety these securities typically provide.
However,large cap growth stocks slightly outperformed large cap value stocks
due to favorable holdings in the technology and industrials sectors as well as a
large underweight to the underperforming energy sector.The Russell 1000
Growth Index was the best performing style index for the period,returning
1.5%,with the small cap growth index posting the lowest relative return,a loss
of -4.2%.Results over the 1-year period are mixed with value stocks
outperforming in large and small cap and growth stocks outperforming in mid-
cap.
-4.2%
-2.4%
-0.6%
-0.7%
0.5%
1.2%
1.5%
1.4%
1.4%
1.1%
1.2%
1.2%
-5.0%-4.0%-3.0%-2.0%-1.0%0.0%1.0%2.0%
2000 Growth
2000 Index
2000 Value
MidCap Growth
MidCap Index
MidCap Value
1000 Growth
1000 Index
1000 Value
3000 Growth
3000 Index
3000 Value
Quarter Performance -Russell Style Series
-9.6%
-8.9%
-8.2%
5.2%
3.2%
1.6%
3.7%
3.9%
4.0%
2.7%
2.9%
3.1%
-12.0%-10.0%-8.0%-6.0%-4.0%-2.0%0.0%2.0%4.0%6.0%
2000 Growth
2000 Index
2000 Value
MidCap Growth
MidCap Index
MidCap Value
1000 Growth
1000 Index
1000 Value
3000 Growth
3000 Index
3000 Value
1-Year Performance -Russell Style Series
Page 4
Sector performance was mixed across large cap sectors for the 3rd quarter.
There were gains for eight out of eleven sectors within the Russell 1000
Index during the period with six sectors outpacing the return of the index.
Defensive sectors such as utilities,real estate and consumer staples were
the best performers through the quarter returning 8.3%,7.8%and 5.9%
respectively as investors looked toward these sectors for their higher yields
and lower historical volatility.Energy,health care and materials stocks were
the worst performers during the period.Energy stocks fell -6.9%as crude oil
prices fell during the period despite a sharp upward spike in September
following a terrorist attack in Saudi Arabia that temporarily reduced the
country’s oil production,causing a large disruption in supply.Health care
stocks also lagged,declining -2.8%,as discussions in Washington around
the potential for increased regulation on drug pricing acted as a headwind.
Health care reform has also been a major topic of discussion among
candidates for the 2020 US Presidential election,creating additional
uncertainty within the sector.Materials returned -0.2%as demand concerns
weighed on the economically sensitive sector.Returns over the 1-year period
were also generally positive with eight out of eleven sectors posting gains.
Similar to the quarter’s results,defensive sectors outperformed by a
considerable margin.Utilities,real estate and consumer staples performed
well returning 26.3%,22.1%and 16.0%respectively.Technology returns
were also strong gaining 8.2%.Energy,health care and materials were the
only sectors to post negative results over the 1-year period with energy falling
-21.4%,health care dropping -4.0%and materials returning -0.2%.
Quarterly results for small cap sectors were worse than their large
capitalization counterparts with all eleven sectors trailing their corresponding
large cap equivalents.Five of eleven economic sectors produced gains
during the period with seven of eleven sectors outpacing the Russell 2000
Index return for the quarter.Similar to large caps,defensive sectors
performed well as investors gravitated toward their relative safety and higher
yields.Utilities were the best performers,returning 5.4%followed closely by
REITs and consumer staples which returned 5.1%and 4.3%respectively.
The cyclically oriented energy sector was the largest detractor for the period,
posting a loss of -20.6%.Health care and communication services stocks
also experienced notable declines,falling -9.2%and -8.2%respectively.Over
the trailing 1-year period,returns were broadly negative.Utilities,real estate
and technology were the only sectors to post gains returning 20.1%7.3%and
6.1%.The energy sector was an outlier in terms of negative returns dropping
-48.8%during the period.There were also notable losses in health care,
communication services and materials which declined -21.4%,-19.4%and -
18.7%respectively.
The Market Environment
GICS Sector Performance & (Sector Weight)
As of September 30, 2019
Source: Morningstar Direct
As a result of the GICS classification changes on 9/28/2018 and certain associated reporting limitations, sector performance represents backward looking performance for the prior year of each sector’s current constituency, post creation of the Communication
Services sector.
26.3%
22.1%
-0.2%
8.2%
1.1%
-4.0%
4.1%
-21.4%
16.0%
1.8%
5.6%
8.3%
7.8%
-0.2%
2.6%
0.8%
-2.8%
2.1%
-6.9%
5.9%
0.5%
2.0%
-25.0%-20.0%-15.0%-10.0%-5.0%0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%
Utilities (3.2%)
Real Estate (3.8%)
Materials (2.9%)
Info Technology (22.0%)
Industrials (9.7%)
Health Care (13.7%)
Financials (13.2%)
Energy (4.5%)
Consumer Staples (6.8%)
Consumer Disc (10.4%)
Comm Services (9.8%)
Russell 1000 Quarter 1-Year
20.1%
7.3%
-18.7%
6.1%
-5.3%
-21.4%
-5.2%
-48.8%
-6.0%
-9.8%
-19.4%
5.4%
5.1%
-5.5%
1.0%
-0.4%
-9.2%
-0.5%
-20.6%
4.3%
0.5%
-8.2%
-50.0%-40.0%-30.0%-20.0%-10.0%0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%
Utilities (4.0%)
Real Estate (7.7%)
Materials (3.8%)
Info Technology (14.2%)
Industrials (15.7%)
Health Care (16.3%)
Financials (17.9%)
Energy (3.4%)
Consumer Staples (2.9%)
Consumer Disc (11.3%)
Comm Services (2.7%)
Russell 2000 Quarter 1-Year
Page 5
The Market Environment
Top 10 Index Weights & Quarterly Performance for the Russell 1000 & 2000
As of September 30, 2019
Source: Morningstar Direct
Top 10 Weighted Stocks Top 10 Weighted Stocks
Russell 1000 Weight 1-Qtr
Return
1-Year
Return Sector Russell 2000 Weight 1-Qtr
Return
1-Year
Return Sector
Microsoft Corp 3.82%4.1%22.9%Information Technology NovoCure Ltd 0.34%18.3%42.7%Health Care
Apple Inc 3.68%13.6%0.8%Information Technology Haemonetics Corp 0.33%4.8%10.1%Health Care
Amazon.com Inc 2.61%-8.3%-13.3%Consumer Discretionary Trex Co Inc 0.28%26.8%18.1%Industrials
Facebook Inc A 1.55%-7.7%8.3%Communication Services Science Applications International 0.27%1.3%10.4%Information Technology
Berkshire Hathaway Inc B 1.48%-2.4%-2.8%Financials Portland General Electric Co 0.26%4.8%27.2%Utilities
JPMorgan Chase & Co 1.36%6.0%7.4%Financials ONE Gas Inc 0.26%7.0%19.5%Utilities
Alphabet Inc Class C 1.35%12.8%2.1%Communication Services First Industrial Realty Trust Inc 0.26%8.3%29.3%Real Estate
Alphabet Inc A 1.33%12.8%1.2%Communication Services Southwest Gas Holdings Inc 0.26%2.2%18.2%Utilities
Johnson & Johnson 1.25%-6.4%-3.8%Health Care Maximus Inc 0.25%6.9%20.4%Information Technology
Procter & Gamble Co 1.12%14.2%54.0%Consumer Staples Teladoc Health Inc 0.25%2.0%-21.6%Health Care
Top 10 Performing Stocks (by Quarter)Top 10 Performing Stocks (by Quarter)
Russell 1000 Weight 1-Qtr
Return
1-Year
Return Sector Russell 2000 Weight 1-Qtr
Return
1-Year
Return Sector
Insulet Corp 0.04%38.2%55.7%Health Care NextCure Inc 0.00%105.9%N/A Health Care
CyrusOne Inc 0.03%37.9%28.8%Real Estate Dova Pharmaceuticals Inc 0.01%98.2%33.3%Health Care
KLA Corp 0.09%35.7%61.1%Information Technology WW International Inc 0.09%98.0%-47.5%Consumer Discretionary
New York Community Bancorp Inc 0.02%27.6%28.7%Financials R.R.Donnelley & Sons Co 0.01%94.7%-27.6%Industrials
Entegris Inc 0.02%26.3%63.9%Information Technology Infinera Corp 0.05%87.3%-25.3%Information Technology
Pilgrims Pride Corp 0.01%26.2%77.1%Consumer Staples Lannett Co Inc 0.02%84.8%135.8%Health Care
Western Digital Corp 0.06%25.4%5.6%Information Technology Owens & Minor Inc 0.02%81.6%-64.4%Health Care
DocuSign Inc 0.03%24.6%17.8%Information Technology Allakos Inc 0.08%81.5%74.8%Health Care
Target Corp 0.19%24.4%24.3%Consumer Discretionary Solid Biosciences Inc 0.01%79.8%-78.1%Health Care
XPO Logistics Inc 0.02%23.8%-37.3%Industrials Ardelyx Inc 0.01%74.7%8.0%Health Care
Bottom 10 Performing Stocks (by Quarter)Bottom 10 Performing Stocks (by Quarter)
Russell 1000 Weight 1-Qtr
Return
1-Year
Return Sector Russell 2000 Weight 1-Qtr
Return
1-Year
Return Sector
2U Inc 0.00%-56.7%-78.3%Information Technology Tocagen Inc 0.00%-90.1%-95.8%Health Care
PG&E Corp 0.02%-56.4%-78.3%Utilities Waitr Holdings Inc Class A 0.00%-79.6%-88.1%Consumer Discretionary
Covetrus Inc 0.00%-51.4%N/A Health Care McDermott International Inc 0.02%-79.1%-89.0%Energy
Sarepta Therapeutics Inc 0.02%-50.4%-53.4%Health Care Sonim Technologies Inc 0.00%-77.0%N/A Information Technology
Nektar Therapeutics Inc 0.01%-48.8%-70.1%Health Care Synlogic Inc 0.00%-74.8%-83.9%Health Care
DXC Technology Co 0.03%-46.2%-67.9%Information Technology Mallinckrodt PLC 0.01%-73.7%-91.8%Health Care
Antero Resources Corp 0.00%-45.4%-82.9%Energy Clovis Oncology Inc 0.01%-73.6%-86.6%Health Care
Range Resources Corp 0.00%-45.0%-77.3%Energy Bloom Energy Corp Class A 0.01%-73.5%-90.5%Industrials
Pluralsight Inc Class A 0.00%-44.6%-47.5%Information Technology Chaparral Energy Inc Class A 0.00%-71.5%-92.4%Energy
Fluor Corp 0.01%-42.5%-66.1%Industrials Pacific Drilling SA 0.01%-69.3%-99.7%Energy
Page 6
Source: MSCI Global Index Monitor (Returns are Net)
Broad international equity returns were negative in USD terms for the 3rd
quarter as US investors in international markets faced a meaningful headwind
from a USD that strengthened against most major currencies.In local currency
terms,developed markets were generally positive while emerging markets
posted losses.The MSCI ACWI ex US Index gained 0.7%in local currency
terms,but a USD investor experienced a loss of -1.8%due to the currency
effect.Similar to US markets,international equity markets balanced headwinds
from slowing economic data and concerns around global trade with tailwinds
from central bank shifts toward more accommodative policies.Among others,
the ECB and PBoC announced new stimulus measures during the quarter.
The ECB cut its policy rate and committed to a new quantitative easing
program and the PBoC announced new stimulus measures designed to
encourage bank lending and reduce borrowing costs as it tries to counteract a
cooling economy and the effects of its ongoing trade war with the US.The
recent USD strength can also be seen over the 1-year period with USD returns
trailing most local currency returns.Returns for the MSCI ACWI ex US Index
were 1.3%in local currency terms and -1.2%in USD terms for the trailing
year.
Results for developed market international indices were generally positive in
local currency terms,but negative in USD terms for the 3rd quarter,with the
MSCI EAFE Index returning 1.8%and -0.9%respectively.Outside of central
bank policy and trade,there were notable developments within the political
sphere.In Europe,Christine Lagarde was nominated to succeed Mario Draghi
as the head of the ECB.Japanese stocks rose as election results appeared to
support continuity for Prime Minister Abe’s ongoing policy efforts.In the UK,
pro-Brexit Boris Johnson was appointed to prime minister,replacing Theresa
May.The UK continues to face uncertainty around Brexit as its late October
deadline to agree to a withdrawal agreement with the European Union (EU)
quickly approaches.Stocks in Hong Kong fell as the government dealt with
major pro-democracy protests throughout the quarter.The MSCI EAFE Index
returned 1.6%and -1.3%for the last twelve months in local currency and USD
terms respectively.
Emerging markets continued their trend of 2019 underperformance relative to
developed markets during the 3rd quarter,posting negative returns in both
local currency and USD terms.The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell -2.1%
and -4.2%respectively.As expected,geopolitical tensions around trade
continued to put pressure on emerging market stocks.Countries with greater
sensitivities to commodity prices or a strong USD tended to underperform
during the period.Argentina’s stock market fell -46.8%as primary elections in
the country saw the defeat of the country’s current market friendly president.
One year returns for the MSCI Emerging Market Index were -0.2%in local
currency terms and -2.0%in USD terms.
The Market Environment
International and Regional Market Index Performance (Country Count)
As September 30, 2019
12.9%
-2.9%
3.9%
-0.2%
-4.0%
4.9%
1.6%
1.9%
1.3%
6.7%
-3.9%
0.9%
-2.0%
-2.2%
-0.9%
-1.3%
-1.0%
-1.2%
-6.0%-4.0%-2.0%0.0%2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%10.0%12.0%14.0%
EM Latin Amer (6)
EM Asia (9)
EM EMEA (11)
Emerging Mkt (26)
Pacific (5)
Europe & ME (16)
EAFE (21)
WORLD x US (22)
AC World x US (48)
1-Year Performance USD Local Currency
0.9%
-2.3%
-3.3%
-2.1%
1.4%
2.0%
1.8%
1.8%
0.7%
-5.6%
-3.4%
-7.0%
-4.2%
0.2%
-1.8%
-1.1%
-0.9%
-1.8%
-8.0%-6.0%-4.0%-2.0%0.0%2.0%4.0%
EM Latin Amer (6)
EM Asia (9)
EM EMEA (11)
Emerging Mkt (26)
Pacific (5)
Europe & ME (16)
EAFE (21)
WORLD x US (22)
AC World x US (48)
Quarter Performance USD Local Currency
Page 7
The Market Environment
US Dollar International Index Attribution & Country Detail
As of September 30, 2019
Source: Morningstar Direct, MSCI Global Index Monitor (Returns are Net in USD)
As a result of the GICS classification changes on 9/28/2018 and certain associated reporting limitations, sector performance represents backward looking performance for the prior year of each sector’s current constituency, post creation of the Communication
Services sector.
MSCI -EAFE Sector Weight Quarter Return 1-Year Return
Communication Services 5.4%-0.9%-0.7%
Consumer Discretionary 11.5%0.3%-2.0%
Consumer Staples 12.0%1.9%6.9%
Energy 5.1%-6.5%-14.5%
Financials 18.6%-2.6%-6.3%
Health Care 11.6%2.4%4.3%
Industrials 14.7%-2.0%-2.1%
Information Technology 6.7%-0.5%1.8%
Materials 7.0%-5.4%-5.7%
Real Estate 3.6%-1.3%4.3%
Utilities 3.8%2.4%13.2%
Total 100.0%-1.1%-1.3%
MSCI -ACWIxUS Sector Weight Quarter Return 1-Year Return
Communication Services 6.8%-2.9%-1.0%
Consumer Discretionary 11.4%-0.7%-1.6%
Consumer Staples 10.2%1.5%6.8%
Energy 6.7%-4.6%-9.8%
Financials 21.6%-3.6%-3.2%
Health Care 8.5%1.1%0.9%
Industrials 11.9%-2.5%-2.4%
Information Technology 8.9%2.2%4.1%
Materials 7.3%-6.5%-7.2%
Real Estate 3.2%-3.1%5.0%
Utilities 3.5%1.3%12.6%
Total 100.0%-1.8%-1.2%
MSCI -Emerging Mkt Sector Weight Quarter Return 1-Year Return
Communication Services 11.6%-5.2%-2.5%
Consumer Discretionary 13.1%-3.1%0.1%
Consumer Staples 6.9%-0.8%3.0%
Energy 7.7%-4.0%-2.3%
Financials 24.7%-8.0%1.6%
Health Care 2.6%-6.6%-24.2%
Industrials 5.4%-5.2%-4.4%
Information Technology 15.1%5.6%3.9%
Materials 7.3%-10.7%-15.9%
Real Estate 2.9%-8.8%6.8%
Utilities 2.8%-3.6%7.2%
Total 100.0%-4.2%-2.0%
MSCI-EAFE MSCI-ACWIxUS Quarter 1-Year
Country Weight Weight Return Return
Japan 24.6%16.5%3.1%-4.7%
United Kingdom 16.4%11.0%-2.5%-2.9%
France 11.4%7.6%-1.7%-1.6%
Switzerland 9.4%6.3%0.3%12.0%
Germany 8.5%5.7%-4.0%-7.1%
Australia 7.0%4.7%-1.4%6.1%
Netherlands 4.0%2.7%2.4%9.5%
Hong Kong 3.5%2.4%-11.9%-1.8%
Spain 2.9%2.0%-3.8%-3.5%
Sweden 2.6%1.7%-4.8%-8.0%
Italy 2.3%1.6%-0.1%3.9%
Denmark 1.8%1.2%-1.0%2.3%
Singapore 1.3%0.9%-5.8%-0.2%
Belgium 1.0%0.7%3.4%-0.8%
Finland 1.0%0.7%-1.8%-9.3%
Norway 0.7%0.4%-3.4%-13.4%
Israel 0.6%0.4%-3.7%-12.5%
Ireland 0.5%0.4%-0.6%-4.6%
New Zealand 0.2%0.2%-2.9%10.0%
Austria 0.2%0.2%-3.1%-16.0%
Portugal 0.2%0.1%1.6%-2.5%
Total EAFE Countries 100.0%67.0%-1.1%-1.3%
Canada 7.0%0.5%3.0%
Total Developed Countries 74.0%-0.9%-1.0%
China 8.3%-4.7%-3.9%
Korea 3.2%-4.5%-13.8%
Taiwan 3.0%5.2%-0.2%
India 2.3%-5.2%4.7%
Brazil 2.0%-4.6%25.4%
South Africa 1.2%-12.6%-6.4%
Russia 1.0%-1.4%18.0%
Thailand 0.8%-6.0%-0.9%
Saudi Arabia 0.7%-9.5%4.0%
Mexico 0.7%-1.7%-14.8%
Indonesia 0.5%-5.2%11.9%
Malaysia 0.5%-6.3%-10.4%
Philippines 0.3%-4.6%13.1%
Poland 0.3%-12.1%-12.2%
Qatar 0.3%-0.2%5.0%
Chile 0.3%-7.3%-16.8%
United Arab Emirates 0.2%-0.2%-0.3%
Turkey 0.2%11.7%16.5%
Colombia 0.1%-6.1%-7.3%
Peru 0.1%-9.3%-4.0%
Greece 0.1%-3.1%6.8%
Hungary 0.1%-3.9%3.4%
Argentina 0.1%-46.8%-32.3%
Czech Republic 0.0%-10.1%-12.6%
Egypt 0.0%7.4%21.5%
Pakistan 0.0%1.1%-32.7%
Total Emerging Countries 26.0%-4.2%-2.0%
Total ACWIxUS Countries 100.0%-1.8%-1.2%
Page 8
Source: Bloomberg
The Market Environment
Domestic Bond Sector & Broad/Global Bond Market Performance (Duration)
As of September 30, 2019
Broad fixed income benchmarks continued their trend of 2019 gains during the
3rd quarter.Interest rates fell across the US Treasury Yield Curve through the
quarter as the Fed continued to shift toward an easing of monetary policy in an
attempt to combat slowing economic data.The Fed cut short-term interest
rates twice during the period following their July and September meetings.In
addition,it ended its balance sheet reduction plan in September which
represents a further easing of monetary policy.After its September meeting,
the Fed issued a statement commenting that future changes to monetary
policy are not on a preset course and will be evaluated as the Fed receives
new information on the state of the economy,but that Fed officials “will
continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic
outlook and will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.”The Fed
response provided market support in a quarter where we saw the formal
inversion of the yield curve.Treasury yields on 2-year issues briefly surpassed
the yield on 10-year issues in August.This inversion of the yield curve has
historically preceded a recession within the next 6-24 months.However,the
magnitude of the inversion was mild and short in duration with rates on the 10-
year Treasury rising above the yield of the 2-year by early September.The
bellwether Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Index posted positive returns for
both the 3rd quarter and the 1-year period,returning 2.3%and 10.3%
respectively.
Within investment grade credit,lower quality issues outperformed higher
quality issues during the quarter.Lower quality issues benefitted from their
higher durations as interest rates fell during the quarter.On an absolute basis,
without negating the duration differences in the sub-indices,Baa rated credit
was the best performing investment grade credit quality segment returning
3.3%for the quarter,while AAA was the worst performing,returning 2.0%.
High yield issues returned 1.3%for the quarter as these issues did not
commensurately benefit from the drop in interest rates due to their relatively
low durations.Returns over the 1-year period show lower quality securities
outperforming higher quality issues with Baa rated issues returning 13.5%
versus a 9.3%return for AAA securities.
Investment grade corporates outperformed the more defensive Treasury and
mortgage backed sectors of the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Index’s
three broad sectors during the 3rd quarter.Investment grade corporate credit
returned 3.0%,as they benefitted from their higher sensitivity to interest rates,
low credit spreads and high investor demand for yield.When viewed over the
1-year period,corporate credit outperformed both Treasuries and mortgage
backed securities.Corporate issues returned 13.0%versus a 7.8%return for
mortgages and 10.5%gain on Treasury securities.
0.6%
-0.6%
1.4%
2.3%
1.3%
3.0%
1.4%
2.4%
1.3%
3.3%
2.9%
2.6%
2.0%
-1.0%0.0%1.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%
Multiverse (7.0)
Global Agg x US (8.4)
Intermediate Agg (3.6)
Aggregate (5.8)
U.S. TIPS (4.9)
U.S. Corporate IG (7.8)
U.S. Mortgage (2.7)
U.S. Treasury (6.6)
U.S. High Yield (3.1)
Baa (7.9)
A (7.8)
AA (6.6)
AAA (5.0)
Quarter Performance
7.5%
5.3%
8.1%
10.3%
7.1%
13.0%
7.8%
10.5%
6.4%13.5%
12.6%
11.0%
9.3%
0.0%2.0%4.0%6.0%8.0%10.0%12.0%14.0%
Multiverse (7.0)
Global Agg x US (8.4)
Intermediate Agg (3.6)
Aggregate (5.8)
U.S. TIPS (4.9)
U.S. Corporate IG (7.8)
U.S. Mortgage (2.7)
U.S. Treasury (6.6)
U.S. High Yield (3.1)
Baa (7.9)
A (7.8)
AA (6.6)
AAA (5.0)
1-Year Performance
Page 9
Source: US Department of Treasury, FRED (Federal Reserve of St. Louis)
The Market Environment
Market Rate & Yield Curve Comparison
As of September 30, 2019
Global fixed income returns underperformed their domestic counterparts
during the 3rd quarter.These indices have lower,or in some cases (Germany,
Japan),negative yields,but have higher durations.Given their higher
durations,these issues would be expected to perform relatively well during
periods of falling rates,however,the returns of these indices are also
significantly influenced by fluctuations in their currency denomination relative
to the USD.As mentioned,the USD appreciated against most other developed
currencies during the quarter,acting as a headwind to global bond indices.
The return on global bonds,as represented by the Bloomberg Barclays Global
Aggregate ex US Index,was -0.6%.Global bonds also trailed over the 1-year
period with the Global Aggregate ex US Index returning 5.3%versus a 10.3%
return on the domestically focused Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Index.As
global growth has shown signs of stalling,several international central banks
have started to step back from more restrictive postures.The ECB and the
PBoC have moved toward an easing of monetary policy and implemented
various stimulus programs designed to support their respective economies.
The Bank of England and the Bank of Japan made no major policy changes
during the quarter as they continue to review macroeconomic data within their
respective countries.
Much of the index performance detailed in the bar graphs on the previous
page is visible on a time series basis by reviewing the line graphs to the right.
The ‘1-Year Trailing Market Rates’chart illustrates that over the last year,the
10-year Treasury yield (green line)fell from high’s greater than 3.0%,to yields
below 1.5%before ending the quarter at 1.68%.The blue line illustrates
changes in the BAA OAS (Option Adjusted Spread).This measure quantifies
the additional yield premium that investors require to purchase and hold non-
Treasury issues.This line illustrates an abrupt increase in credit spreads
during the 4th quarter of 2018 as investors moved to higher quality assets
during the quarter’s risk-off environment.Subsequently,spreads declined
steadily,remaining somewhat range bound with increases in May and August.
There was little change through the quarter with spreads tightening by about 1
basis point.Spread tightening is equivalent to an interest rate decrease on
corporate bonds,which produces an additional tailwind for corporate bond
index returns.The green band across the graph illustrates the decrease in the
Federal Funds Rate due to the recent easing in US monetary policy.The rate
cuts in July and September have pushed the Fed Funds Rate to 1-year lows.
The lower graph provides a snapshot of the US Treasury yield curve at the end
of each of the last four calendar quarters.The downward shift in interest rates
as well as a general flattening of the yield curve are clearly visible over the last
quarter.As mentioned,the yield curve continues to invert as yields on shorter-
and middle-term maturities fell less than interest rates at the long-end of the
curve.
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
1 mo 3 mo 6 mo 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 5 yr 7 yr 10 yr 20 yr 30 yr
Treasury Yield Curve
12/31/2018 3/31/2019 6/30/2019 9/30/2019
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19
1-Year Trailing Market Rates
Fed Funds Rate TED Spread 3-Month Libor
BAA OAS 10yr Treasury 10yr TIPS
Page 10
Executive Summary
Policy Target In Policy
0.0%15.0%30.0%45.0%60.0%75.0%90.0%100.0%
Total Fixed Income Composite (38.7%)
Total Equity Composite (61.3%)
Asset Allocation Compliance
Asset
Allocation
$
Current
Allocation (%)
Target
Allocation (%)
Target Rebal.
($000)
Total Fund Composite 14,923,320 100.0 100.0 -
Total Equity Composite 9,150,287 61.3 60.0 -196,295
Total Fixed Income Composite 5,773,033 38.7 40.0 196,295
Asset Allocation Compliance
Oakland County Employees' Retirement System Total Fund Composite
As of September 30, 2019
Page 11
Asset Allocation By Segment as of
June 30, 2019 : $14,629,763
Asset Allocation By Segment as of
September 30, 2019 : $14,923,320
Allocation
Segments Market Value Allocation
Domestic Equity 8,998,722 61.5¢
Domestic Fixed Income 5,513,033 37.7¢
Cash Equivalent 118,008 0.8¢
Allocation
Segments Market Value Allocation
Domestic Equity 9,150,287 61.3¢
Domestic Fixed Income 5,583,162 37.4¢
Cash Equivalent 189,871 1.3¢
Asset Allocation Summary
Total Fund Composite
As of September 30, 2019
NONE
Page 12
Asset Allocation By Manager as of
June 30, 2019 : $14,629,763
Asset Allocation By Manager as of
September 30, 2019 : $14,923,320
Allocation
Market Value Allocation
SSgA S&P 500 8,998,722 61.5¢
CS McKee 5,631,041 38.5¢
Allocation
Market Value Allocation
SSgA S&P 500 9,150,287 61.3¢
CS McKee 5,773,033 38.7¢
Asset Allocation Summary
Total Fund Composite
As of September 30, 2019
NONE
Page 13
Asset Allocation Attributes
Sep-2019 Jun-2019 Mar-2019 Dec-2018 Sep-2018
($)%($)%($)%($)%($)%
Total Fund Composite 14,923,320 -14,629,763 -14,095,284 -12,893,018 -14,008,441 -
Total Equity Composite 9,150,287 -8,998,722 -8,628,542 -7,592,913 -8,779,602 -
SSgA S&P 500 9,150,287 -8,998,722 -8,628,542 -7,592,913 -8,779,602 -
Total Fixed Income Composite 5,773,033 -5,631,041 -5,466,742 -5,300,105 -5,228,839 -
CS McKee 5,773,033 -5,631,041 -5,466,742 -5,300,105 -5,228,839 -
Historical Asset Allocation
Total Fund
As of September 30, 2019
Page 14
Financial Reconciliation
Market Value
07/01/2019
Net
Transfers Contributions Distributions Management
Fees
Other
Expenses Income Apprec./
Deprec.
Market Value
09/30/2019
Total Fund Composite 14,629,763 ----435 -45,457 248,535 14,923,320
Total Equity Composite 8,998,722 ----435 --152,000 9,150,287
SSgA S&P 500 8,998,722 ----435 --152,000 9,150,287
Total Fixed Income Composite 5,631,041 -----45,457 96,535 5,773,033
CS McKee 5,631,041 -----45,457 96,535 5,773,033
Financial Reconciliation
Total Fund
1 Quarter Ending September 30, 2019
Page 15
Asset Allocation & Performance
Allocation
Market
Value
$
%
Performance(%)
QTR FYTD YTD 1 YR 3 YR 5 YR 7 YR 10 YR Inception Inception
Date
Total Fund Composite (Gross)14,923,320 100.0 2.01 (4)6.54 (8)15.76 (4)6.54 (8)9.53 (4)N/A N/A N/A 7.50 (4)04/01/2015
Total Fund Policy Index 1.96 (5)7.10 (5)15.86 (3)7.10 (5)9.32 (6)N/A N/A N/A 7.75 (3)
Difference 0.05 -0.56 -0.10 -0.56 0.21 N/A N/A N/A -0.25
All Public Plans-Total Fund Median 0.84 4.32 12.75 4.32 7.97 6.41 7.74 8.15 6.12
Total Fund Composite (Net)14,923,320 100.0 2.01 6.50 15.71 6.50 9.46 N/A N/A N/A 7.45 04/01/2015
Total Fund Policy Index 1.96 7.10 15.86 7.10 9.32 N/A N/A N/A 7.75
Difference 0.05 -0.60 -0.15 -0.60 0.14 N/A N/A N/A -0.30
Total Equity Composite 9,150,287 61.3 1.69 (44)4.24 (40)20.53 (42)4.24 (40)13.38 (36)N/A N/A N/A 10.54 (30)06/01/2015
S&P 500 Index 1.70 (43)4.25 (39)20.55 (40)4.25 (39)13.39 (35)10.84 (36)13.26 (49)13.24 (45)10.55 (29)
Difference -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 N/A N/A N/A -0.01
IM U.S. Large Cap Core Equity (SA+CF) Median 1.54 3.02 19.93 3.02 12.74 10.36 13.22 13.12 9.72
SSgA S&P 500 9,150,287 61.3 1.69 (44)4.24 (40)20.53 (42)4.24 (40)13.38 (36)N/A N/A N/A 10.54 (30)06/01/2015
S&P 500 Index 1.70 (43)4.25 (39)20.55 (40)4.25 (39)13.39 (35)10.84 (36)13.26 (49)13.24 (45)10.55 (29)
Difference -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 N/A N/A N/A -0.01
IM U.S. Large Cap Core Equity (SA+CF) Median 1.54 3.02 19.93 3.02 12.74 10.36 13.22 13.12 9.72
Total Fixed Income Composite 5,773,033 38.7 2.52 (13)10.41 (56)8.92 (55)10.41 (56)3.38 (50)N/A N/A N/A 3.40 (54)04/01/2015
Blmbg. Barc. U.S. Aggregate Index 2.27 (73)10.30 (70)8.52 (83)10.30 (70)2.92 (92)3.38 (91)2.72 (92)3.75 (94)2.99 (91)
Difference 0.25 0.11 0.40 0.11 0.46 N/A N/A N/A 0.41
IM U.S. Broad Market Core Fixed Income (SA+CF) Median 2.34 10.48 9.01 10.48 3.38 3.76 3.13 4.37 3.42
CS McKee 5,773,033 38.7 2.52 (13)10.41 (56)8.92 (55)10.41 (56)3.38 (50)N/A N/A N/A 3.40 (54)04/01/2015
Blmbg. Barc. U.S. Aggregate Index 2.27 (73)10.30 (70)8.52 (83)10.30 (70)2.92 (92)3.38 (91)2.72 (92)3.75 (94)2.99 (91)
Difference 0.25 0.11 0.40 0.11 0.46 N/A N/A N/A 0.41
IM U.S. Broad Market Core Fixed Income (SA+CF) Median 2.34 10.48 9.01 10.48 3.38 3.76 3.13 4.37 3.42
Asset Allocation & Performance
Total Fund Composite (Gross)
As of September 30, 2019
Page 16
Page Intentionally Left Blank Page 17
Plan Sponsor Peer Group Analysis - All Public Plans-Total Fund
Comparative Performance
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
ReturnQTR FYTD 1 YR 2 YR 3 YR 4 YR 5 YR
Total Fund Composite 2.01 (4)6.54 (8)6.54 (8)8.58 (1)9.53 (4)9.93 (3)N/A
Total Fund Policy Index 1.96 (5)7.10 (5)7.10 (5)8.53 (1)9.32 (6)9.84 (4)N/A
Median 0.84 4.32 4.32 5.83 7.97 8.33 6.41
-12.00
-8.00
-4.00
0.00
4.00
8.00
12.00
16.00
20.00
24.00
Return2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Total Fund Composite -2.49 (20)14.82 (57)8.30 (30)N/A N/A
Total Fund Policy Index -2.35 (18)14.21 (66)8.31 (30)N/A N/A
Median -4.15 15.21 7.46 -0.14 6.62
1 Qtr
Ending
Jun-2019
1 Qtr
Ending
Mar-2019
1 Qtr
Ending
Dec-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Sep-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Jun-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Mar-2018
Total Fund Composite 3.79 (7)9.33 (22)-7.96 (61)4.75 (3)2.08 (11)-0.91 (81)
Total Fund Policy Index 3.96 (4)9.31 (22)-7.56 (51)4.59 (3)1.99 (13)-0.97 (83)
All Public Plans-Total Fund Median 3.26 8.43 -7.53 2.58 1.03 -0.32
As of September 30, 2019
Performance Review
Total Fund Composite
NONE
Page 18
Peer Group Scattergram - 3 Years
3 Yr Rolling Under/Over Performance - 5 Years
Peer Group Scattergram - 5 Years
3 Yr Rolling Percentile Ranking - 5 Years
Historical Statistics - 3 Years
Historical Statistics - 5 Years
Over Performance Earliest Date Latest Date
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
Total Fund Composite (%)4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
Total Fund Policy Index (%)
Over
Performance
Under
Performance
0.0
25.0
50.0
75.0
100.0Return Percentile Rank12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18 9/19
Total Period 5-25
Count
25-Median
Count
Median-75
Count
75-95
Count
Total Fund Composite 7 6 (86%)1 (14%)0 (0%)0 (0%)
Total Fund Policy Index 7 5 (71%)2 (29%)0 (0%)0 (0%)
7.65
8.16
8.67
9.18
9.69
10.20
Return (%)6.60 6.80 7.00 7.20 7.40 7.60
Risk (Standard Deviation %)
Return Standard
Deviation
Total Fund Composite 9.53 7.42
Total Fund Policy Index 9.32 7.13
Median 7.97 6.84¾
5.70
6.00
6.30
6.60
6.90
Return (%)6.4 6.6 6.8 7.0 7.2 7.4
Risk (Standard Deviation %)
Return Standard
Deviation
Total Fund Composite N/A N/A
Total Fund Policy Index N/A N/A
Median 6.41 6.87¾
Tracking
Error
Up
Market
Capture
Down
Market
Capture
Alpha Information
Ratio
Sharpe
Ratio Beta Downside
Risk
Total Fund Composite 0.46 103.53 105.42 -0.15 0.46 1.06 1.04 4.77
Total Fund Policy Index 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 N/A 1.08 1.00 4.52
90 Day U.S. Treasury Bill 7.12 8.00 -5.51 1.53 -1.08 N/A 0.00 0.00
Tracking
Error
Up
Market
Capture
Down
Market
Capture
Alpha Information
Ratio
Sharpe
Ratio Beta Downside
Risk
Total Fund Composite N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total Fund Policy Index N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
90 Day U.S. Treasury Bill N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.01
As of September 30, 2019
Performance Review
Total Fund Composite
NONE
Page 19
Peer Group Analysis - IM U.S. Large Cap Core Equity (SA+CF)
Comparative Performance
-8.00
-4.00
0.00
4.00
8.00
12.00
16.00
20.00
24.00
ReturnQTR FYTD 1 YR 2 YR 3 YR 4 YR 5 YR
SSgA S&P 500 1.69 (44)4.24 (40)4.24 (40)10.85 (33)13.38 (36)13.89 (26)N/A
S&P 500 Index 1.70 (43)4.25 (39)4.25 (39)10.87 (33)13.39 (35)13.90 (26)10.84 (36)
Median 1.54 3.02 3.02 9.86 12.74 12.92 10.36
-20.00
-12.00
-4.00
4.00
12.00
20.00
28.00
36.00
44.00
Return2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
SSgA S&P 500 -4.40 (38)21.81 (52)11.98 (33)N/A N/A
S&P 500 Index -4.38 (37)21.83 (51)11.96 (34)1.38 (52)13.69 (44)
Median -5.20 21.83 10.52 1.43 13.42
1 Qtr
Ending
Jun-2019
1 Qtr
Ending
Mar-2019
1 Qtr
Ending
Dec-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Sep-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Jun-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Mar-2018
SSgA S&P 500 4.30 (49)13.65 (38)-13.52 (45)7.70 (36)3.43 (34)-0.76 (63)
S&P 500 Index 4.30 (49)13.65 (38)-13.52 (46)7.71 (34)3.43 (33)-0.76 (63)
IM U.S. Large Cap Core Equity (SA+CF) Median 4.21 13.19 -13.79 7.13 2.90 -0.45
Performance Review
As of September 30, 2019
SSgA S&P 500
NONE
Page 20
Peer Group Scattergram - 3 Years
3 Yr Rolling Under/Over Performance - 5 Years
Peer Group Scattergram - 5 Years
3 Yr Rolling Percentile Ranking - 5 Years
Historical Statistics - 3 Years
Historical Statistics - 5 Years
Under Performance Earliest Date Latest Date
6.0
9.0
12.0
15.0
18.0
21.0
SSgA S&P 500 (%)6.0 9.0 12.0 15.0 18.0 21.0
S&P 500 Index (%)
Over
Performance
Under
Performance
0.0
25.0
50.0
75.0
100.0Return Percentile Rank12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18 9/19
Total Period 5-25
Count
25-Median
Count
Median-75
Count
75-95
Count
SSgA S&P 500 6 0 (0%)6 (100%)0 (0%)0 (0%)
S&P 500 Index 20 0 (0%)15 (75%)5 (25%)0 (0%)
12.60
12.90
13.20
13.50
Return (%)12.20 12.24 12.28 12.32 12.36 12.40 12.44
Risk (Standard Deviation %)
Return Standard
Deviation
SSgA S&P 500 13.38 12.24
S&P 500 Index 13.39 12.25
Median 12.74 12.41¾
10.20
10.40
10.60
10.80
11.00
Return (%)10.64 10.71 10.78 10.85 10.92 10.99 11.06
Risk (Standard Deviation %)
Return Standard
Deviation
SSgA S&P 500 N/A N/A
S&P 500 Index 10.84 10.72
Median 10.36 11.01¾
Tracking
Error
Up
Market
Capture
Down
Market
Capture
Alpha Information
Ratio
Sharpe
Ratio Beta Downside
Risk
SSgA S&P 500 0.02 99.97 100.05 -0.02 -0.75 0.98 1.00 8.06
S&P 500 Index 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 N/A 0.98 1.00 8.05
90 Day U.S. Treasury Bill 12.03 4.91 -3.26 1.55 -0.98 N/A 0.00 0.00
Tracking
Error
Up
Market
Capture
Down
Market
Capture
Alpha Information
Ratio
Sharpe
Ratio Beta Downside
Risk
SSgA S&P 500 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
S&P 500 Index 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 N/A 0.85 1.00 7.48
90 Day U.S. Treasury Bill 11.82 3.37 -2.07 0.96 -0.85 N/A 0.00 0.01
Performance Review
As of September 30, 2019
SSgA S&P 500
NONE
Page 21
Peer Group Analysis - IM U.S. Broad Market Core Fixed Income (SA+CF)
Comparative Performance
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
ReturnQTR FYTD 1 YR 2 YR 3 YR 4 YR 5 YR
CS McKee 2.52 (13)10.41 (56)10.41 (56)4.81 (42)3.38 (50)3.83 (61)N/A
Bl. Barclays U.S. Aggregate 2.27 (73)10.30 (70)10.30 (70)4.38 (85)2.92 (92)3.49 (90)3.38 (91)
Median 2.34 10.48 10.48 4.71 3.38 3.97 3.76
-4.00
-2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
Return2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
CS McKee 0.32 (29)3.54 (85)2.85 (66)N/A N/A
Bl. Barclays U.S. Aggregate 0.01 (61)3.54 (85)2.65 (77)0.55 (75)5.97 (67)
Median 0.07 4.06 3.12 0.83 6.17
1 Qtr
Ending
Jun-2019
1 Qtr
Ending
Mar-2019
1 Qtr
Ending
Dec-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Sep-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Jun-2018
1 Qtr
Ending
Mar-2018
CS McKee 3.01 (81)3.14 (56)1.36 (53)0.15 (59)0.03 (22)-1.20 (26)
Blmbg. Barc. U.S. Aggregate Index 3.08 (71)2.94 (83)1.64 (23)0.02 (84)-0.16 (73)-1.46 (67)
IM U.S. Broad Market Core Fixed Income (SA+CF) Median 3.14 3.22 1.39 0.18 -0.09 -1.37
Performance Review
As of September 30, 2019
CS McKee
NONE
Page 22
Peer Group Scattergram - 3 Years
3 Yr Rolling Under/Over Performance - 5 Years
Peer Group Scattergram - 5 Years
3 Yr Rolling Percentile Ranking - 5 Years
Historical Statistics - 3 Years
Historical Statistics - 5 Years
Over Performance Earliest Date Latest Date
0.8
1.6
2.4
3.2
4.0
CS McKee (%)0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 4.0
Blmbg. Barc. U.S. Aggregate Index (%)
Over
Performance
Under
Performance
0.0
25.0
50.0
75.0
100.0Return Percentile Rank12/14 6/15 12/15 6/16 12/16 6/17 12/17 6/18 12/18 9/19
Total Period 5-25
Count
25-Median
Count
Median-75
Count
75-95
Count
CS McKee 7 0 (0%)2 (29%)5 (71%)0 (0%)
Bl. Barclays U.S. Aggregate 20 0 (0%)0 (0%)0 (0%)20 (100%)
2.80
3.00
3.20
3.40
3.60
Return (%)2.94 3.01 3.08 3.15 3.22 3.29 3.36 3.43
Risk (Standard Deviation %)
Return Standard
Deviation
CS McKee 3.38 2.95
Bl. Barclays U.S. Aggregate 2.92 3.30
Median 3.38 3.25¾
3.20
3.40
3.60
3.80
4.00
Return (%)3.01 3.02 3.03 3.04 3.05 3.06
Risk (Standard Deviation %)
Return Standard
Deviation
CS McKee N/A N/A
Bl. Barclays U.S. Aggregate 3.38 3.05
Median 3.76 3.02¾
Tracking
Error
Up
Market
Capture
Down
Market
Capture
Alpha Information
Ratio
Sharpe
Ratio Beta Downside
Risk
CS McKee 0.52 96.66 78.81 0.76 0.82 0.65 0.89 1.50
Blmbg. Barc. U.S. Aggregate Index 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 N/A 0.44 1.00 1.88
90 Day U.S. Treasury Bill 3.20 17.41 -16.80 1.44 -0.44 N/A 0.03 0.00
Tracking
Error
Up
Market
Capture
Down
Market
Capture
Alpha Information
Ratio
Sharpe
Ratio Beta Downside
Risk
CS McKee N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Blmbg. Barc. U.S. Aggregate Index 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 N/A 0.81 1.00 1.61
90 Day U.S. Treasury Bill 3.00 11.01 -12.64 0.89 -0.81 N/A 0.02 0.01
Performance Review
As of September 30, 2019
CS McKee
NONE
Page 23
Total Policy Historical Hybrid Composition
Allocation Mandate Weight (%)
Apr-2015
S&P 500 Index 60.00
Blmbg. Barc. U.S. Aggregate Index 40.00
Historical Hybrid Composition
Total Fund Policy Index
As of September 30, 2019
Page 24
Report Statistics Definitions and Descriptions Active Return - Arithmetic difference between the manager’s performance and the designated benchmark return over a specified time period. Alpha - A measure of the difference between a portfolio's actual performance and its expected return based on its level of risk as determined by beta. It determines the portfolio's non-systemic return, or its historical performance not explained by movements of the market. Beta - A measure of the sensitivity of a portfolio to the movements in the market. It is a measure of the portfolio's systematic risk. Consistency - The percentage of quarters that a product achieved a rate of return higher than that of its benchmark. Higher consistency indicates the manager has contributed more to the product’s performance. Distributed to Paid In (DPI) - The ratio of money distributed to Limited Partners by the fund, relative to contributions. It is calculated by dividing cumulative distributions by paid in capital. This multiple shows the investor how much money they got back. It is a good measure for evaluating a fund later in its life because there are more distributions to measure against. Down Market Capture - The ratio of average portfolio performance over the designated benchmark during periods of negative returns. A lower value indicates better product performance Downside Risk - A measure similar to standard deviation that utilizes only the negative movements of the return series. It is calculated by taking the standard deviation of the negative quarterly set of returns. A higher factor is indicative of a riskier product. Excess Return - Arithmetic difference between the manager’s performance and the risk-free return over a specified time period. Excess Risk - A measure of the standard deviation of a portfolio's performance relative to the risk free return. Information Ratio - This calculates the value-added contribution of the manager and is derived by dividing the active rate of return of the portfolio by the tracking error. The higher the Information Ratio, the more the manager has added value to the portfolio. Public Market Equivalent (PME) - Designs a set of analyses used in the Private Equity Industry to evaluate the performance of a Private Equity Fund against a public benchmark or index. R-Squared - The percentage of a portfolio's performance that can be explained by the behavior of the appropriate benchmark. A high R-Squared means the portfolio's performance has historically moved in the same direction as the appropriate benchmark. Return - Compounded rate of return for the period. Sharpe Ratio - Represents the excess rate of return over the risk free return divided by the standard deviation of the excess return. The result is an absolute rate of return per unit of risk. A higher value demonstrates better historical risk-adjusted performance. Standard Deviation - A statistical measure of the range of a portfolio's performance. It represents the variability of returns around the average return over a specified time period. Total Value to Paid In (TVPI) - The ratio of the current value of remaining investments within a fund, plus the total value of all distributions to date, relative to the total amount of capital paid into the fund to date. It is a good measure of performance before the end of a fund’s life Tracking Error - This is a measure of the standard deviation of a portfolio's returns in relation to the performance of its designated market benchmark. Treynor Ratio - Similar to Sharpe ratio but utilizes beta rather than excess risk as determined by standard deviation. It is calculated by taking the excess rate of return above the risk free rate divided by beta to derive the absolute rate of return per unit of risk. A higher value indicates a product has achieved better historical risk-adjusted performance. Up Market Capture - The ratio of average portfolio performance over the designated benchmark during periods of positive returns. A higher value indicates better product performance. Page 25
Disclosures AndCo compiled this report for the sole use of the client for which it was prepared. AndCo is responsible for evaluating the performance results of the Total Fund along with the investment advisors by comparing their performance with indices and other related peer universe data that is deemed appropriate. AndCo uses the results from this evaluation to make observations and recommendations to the client. AndCo uses time-weighted calculations which are founded on standards recommended by the CFA Institute. The calculations and values shown are based on information that is received from custodians. AndCo analyzes transactions as indicated on the custodian statements and reviews the custodial market values of the portfolio. As a result, this provides AndCo with a reasonable basis that the investment information presented is free from material misstatement. This methodology of evaluating and measuring performance provides AndCo with a practical foundation for our observations and recommendations. Nothing came to our attention that would cause AndCo to believe that the information presented is significantly misstated. This performance report is based on data obtained by the client’s custodian(s), investment fund administrator, or other sources believed to be reliable. While these sources are believed to be reliable, the data providers are responsible for the accuracy and completeness of their statements. Clients are encouraged to compare the records of their custodian(s) to ensure this report fairly and accurately reflects their various asset positions. The strategies listed may not be suitable for all investors. We believe the information provided here is reliable, but do not warrant its accuracy or completeness. Past performance is not an indication of future performance. Any information contained in this report is for informational purposes only and should not be construed to be an offer to buy or sell any securities, investment consulting, or investment management services. Additional information included in this document may contain data provided by from index databases, public economic sources and the managers themselves. This document may contain data provided by Bloomberg Barclays. Bloomberg Barclays Index data provided by way of Barclays Live. This document may contain data provided by Standard and Poor’s. Nothing contained within any document, advertisement or presentation from S&P Indices constitutes an offer of services in jurisdictions where S&P Indices does not have the necessary licenses. All information provided by S&P Indices is impersonal and is not tailored to the needs of any person, entity or group of persons. Any returns or performance provided within any document is provided for illustrative purposes only and does not demonstrate actual performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future investment results. This document may contain data provided by MSCI, Inc. Copyright MSCI, 2017. Unpublished. All Rights Reserved. This information may only be used for your internal use, may not be reproduced or redisseminated in any form and may not be used to create any financial instruments or products or any indices. This information is provided on an “as is” basis and the user of this information assumes the entire risk of any use it may make or permit to be made of this information. Neither MSCI, any of its affiliates or any other person involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating this information makes any express or implied warranties or representations with respect to such information or the results to be obtained by the use thereof, and MSCI, its affiliates and each such other person hereby expressly disclaim all warranties (including, without limitation, all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, timeliness, non-infringement, merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose) with respect to this information. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall MSCI, any of its affiliates or any other person involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating this information have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including, without limitation, lost profits) even if notified of, or if it might otherwise have anticipated, the possibility of such damages. This document may contain data provided by Russell Investment Group. Russell Investment Group is the source owner of the data contained or reflected in this material and all trademarks and copyrights related thereto. The material may contain confidential information and unauthorized use, disclosure, copying, dissemination or redistribution is strictly prohibited. This is a user presentation of the data. Russell Investment Group is not responsible for the formatting or configuration of this material or for any inaccuracy in presentation thereof. This document may contain data provided by Morningstar. All rights reserved. Use of this content requires expert knowledge. It is to be used by specialist institutions only. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; (2) may not be copied, adapted or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information, except where such damages or losses cannot be limited or excluded by law in your jurisdiction. Past financial performance is not guarantee of future results. Page 26
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