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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMinutes - 1980.02.28 - 38676OAKLAND COUNTY PARKS AND RECREATION COMMISSION SPECIAL MEETING - WHITE LAKE OAKS February 28, 1980 The meeting was called to order at 2:10 p.m. by Chairman Lewis E. Wint at the White Lake Oaks Clubhouse. COMMISSION MEMBERS PRESENT: Chairman Lewis Wint, Vice Chairman Marjorie Walker, Secretary Velma Austin, Fred Houghten, Dr. Joseph Montante, Carol Stanley, Richard Wilcox. COMMISSION MEMBERS ABSENT: Don Deni, George Kuhn ALSO PRESENT: Parks and Recreation County Executive's Office Community & Minority Affairs Management & Budget Budget Division Dept. of Public Works Treasurer's Office Clerk's Office County Commissioners R. Eric Reickel, Manager Jon J. Kipke, Assistant Manager Joseph Figa, Chief, Design & Development Janet Pung, Public Information Officer Daniel T. Murphy, Executive Patrick Nowak, Exec. Off - Admin.. William Spinelli, Exec. Off. - Operations Joan Newby, Director James Brennan, Director Jeffrey Pardee, Manager Milton Handorf, Director Hugh Dohany, Treasurer Douglas Williams, Chief Deputy Treasurer Lynn Allen, Clerk Richard Elliott, Deputy Clerk John DiGiovanni Alexander Perinoff William T. Patterson Betty Fortino Lillian Moffitt Matt Dunaskiss Wallace Gabler Anne Hobart Robert Gorsline John McDonald Dr. G. William Caddell Chairman Wint stated the meeting had been called to share with the County Commissioners, information concerning the possible acquisition of the Pine Knob Recreational Complex. He welcomed the guests to the meeting and asked for their input following the presentation. (continued) (Special Meeting - White Lake Oaks - February 28, 1980) PINE KNOB: Mr. James Brennan presented the Preliminary Study to Determine Feasibility of Proposed Purchase for the Pine Knob Recreation Complex. (copy attached) Mr. Reickel distributed and reviewed the Chronology of Events. He explained that if Pine Knob was acquired through the purchase of general obligation bonds, the Headlee Amendment required that the purchase be put to the vote of the people. The earliest this could be accomplished would be the Presi- dential Primary in May, 1980. A question and answer session followed the presentation. Meeting adjourned at 2:55 p.m. Velma Austin Secretary Betty/ uest Recording Secretary v News Release Oakland County Parks and Recreation Commission Release date: Janet Pung Contact: 858-5384 2/28/80 OAKLAND COUNTY COMMISSIONERS HEAR REPORT ON FEASIBILITY OF PINE KNOB PURCHASE PONTIAC -- The Oakland County Board of Commissioners and Parks and Recreation Commission met today at an informational meeting at White Lake Oaks Golfcourse to hear the findings of a preliminary study to determine the financial feasibility of purchasing the Pine Knob Recreation Complex. The preliminary feasibility study was prepared by the Oakland County Department of Management and Budget,and Treasurer's Office, in cooperation with the Oakland County Parks and Recreation Commission. The study was requested by the Parks and Recreation Commission in order to determine a realistic price range for the facility. The study also explored alter- native methods of financing the purchase price, including revenue bonds and general obligation bonds, and provided a complete description of the property. The Parks and Recreation Commission has yet to make its recommendation regarding the possible acquisition of the 340-acre recreation complex,including the outdoor music theater, ski lodge and golfcourse. The Commission was approached by the Pine Knob owners to purchase the facility last November. The Equalization Division of the Oakland County Department of Management and Budget estimates the value of the Pine Knob Complex at $17,095,000 based on an income approach analysis. (more) The income approach to values deals with the present value of projected income generated as compared to the cost approach which analyzes the actual physical value of the complex. The study recommended that a negotiated price range of $17 to $19 million would be economically feasible taking into consideration the need to reserve the amount of the first year's interest payment and the cost of capital improvements. The Management and Budget study also recommends general obligation bonds as the most appropriate vehicle for financing the proposed purchase. Since general obligation bonds involve the pledging of the County's full faith and credit, the Headlee Amendment requires a general referendum of the County electorate. According to the feasibility study, the potential risk of the purchase would be substantially reduced with general obligation bonds. This type of financing would provide commensurate savings in interest expense compared to revenue bonds. In addition, the 1-1/2 times coverage of the annual bond payment would not be required as with revenue bonds. To determine the relationship between revenue and expenses for each component of the Pine Knob Complex, a detailed financial history was prepared for fiscal years 1976-1978 and estimated revenues and expenses for 1979. The study also reports the findings of an income analysis prepared by Ralph I. Lipshaw, a realtor-appraiser commissioned by the Pine Knob Investment Company. Lipshaw's total estimated value of Pine Knob is $21,300,000. Since Oakland County Parks and Recreation Commission revenues are limited to a 1/4 mill voted tax levy, combined with fees and charges generated through park facilities, the Pine Knob Complex, if acquired by Oakland County, would have to be self-sustaining with revenues covering cost. (more) The Management and Budget report indicated that a break even analysis demonstrates current Pine Knob revenues would support the annual principal and interest payment on a 30-year, $20 million bond issue representing the total resources available for acquisition of the facility. - 30 - 2/28/80 April, 1979 April, 1979 June, 1979 July, 1979 November, 1979 November, 1979 PROPERTIES OFFERED TO OAKLAND COUNTY PARKS AND RECREATION COMMISSION DURING 1979 Groehn Property, 93.6 acres, Oakland Township Chrysler Property in Orion Township Lakeland Arena, Waterford Township RAP Property (Resident's Awareness Program) .82 acres, White Lake Township. 80 acres owned by Lamphere School District in Madison Heights. A. P. Ullbrich property - 187 acres in Avon Township. November, 1979 Pine Knob PINE KNOB Chronology of Events Actual & Proposed November 6, 1979 Met with Pine Knob Investment Company at their request. Inquired whether County would be interested in acquiring Pine Knob (Music Theater, Ski Area, Golf Course and Mansion.) November./, 1979 Moved by Mr. Wilcox, supported by Mr. Deni to authorize the Manager to investigate the offer from Pine Knob Investment Company'as to the feasibility of purchasing Pine Knob with revenue bonds and report back to the Commission. November -January Parks and Recreation staff, County Executive staff and Treasurer's Office proceed with in-depth study of the financial feasibility of Pine Knob. February 6, 1980 Parks and Recreation has closed session to review findings of study committee as to financial feasibility of Pine Knob. February 20, 1980 Moved by Mrs. Walker, supported by Mrs. Stanley, that'the Parks and Recreation Commission seek an appropriate date for an informational meeting with the Board of Commissioners to inform them of the Commission's findings pertaining to the financial feasibility of the Pine Knob recreation complex. Manager contacted Chairman Gabler's office for a possible meeting date. February 21, 1980 Information meeting scheduled for February 28, after County Commis- sioner's meeting, as confirmed by Chairman Gabler's office. February 28, .1980 Informational luncheon meeting on Pine Knob at White Lake Oaks with County Commissioners. February 29, 1980 Special meeting of Parks and Recreation Commission to discuss possi- bility of referring to the Board of Commissioner's Planning and Building Committee to have the issue of Pine Knob put on the May 20, 1980 Pres.i:dential Primary requesting full faith and credit of County to sell bonds. The Parks and Recreation Commission will schedule a public hearing for March 17 or 19. March 6, 1980 Presentation to Planning and Building Committee requesting County Board of Commissioners to submit to the electors of the County the question of whether or not the County should borrow, not to exceed $20 million, and pledge its full faith and credit for the repayment thereof by making an unlimited tax pledge in support of its revenue bonds issued to pay all or a part of the cost of acquiring and improving Pine Knob for Parks and Recreation purposes. (Refer to other appropriate committees for approval if necessary) March 17 or 19, Public Hearing Board of County Commissioners' Auditorium, 7:30 p.m.. 1980 Called by Parks and Recreation Commission. (over) DANIEL To MURPHY OAKLAND COUNTY EXECUTIVE OAKLAND COUNTY, MICHIGAN PINE KNOB RECREATION COMPLEX PRELIMINARY STUDY TO DETERMINE FEASIBILITY OF PROPOSED PURCHASE Prepared by; County Executive's Department of Management & Budget L and the Oakland County Treasurer's Office in cooperation with the Oakland County Parks and Recreation Commission PINE KNOB RECREATION COMPLEX PRELIMINARY FEASIBILITY STUDY February 28, 1980 In response to a request by the Oakland County Parks and Recreation Commission, this preliminary study was undertaken to determine the financial feasibility of purchasing the Pine Knob Recreation Complex as an addition to the County Parks System. The objectives of the study are: - to provide a complete description of the property under consideration, including both the physical facilities and the contractual arrange- ments that transfer with the land, - to recommend a realistic price range that is derived from alternative valuation methodologies, including appraisal of the physical plant, capitalization of anticipated income and a break-even analysis incor- porating amortization of bonds issued to purchase the facility, - to explore alternative methods of financing the recommended purchase price, including Revenue Bonds and General Obligation Bonds. Description of Property A The Pine Knob Recreation complex is comprised of three major components: an outdoor music theater, a ski lodge and ski facilities, and a golf and country club, 342.6 ± acres, all of which are zoned for commercial -recreational development. Electric, phone, well water and sewer systems are on the site. The Pine Knob Music Theater is located on Sashabaw Road at the 1-75 Interchange in Independence Township. The theater was constructed in 1972, receiving the National American Institute of Architects Award, and accommodates approximately 10,500 patrons, 5,700 seats are contained in the covered pavilion and the lawn seats in excess of an additional 4,800 persons. The theater property contains n a total of 46.43 ± acres, twelve of which contain the theater and concession facilities. Twenty-eight acres of parking are provided for the use of the theater, providing parking for 3500 cars. The four lane access road from Sashabaw Road as well as the parking lots are all paved and lighted. Three food and beverage concession buildings are located close to the theater and are available to those attending the performances. Complementary to the theater facilities, the Pine Knob Ski Resort restaurant and cocktail lounge are available for use before and after each show, as is the dining facilities at the country club which is currently operated as a public restaurant called the Pine Knob Hamburger Mansion. The facilities are strategically located within one hour's drive of the center of Southeastern Michigan's major popu- lation concentration with a potential market population of some five million people, of which 50,000 pass this site every day. Purchase of the Music Theater includes all of the rights and obligations associated with a fifty-five year contract entered into March, 1972 with Pine Knob -Theater, Inc., a Michigan Corporation and an affiliate of the Nederlander Theatrical Corporation, the nation's largest buyer - bookers of contemporary and classical talent which owns or operates sixteen dramatic and music theaters in ten major American cities, including the Palace in New York, the Fisher Theater in Detroit, the Greek Theater in Los Angeles, and the Garden State Art Center in New Jersey. The major tenet of the lease calls for an 80% - 20% division of profits between the landlord and operator, respectively, with a minimum annual rental charge of $60,000, payable in $5,000 monthly installments by the operator to the landlord. in addition, transfer of ownership includes a fifteen year concession agreement, expiring May 30, 1987, with Ogden Confection Corporation for the dispensing and sale of all food and beverages, as well as the operation of the parking lot. The covenants of this agreement provide for owner commissions equal to 22.5% of the gross receipts from all concession sales 3 and 5% of tobacco products, as well as 50 of the gross receipts of the parking operation and one-half of net income after direct expenses relating to the parking lot. The Ski Area (140.6 ± acres) consists of sixteen ski runs, five chair lifts, and eight rope tows, including the longest (4,000,ft.) ski hill in Southeast Michigan. In addition, a ski lodge (33,000 sq. ft.) with a cafeteria to accommodate 300 skiers, a ski shop and equipment rental are part of the proposed purchase, as well as a dining room and fireside cocktail lounge with a capacity of 260 people. The Pine Knob Ski Lodge was originally conceived in 1961 by a local developer after several trips to Switzerland. Pine Knob Investment Company purchased the Pine Knob Ski Resort in August of 1971. The subsequent development of the ski resort has taken place in two stages. The first stage of development concentrated on improving skiing conditions using the existing area and equipment. During the summer and fall of 1971, Pine Knob Investment Company upgraded all the facilities including extensive reshaping of the hills and remodeling of the ski lodge in the areas of the kitchen, dining room, cocktail lounge, cafeteria and boot room. The second phase of development at Pine Knob began during the summer months of 1972. In June, 40 additional acres of land lying to the east of the existing hills were acquired and reshaping of hills began. More than one million yards of dirt were moved, raising the vertical drop from 170 feet to 290 feet and three new triple lifts were added. Chair lift capacity has been increased 27 % from 2,000 skiers moved per hour by the two original chair lifts to 7,400 skiers, moved per hour with the existing 5 chair lifts. The longest straight run is now 3,000 feet which offers 4,000 feet of actual skiing. The acquisition and development of 40 more acres of ski hills has made Pine Knob competitive with the highly touted ski resorts in northern Michigan. A A fifteen year Concession Agreement, expiring May 30, 1987, with Ogden Confection Corp. for sale of all food, beverages and tobaccos in the Ski Lodge is also in effect which provides the following owner commissions: - 17.5% of the gross receipts from all concession sales at the bar and cocktail lounge, as well as all liquor sales in the Ski Lodge, - 10% of the gross receipts from all sales in the cafeteria, - 5% of the gross receipts from all sales in the Dining Room, - 5% of the gross receipts from the sale of tobacco and tobacco products in the Ski Lodge. The Golf and Country Club (155.5 ± acres) is composed of an 18-hole championship golf course and the Pine Knob Mansion, (15,554 sq. ft.) which provides clubhouse facilities, including a firelit main dining room with a capacity of 125 people, two small dining rooms, each accommodating 75 persons, cocktail lounge, public lounge and piano bar, and separate locker and workout rooms for men and women. Located at the top of Pine Knob's highest natural elevation (1,206 feet above sea level), the mansion was completed in 1928 and recently renovated at a cost of $1.8 million. The interiors are highlighted with such accents as hand-hewn walnut beams, cathedral ceiling, hand -carved stone fireplaces, hand -carved oak and walnut doors and trim, and hand -carved stair railings and screen walls. The 6,800 yard par 72 golf course was designed by David Krause, landscape architect and former golf professional, and Mr. Leo Bishop, also a member of the P.G.A. for some twenty-eight years. The undulating and wooded rough areas, along with its nine water holes, have given the golf course a reputation of being very challenging. In addition, there is a Halfway House (2,248 sq. ft.) between the ninth and tenth fairways, which houses a cock- tail bar and restaurant serving sandwiches and snacks with an outdoor dining area accommodating up to sixty people. For golfers, swimmers and tennis players, there are the Pro Shop, a 30' by 80' swimming pool, six outdoor paved and lighted I tennis courts and Lake Fleming, a 26-acre sping-fed lake, The golf course plays around this lake. Pine Knob, an estate built by Col. Sidney Waldon in 1927, is dominated by the highest elevations in Southeastern Michigan, varying from 1,010 feet above sea level to 1,280 feet. The site is surrounded by pine trees, both natural and transplanted, from which the name "Pine Knob" originated. An engineering survey of the property by Novak and Fraus Corporation, Consulting Engineers, concluded that topographical and subsoil characteristics of the site were such that no unusual construction problems should be encountered in carrying out future development. Alternative Valuation Methods and Recommmended Price Ranqe Several alternative methods of valuation can be utilized to determine a recommended price range for the purchase of the Pine Knob Recreation Complex, including the Cost or Summation Approach to Value and Income Approach to Value. The Cost or Summation Approach to Value is the process whereby the value of im- proved property is gauged on the basis of the cost to reproduce the structures, less applicable depreciation, plus the value of the underlying land. The appraiser must first estimate the cost to reproduce the structure. All com- ponents of the structure are taken into account. Then the appraiser must estimate depreciation from all sources, including physical deterioration (curable and incurable), structural obsolescence (curable and incurable), and economic obsolescence. Finally, the appraiser must estimate the value.of the underlying land. The sum of the depreciated value of structural improvements and the value of the underlying land is the indicated value of the property via the Cost Approach. The Income Approach to Value deals with the present value of an anticipated stream of future earnings. This is measured by the net income which a fully in- formed purchaser is warranted in assuming the property will produce during its remaining useful life. After comparison viith investments of similar types and C class, this net income is capitalized into a value estimate. The capitaliza- tion rate or factor expresses the normal return requirement of the typical prudent buyer and is directly related to the quality and durability of the income stream. Briefly, it vaires up or down based on the tenants' responsibility and the length of time during which the income flow is considered reasonably certain. The above analytical processes have been applied to the subject property by both Ralph 1. Lipshaw, M.A.Q., A.S.A., S.R.P.A., C.R.A., Realtor -Appraiser com- missioned by Pine Knob Investment Company, and the Iqualization Division of the County Executive's Department of Management and Budget (see page 14) with the following resulting conclusions: Ralph 1. Equalization Cost Approach: Lipshaw Division- Music Theater NA $ 6,705,000 Ski Resort & Restaurant NA 5,650,000 Golf Course Complex S 5,500,000 3,100,000 Total Estimated Value NA, $15,455,000 Income Approach: Music Theater S13,300,000 $11,500,000 Ski Resort & Restaurant 2,700,000 2,500,000 Golf Course Complex 5,300,000 32095,000 Total Estimated Value $21,300,000 $17,095,000 The primary difference in itotal estimated value results from application of varying capitalization rates. Mr. Lipshaw utilized a capitalization rate of 11.5% for the Music Theater, 11% for the Ski Resort, 9.5% for the Restaurant located in the ski lodge and 10% for the Golf Course Complex, whereas the Equalization Division util- ized a more conservative capitalization rate of 15% indicating a higher potential. risk factor attached to future earnings. A change in the capitalization rate of one percentage point equates to a change in the total estimated value of approxi- mately $1,000,000. A further refinement in the foregoing analysis to determine a suitable The basis of Equalization Division estimate is updated records of costs of the original facilities currently on file and did not involve a complete appraisal process. F price range for the purchase of the Pine Knob Recreation Complex is employ- ment of a break-even analysis. Break-even analysis is a formal approach to financial planning based on established relationships between costs and revenues. it is a device for determining the point at which total revenue will just cover total costs, both variable costs and fixed costs including the annual principal and interest payments on bonds issued to execute the proposed purchase. This analytical technique has particular relevance to an organization such as Parks and Recreation whose revenues are limited to a 1 mill voted tax levy and miscellaneous fees and charges because in order for the Pine Knob Recreation Complex to be self-sustaining, its revenues must cover > > > ­ To determine the relationship bet:-:een revenue and expenses for each of the components of the Pine Knob Recreation Complex, a detailed financial history has been prepared and exhibited on paces 7 thru 12, including actual revenue and expenses for fiscal years 1976, 1977 and 1978, as well as estimated amounts for.1979. The column entitled "1979 Adjusted'' represents estimated revenue and expenses for the Pine Knob RecreatioP Complex hypothetically under County Manage- ment, assuming the same number of performances for the Music Theater and the same number of patrons for the Ski Area that were experienced in 1979, as well as a like number of rounds that was experienced on the Springfield Oaks Golf Course (37,000) last year, a facility similar in topography to the Pine Knob Golf Course. The major financial differences that would result from County takeover are the staffing changes detailed on page 13, a reduction in property taxes ($112,336), additional security expense ($90,000), a more accurate re- flection of depreciation expense and capital outlay ($85,000) and incorporation of the financial aspects of the Golf Course Operation. The consolidated Financial Statement appears on Page 6. G The Break -Even Analysis for the total complex and each component is based on 1979 Adjusted Revenue and Expenses which is a conservative portrayal of future financial prospects as indicated by the following circumstances: - in 1979, a number of performances at the Music Theater were cancelled due to unexpected illness of the entertainers, some were rescheduled with substitutes but the overall attendance was down as reflected in the occupancy rate; the number of performances and percent occupancy were greater in both 1977 and 1978, - the total number of cars parked likewise suffered with 1977 and 1978 at higher numbers, - the Ski Area is highly dependent on the weather, but becoming less so with the advent and acquisition of new snow -making technology; 1979 had fewer days of operation than either 1977 or 1978 and revenue from ski passes and rental was down almost 25`/ from 1978 levels, - net income from food sales at the Pine Knob Mansion is projected at $20,000, based on projection provided by Parks and Recreation and assumes the primary source of revenue would be derived from banquets and other private functions, whereas continued utilization as a public restaurant could produce sub- stantially greater income. - the Golf Course is projected to lose $40,000 in its first year of operation but would be expected to improve in future years. Before computing the Break -Even Point for the Total Complex (page 1), fixed costs were adjusted to include a $1,453,000 annual payment (page 5) to retire a thirty year $20 million bond issue at 67, interest.* The annual bond payment was distributed to the individual components based on their contribution to total valuation as indicated by the Equalization Division before computation of their respective break-even points (pages 2-4). The volatility of interest rates in the current market could result in a higher rate at the date of issue; a one percent change G%,ould translate into a $160,000 change in Fixed Costs. M The following conclusions can be reached from review of the Break -Even Analysis; - The Break -Even Point for the Total Complex, including the annual bond payment, is 57,046,654 and 795,000 patrons, - The level of activity based -on 1979 Adjusted, 061,775 patrons, would generate $8.5 million in total revenue and 57.9 million in expenses, leaving 5600,000 for discretionary use by the Parks and Recreation Commission, - To reach the Break -Even Point, the 1979 Adjusted activity level for the Total Complex would have had to decline 17%, - The Break -Even Point for the Music Theater, including a prorata share of the annual bond payment, is S-4 million and 474,000 patrons at 60 performances, - The level of activity based on 1979 Adjusted, 829,775 patrons at 105 performances would generate S7.1 million in revenue and $6.1 million in expenses, resulting in a net gain of $1.0 million, - To reach the Break -Even Point, the 1979 Adjusted activity level for the Music Theater would have had to decline 44`.,, - The Break -Even Point for the Ski Area, including a prorata share of the annual bond payment, is S1.3 million and 110,502 patrons, - The level of activity based on 1979 Adjusted, 95,000 patrons, would generate $1,138,780 in revenue and $1,273,970 in expenses, resulting in a $135,190 loss primarily due to the prorata share of the annual bond payment amounting to S537,610, - To reach the Break -Even Point, the 1975 Adjusted activity level for the Ski Area would have had to increase 16%, - The Break -Even Point for the Go1,` __purse, including a prorata share of the annual bond payment, is about S700,000 and 101,000 patrons, - The level of activity based on 1979 ;adjusted, 37,000 patrons, would generate $256,000 in revenue and $586,004 in expenses, resulting in a $331,004 loss primarily attributable to the prorata share of the annual bond payment amounting to $290,600, - To reach the Break -Even Point, the 1979 Adjusted activity level for the Golf Course would have had to increase 273%. - The key component to the ultimate financial success of the proposed purchase is the Music Theater; the Net Gain of the Music Theater is sufficient to retire the entire annual bond payments as well as the first year loss on the Golf Course. Determination of a realistic price for the purchase of the total Pine Knob Recreation Complex is dependent upon a multitude of factors, the most important of which is a price level that most accurately reflects the potential risks associated with the maintenance of a financially self-sustaining recreation facility. Since the Break -Even Analysis demonstrates that current revenues would conservatively support the annual principal and interest pay- ment on a $20 million bond issue, this amount represents the total resources available for acquisition of the facility. However, prudent fiscal management dictates that at least the first year's interest payment on the bonds should be held in reserve (S1,200,000) in the event of a financially calamitous year that could result from fire, storm, lack of snow or other acts of God. The recommended reserve would then be available to ensure uninterrupted retirement of the outstanding debt obligation. In addition, several capital improvements must be made to the complex in order to convert it to a publicly owned and operated recreation facility; these improvements are listed on page 16 and total over S800,000. By deducting the first year's interest payment and the cost of capital improvements, as well as allowing for unanticipated judgments J that enter into price negotiation, a negotiated price range of $17 million to $19 million v,ould be economically feasible. Alternative Methods of Financing The two major alternatives available to consumate the proposed purchase of the Pine Knob Recreation Complex are Revenue Bonds and General Obligation Bonds. Revenue Bonds do not involve the pledging of full faith and credit of the County Tax base and, therefore, carry a higher risk factor since the sole source of funds for debt retirement emanate from operation of the facility. The higher potential risk associated with Revenue Bonds may render them unmarketable in this era of tight credit or, if marketable, would require a significant interest penalty up- wards of 2%, translating into over 5320,000 additional annual interest expense. The resulting interest penalty and the flunicipal Finance Commission requirement to demonstrate that the source of revenue utilized to retire the bonds generates sufficient funds to accommodate 1L times the annual principal and interest payment ($2,180,000 vs. the $2,055,000 projected availability) leads to the conclusion that Revenue Bonds are not the appropriate vehicle for financing the proposed purchase. Since General Obligation Bonds do involve the pledging of the County's full faith and credit, the Headlee Amendment requires a general referendum of the County Electorate. Because the proposed purchase of the Pine Knob Recreation Complex represents a policy question of significant magnitude, opportunity for voter en- dorsement or denial may be advisable in any event. It should be noted that the electorate by voting to "make an unlimited tax pledge of its full faith and credit for the repayment" of bonds does not in and of its self result in an additional tax levy; only if the Complex cannot generate sufficient revenues to cover operating expenses and retire the debt and no other source of funds is available to make the bond payment and the interest reserve established at the outset is exhausted would additional taxes be levied to meet the bond obligation. The potential risk of the proposed venture would be substantially reduced via the use of General Obligation K Bonds, with a commensurate savings in interest expense, and the 12 times coverage of the annual bond payment would not be necessary. Therefore, General Obligation Bonds would be the most appropriate vehicle for financing the proposed purchase of the Pine Knob Recreation Complex. 11 PINE KNOB RECREATION COMPLEX TOTAL COMPLEX BREAK EVEN A.NALYSIS1 NUMBER OF VARIABLE FIXED TOTAL TOTAL NET GAIN PATRONS COSTS COSTS2 COSTS REVENUE (LOSS) 750,000 3,920,597 2,886,528 63807,125 6,640,922 (166,203) 800,000 4,181,970 2,886,528 7,068,498 7,083,650 15,1S2 850,000 4,443,344 2,886,528 7,329,872 7,526,379 196,507 900,000 4,704,717 2,886,528 7,591,245 7,969,107 377,862 961,7751 5,027,644 2,886,528 7,914,172 8,516,098 601,926 1,000,000 5,227,463 2,886,528 8,113,991 8,854,563 740,572 1,0S0,000 5,488,836 2.886,S28 8,375,364 9,297,291 921,927 REVENUE AND EXPENSE (IN MILLIONS) 12 11 10 g. 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 400 800 1200 1600 NUMBER OF PATRON'S (IN THOUSANDS) FIXED COSTS BE = Rev = 1 _ variable costs sales 2,886,528 = 1 _ 5,027,644 8,516,098 $7,046,654 W. I Based on 1979 adjusted 2 Includes $1,453,000 annual payment to retire $20 million bond Page 1 PINE KNOB RECREATION COMPLEX MUSIC THEATREI BREAK EVEN k\'ALYSIS2 NUMBER OF NUMBER OF VARIABLE FIXED TOTAL TOTAL NET GAIN PERFMIMCES PATRON'S COSTS COSTS 3 COSTS REVENUE (LOSS) SO 39S,130 2,215,525 1,400,596 3,616,121 3,391,104 ( 225,017) 60 474,160 2,658,630 1,400,596 4,059,226 4,069,325 10,099 75 592,700 3,323,287 1,400,596 4,723,883 5,086,656 362,773 90 711,240 3,987,945 1,400,596 5,388,S41 6,103,987 715,446 1052 829,775 4,652,602 1,400,S96 6,OS3,198 7,121,318 1,068,120 110 869,290 4,874,154 1,400,S96 6,274,750 7,460,428 1,185,678 115 908,800 5,095,707 1,400,596 6,496,303 7,799,539 1,303,236 120 948,300 5,317,259 1,400.596 6,717,855 8,138,649 1,420,794 REVENUE AND EXPENSES (IN MILLIONS) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 I 200 400 600 800 NUMBER OF PATRONS (IN THOUSANDS) ible :s osts F = Fixed Costs F P = Price/Unit BE = Q = P - V where V = Variable Cost/Unit 1,400,596 67,822 - 44,310 60 Performances = 474,000 Patrons 1 Includes Parking and Food Concession and 80% of Theatre Operations 2 Based on 1979 Adjusted 3 Includes 43° of $1,453,000 annual payment to retire $20 Million Bond Page 2 PINE KNOB RECREATION COMPLEX SKI AREA BREAK EVEN ANAYLSISI WMBER OF VARIABLE FIXED TOTAL TOTAL NET GAIN PATRONS COSTS COSTS2 COSTS REVENUE (LOSS) 81,000 264,544 963,S72 1,228,116 9 00,551 (257,565) 86,41,00 282,180 963,S72 1,245,752 1,035,255 (210,497) 91,800 299,816 963,572 1,263,388 1,099,958 (163,430) 95,0001 310,398 963,572 1,273,970 1,138,780 (135,190) 102,600 335,089 963,S72 1,298,661 1,229,365 ( 69,296) 110,000 359,780 963,572 1,323,352 1,319,950 ( 3,402) 113,4.00 370,361 963,572 1,333,933 1,3S8,772 24,839 REirNUE AND EXPENSE (IN THOUSANDS) 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1-000 800 600 400 200 I 50 100 ISO 200 NUMBER OF PATRONS (IN THOUSANDS) F = Fixed Costs F P = Price/Unit BE = Q = P-V Where V = Variable Costs/Unit 963,572 _ 11.9872 - 3.2673 110502 Patrons I Based on 1979 Adjusted 2 Inciudes 370 of $1,453,000 annual payment to retire $20 Million Bond ble s Page 3 PINE KNOB RECREATION COMPLEX GOLF COURSE BREAK EVEN ANALYSIS I NUMBER OF VARIABLE FIXED TOTAL TOTAL NET GAIN PATRONS COSTS COSTS2 COSTS REVENUE (LOSS) 20,000 34,943 522,360 S57,303 138,378 (418,925) 25,^.,00 43,678 522,360 566,038 172,973 (393,065) 30,000 S2,414 522,360 574,774 207,568 (367,206) 37,000� 64,644 S22,360 586,004 256,000 (331,004) 40,000 69,885 522,360 592,245 276,757 (315,488) 45,000 78,621 522,360 600,981 311,3S1 (289,630) 50,000 87,3S7 522,360 609,717 34S,946 (263,771) 100,000 174,714 522,360 697,074 691,892 ( S,182) REVENUE AND EXPENSE (IN THOUSANDS) 1000 900 '800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 able :s :d :s 30 60 90 120 NUMBER OF PATRONS (IN THOUSANDS) F = Fixed Costs F P = Price/Unit BE = Q = P-V where V = Variable Cost/Unit = 522,360 6.9189-1.7471 101,000 Patrons I Based on 1979 Adjusted 2 Includes 200 of $1,453,000 annual payment to retire $20 Million Bond Page 4 ,kMORT I %AT I ON SCHEDULE GENERAL OBLIGATION BOND $20 IMILLION 6% INTEREST 30 YEA.RS TOTAL YEAR PAYMENT INTEREST PRINCIPAL BALANCE Beginning Balance - 20,000,000 1981 1,453,000 1,200,000 253,000 19,747,000 1982 1,453,000 1,185,000 268,000 19,479,000 1983 1,453,000 1,169,000 284,000 19,195,000 1984 1,453,000 1,152,000 301,000 18,894,000 1985 1,453,000 1,134,000 319,000 18,575,000 1986 1,453,000 1,115,000 338,000 18,237,000 1987 1,453,000 1,094,000 359,000 17,878,000 1988 1,453,000 1,073,000 380,000 17,498,000 1989 1,453,000 1,050,000 403,000 17,095,000 1990 1,453,000 1,026,000 427,000 16,668,000 1991 1,453,000 1,000,000 453,000 16,215,000 1992 1,453,000 973,000 480,000 15,735,000 1993 1,453,000 944,000 509,000 15,226,000 1994 1,453,000 914,000 539,000 14,687,000 1995 1,453,000 881,000 572,000 14,115,000 1996 1,453,000 847,000 606,000 13,509,000 1997 1,453,000 811,000 642,000 123867,000 1998 1,453,000 772,000 681,000 12,186,000 1999 1,453,000 731,000 722,000 11,464,000 2000 1,453,000 68S,000 765,000 10,699,000 2001 1,453,000 642,000 811,000 9,888,000 2002 1,453,000 593,000 860,000 9,028,000 2003 1,453,000 542,000 911,000 8,117,000 2004 1,453,000 487,000 966,000 7,151,000 2005 1,453,000 429,000 1,024,000 6,127,000 2006 1,453,000 368,000 13085,000 5,042,000 2007 1,453,000 303,000 1,150,000 3,892,000 200S 13453,000 234,000 1,219,000 2,673,000 2009 1,453,000 160,000 1,293,000 1,380,000 1010 1,4633000 83,000 1,380,000 -0- 43,600,000 23,600,000 20,000,000 Page 5 Pine Knob R( '.a t i on Complex Consolidated Financial Statement- 197'6 1977 1978 1979 1979 Actual Actual Actual Estimated Adjusted Music Theater (80%) Revenue 4,110,514 5,415,352 6,904,792 6,685,452 6,685,452 Fixed Expenses 473,226 562,803 618,523 689,870 660,270 Variable Expenses 3,069,822 4 041,272 4,902,523 4,542,292 4,5422292 Total Operating Expenses 3,543,048 4,604,075 5,5212046 5,232,162 5,202,562 Excess Revenue Over Expenses 567,466 811,277 1,383,746 1 4-53 290 1,482,890 Music Theater Concessions Food Concession Parking Concession Total Revenue Fixed Expenses Variable Expenses Total Direct Expenses Excess Revenue Over Expenses Ski Area Revenue Fixed Expenses Variable Expenses Total Operating Expenses Excess Revenue Over Expenses Fixed Expenses Variable Expenses Total Operating Expenses Excess Revenue over Expenses GRAND TOTAL Summary Revenue -o Fixed Expenses to Variable Expenses 0 Total Operating Expenses °N GRAND TOTAL 29,034 33,022 42,924 36,810 38,500 220,199 272,080 301,173 397,366 397,366 249,233 305,102 344,097 434,176 435,866 39,485 49,841 47,969 67,052 115,536 55,133 73,072 92,037 110,310 110,310 94,618 122,913 14o,oM 177,362 225,846 154.615 182.189 204.091 256.814 210.020 1,065,259 1,218,725 1,427,350 1,138,780 1,138,780 427,656 448,607 430,684 428,590 425,962 353,531 398,110 325,985 354,450 310 398 781,187 846,717 756,669 783,040 73 ,360 284,072 372,008 6701681 355,740 402,420 256,000 231 ,76o 64,644 5,425,006 6,939,179 8,676,239 8,258,408 8,516,o98 940,367 1,o61,251 1,097,176 1,185,512 1,433,528 37478,486 4,512,454 5,320,545 5,007,052 5,027,644 4,418,853 5,573,705 6,417,721 -6 1 2 56Li. 6 172 1 oo6 1 3 1,365,474 2,258,518 2,065,844 2,0 ,926 Pine Knob Re.",ation Complex Musi.. heater Financial Statement- 1976 1977 1978 1979 1979 Actual Acttun I Actual Estimated Adjusted Attendance Data Number of Performances 94 106 log 105 105 Average Attendance 7,286 8,095 9,026 7,902 7,902 Total Attendance 684,927 858,078 983,897 829,775 829,775 Total Seats (Capacity 10,500) 987,000 1,113,000 1,144,500 1,102,500 1,102,500 Percent Occupancy 69.47. 77.1% 86.0% 75.3% 75.3% Revenue Average Ticket Price 7.39 7.75 8.58 9.80 9.80 Gross Ticket Sales 5,063,992 6,647,805 8,437,037 8,129,922 8,129,922 Concession Income 23,228 30,289 34,500 30,800 30,800 Interest Income 15,222 24,938 95,587 99,560 99,560 Other Income 35,700 66,158 63,866 96,533 96,533 Total Revenue 5,138,142 6,769,190 8,630,990 8,356,815 8,356,815 Opercting Expenses Fixed Expenses: Supervision Fee 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 New York Office 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 Taxes - General 4-2,207 46,652 46,497 57,LE70 20,470 Insurance 51,088 57,893 61,200 71,316 71,316 Interest Expense 5,346 3,716 3,126 4,578 4,578 Pensions 830 2,708 3,192 3,500 3,500 Professional Services 4,204 9,834 5,551 5,100 5,100 Advertising 158,615 195,292 176,345 253,763 253,763 Vehicle Expense 8,533 9,611 18,517 20,500 20,500 Depreciation & Amortization 23,503 27,232 31,986 33,547 33,547 Office Expense 6,014 8,450 17,444 16,000 161000 Box Office - Fixed 7,523 6,941 1.0,232 9,800 9,8o0 Repairs & Maint. - Fixed 28,963 31,767 30,879 26,930 26,930 Telephone - Fixed 3,318 5,o4o 6,798 7,500 7,500 Payroll - Fixed . 102,291 137,526 184,790 178,000 178,00.0 Payroll Taxes - Fixed _ 34,097 45,842 61,597 59,333 59,333 Total Fixed Expenses 591,532 703,504 773,154 862,337 825,337 a Ln Variable Expenses: Stage Show Costs Royalties & License Fees Bad Debts Cleaning Expense,, Donations Dues & Subscriptions Cast Relations Contract Labor Postage Equipment Rental Theatre Expense Tickets Travel & Promotion Utilities Box Office - Variable Repairs & Maint. - Variable Telephone - Variable Payroll - Variable Payroll Taxes - Variable Total Variable Expenses Total Operating Expenses Excess Revenue over Expenses v 0 Pine Knob Rec•�'tion Complex Music ,oeater Financial Statement-; 1976 1977 1978 1979 1979 Actual Actual Actual Estimated Adjusted 3,311,416 e 4,309,553 5,278,842 4,8o6,707 4,806,707 19,505 20,756 25,564 24,600 24,600 319 1,521 1,150 1,500 1,500 22,886 32,077 27,255 32,000 32,000 910 6,175 100 100 100 40 791 312 400 400 33,478 76,493 99,357 95,700 95,700 --- 16,265 20,935 21,000 21,000 2,143 13,269 24,o48 23,200 23,200 5,516 6,313 6,895 7,000 7,000 58,759 57,099 34,135 33,000 33,000 16,056 18,624 19,605 19,000 19,000 4,071 4,833 5,000 5,000 5,000 4,24o 8,249 10,941 10,162 10,162 3,762 3,470 5,116 4,900 4,9oo 28,962 31,767 30,879 26,930 26,930 9,952 15,120 20,395 22,500 22,500 306,873 412,577 507,o67 534,000 534,000 8,389 16,638 10,557 10,167 10,167 3,837,277 5,051,590 6,128,153 5,677,866 5,677,866 4.428.809 5.755,o94 6.901,307 6,54o,203 6,503,203 709,333 1 ol4,o96 1,729 683 1 816,612 1,853,612 Me Music Theater Rental Income Less: Direct Expenses: Fixed Costs: Salaries Fringe Benefits Security Expense Pine Knob Rec,cation Complex Music Theater Concessions Financial Statement :: 1976 1977 1978 Actual Actual Actual (8(r/,) 567,466 811,277 1,383,746 Insurance Real Estate Tax Personal Property Tax Depreciation -Equipment Total Fixed Costs Variable Costs: Traffic Control Cleaning Expense Total Variable Cost Total Direct Expenses 1979 Estimated 1979 Adjusted 1,453,290 1,482,890 --- --- --- --- 16,050 --- --- --- ___ 5,730 --- --- 30,000 9,660 12,249 12,117 19,368 19,368 15,956 21,446 20,602 33,296 --- 13,869 16,146 15,250 14,388 14,388 --- 302000 39,485 49,841 47,969 67,052 115,536 24,613 33,479 36,851 52,666 52,666 30,520 39,593 55,186 57,6LI4 57,644 55,133 73,072 92,037 110,310 110,310 94,618 122,913 14o,oM 177,362 225,846 Net Income from Music Theater 472,848 688,364 1,243,740 1,275,928 1,257,044 Food Concession: Total Sales 232,282 281,783 343,392 300,489 308,000 Gross Income - 22.5% 52,262 63,311 77,263 67,610 69,300 Less: 10% Royalty Fee 23,228 30,289 34,339 30,800 30,800 Net Income from Food Concession 29,034 33,022 42,924 36,810 38,500 Parking Concession: Total Cars Parked 224,033 288,179 332,135 275,986 275,986 Gross Income 1.50/Car 336,047 432,406 498,048 413,979 413,979 Operating Expenses 231,697 3202652 393,750 309,213 309,213 Net Profit lo4,350 111,754 1o4,298 104,766 104,766 Parking Commission-507,Gross168,024 216,203 24g,024 206,990 206,990 Profit Sharing-50% Net 52,175 55,877 52.,149 52,383 52,383 Surcharge-.50/Car --- --- --- 137,293 137 993 Net Income from Parking Concession220,199 272,080 301 173 397,3 397,3 r� Total Net Income from Music Theater Concessions 722,081 993,466 1,587,837 1,710,104 1, 92,910 -v CU (.o m Pine Knob Re. ration Complex Ski Area Financial Statement* 1976 1977 1978 1979 1979 Actual Actual Actual Estimated Adjusted Attendance Data Days 74 93 98 88 88 Patrons 100,239 122,459 143,073 95,000 95,000 Average Rate/Day 8.75 8.29 8.62 9.81 9.81 Revenue Ski Passes & Rental Season Passes Restaurant Rental Ski Shop - Net Operat i.ng Expenses i'1 xea tin des : Security Expense Real Estate Taxes Depreciation Expense Vehicle Expense Advertising & Promotion Insurance Offide Expenses Payroll - Fixed Fringe Benefits Repair & Maint.-Fixed Utilities - Fixed Telephone - Fixed Miscellaneous Capital Outlay Total Fixed Expenses Variable Expenses: Supplies Equipment Rental Payroll - Variable Repair & Maint.-Variable Utilities - Variable Telephone -.Variable Total Variable Expenses Total Operating Expenses 877,518 1,015,050 1,233,497 932,290 932,290 70,615 81,691 66,369 87,390 87,390 93,100 93,100 93,100 93,100 93,100 24,026 28,884 34,384 26,000 26,000 ,.o65,255 1,218,725 1 L427,350 1 ,138,780 1,138,780 30,000 47,419 48,157 50,853 42,o4o --- 17,187 15,299 16,000 16,000 21,000 11,580 18,407 12,536 14,000 7,640 8,413 11,190 25,308 15,000 15,000 71,921 76,136 59,218 6o,000 47,000 7,o44 12,171 12,570 14,000 12,500 137,836 138,175 lo9,46o 120,300 125,922 33,854 20,798 33,818 30,000 34,775 20,5o6 30,797 17,686 17,500 5,375 25,219 35,006 4o,166 43,250 35,750 3,679 1,877 1,471 1,500 1,000 .42,998 40,594 51,598 55,000 55,000 --- --- --- --- 35,000 427,656 448,607 430,68LF 428,590 425,962 14,432 6,059 2,483 8,000 8,000 11,347 9,027 2,951 3,000 3,000 179,543 179,984 142,581 156,700 164,023 61,518 92,390 53,059 52,500 25,125 75,656 105,018 12o,498 129,750 107,250 11,035 5,632 4,413 4,500 3,000 353,531 398,110 325�,985 .3542450 310,398 781.187 846,717 756,669 783,o4o 736,360 Excess Revenue Over Expenses 284,072 372,008 670,681 355,7140 402,420 ME Pine Knob Rec. ation Complex Golf Course ' Financial Statement., 1976 1977 1978 Actual Actual Actual Attendance Data Number of Rounds Average Rate/Round Revenue Green Fees Rentals - Golf Carts Commission - Food Sales Merchandise Sales - Net Total Revenue Operating Expenses Fixed Expenses: Payroll -Fixed Fringe Benefits Security Expense Telephone - Fixed Rubbish Removal Grounds Maintenance Utilities - Fixed Insurance Laundry & Dry Cleaning Building Maintenance Office Supplies Transportation Depreciation Golf Cart Expense Total Fixed Expenses Variable Expenses: Payroll - Variable Overtime Equipment Rental Telephone - Variable Equipment Repair Utilities - Variable 1979 Estimated 1979 Adjusted 37,000 4.50 166,500 65,000 20,000 4,500 256,000 72,410 25,850 30,000 500 500 13,500 22,500 13,000 2,000 3,000 1 ,500 4,000 15,000 28.000 231,760 39,744 4,000 200 1,500 8,500 7,500 atian C°mp}ex F\nanG�al 1911 PGA \ 9-16 PGA Cont.) erases � ns \JarXable Pubi�Ga Expense Dues lAaneous Ge Un ra gel � C°nf ef A', , es -beep1n9 oUsek ls ses S a; la obr e E/,Perses �o ai Operate 9 0verderi enue N9r19 d Est ate 191 8 PGA 19� 9 tea Pd 50 i00 � 9250 400 l000 4q-13 N Gels Rey 0°1 � Course, Expenses i Ad Oaks i ne t,nob e at the Spring ds pr°�ided by P ties - base on eXperienc unaud. e recur o�ided by third 'pa and �t d °arsehiGh �s baai statements was o{ statements prnd Cier\�jPegister, on °� the G°, C of these ��nanG` sided thru re�`ew unty Treasurer a With the eXGept\ far preparation `i ration was pro Corp 0akiand C° the data source any, 1�owever vCr 09den Con�eGtion \nvestment C°mp heater, P i ne \,nob i.e•' eGr�ation• Parks and to (D ME Pine Knob Re '°-:at i on Complex 1979 Adju !d Payroll Fixed Expenses Full Time Personnel: 1 Manager of Pine Knob Recreation Complex 1 Ski Area Manager 1 Assistant Manager -Golf & Ski 1 Foreman -Golf & Ski 1 Mechanic -Golf & Ski 1 Electrician -Golf & Ski 1 Typist/Operator 1 Employee Record Specialist 1 Typist (Purchasing) 1 Accountant I Total Full Time Fringe Benefits 05 35.7% Part Time Personnel: 5 Snow Makers 4 Hill Groomers Total Part Time Total Fixed Expenses Variable Expenses: Part Time Personnel: Ski Area: 6 Ticket Takers 21 Equipment Renters 7 Park Helpers (Security) 39 Lift Operators 4 Maintenance Helpers 2 Clerks Golf Course: 6 Cashiers 4 Summer Laborers 5 Parl6 Helpers Total Variable Expenses Total Salaries & Fringe Benefits Personnel: Full Time Part Time Total Total Annual Music Theater Expense Expense Ski Area Golf Course - Expense Expense 31,500 10,500 10,500 10,500 25,000 25,000 19,440 9,720 9,720 19,440 9,720 9,720 18,900 9,450 9,450 18,900 9,450 9,450 11,370 5,685 5,685 13,350 6,675 6,675 11,370 5,685 5,685 16,600 5,550 5,525 5,525 185,870 16,050 97,410 72,410 66,355 5,730 34,775 25,850 4.50/hr.x8 hrs.x88 days 15,840 15,8L�O 4.50/hr.x8 hrs.x88 days 12,672 12,672 28,512 28,512 280,737 21,780 160,697 98,26o 3.15/hr.x7 hrs.x88 days 11,642 11,642 3.15/hr.x7 hrs.x88 days 40,748 4o,748 4.50/hr.x7 hrs.x88 days 19,404 19,40L� 3.15/hr.x7 hrs.x88 days 75,676 75,676 4.50/hr.x8 hrs.x88 days 12,672 12,672 3.15/hr.x7 hrs.x88 days 3,881 3,881 3.15/hr.x8 hrs.x92 days 13,910 13,910 3.15/hr.x8 hrs.x92 days 9,274 9,274 4.50/hr.x8 hrs.x92 days 16,560 16 560 203,767 164,023 39,7+4 484L504 21 ,780 324,720 138�,004 10 103 113 OAKLAND COUNTY Inter -Departmental Memo ' om: To: Date January 22, 1980 Herman W. Stephens, Manager of the Equalization Division James M. Brennan, Director of Management and Budget Subject: Review of Pine Knob Appraisals Pursuant to your request to review the enclosed appraisals on Pine_Knob and report back as soon as possible with our opinion, I am pleased to say that we have completed our review of the data at hand. Using the information in our files and the data that was collected back in 1975 and updating same, it is possible to roughly estimate the value on a cost approach basis. Our calculations result in the following values: Pine Knob Theatre Complex Land (46.43 ac. +) $ 1,392,900 Improvements, Personal Property & Miscellaneous _ 5,311,312 Total 6,704,212 Rounded to 6,705,000 Ski Resort & Restaurant Land (140.67 ac. +) $ 1,050,420 Improvements, Personal Property & Miscellaneous 4,602,293 Total 5,652,713 Rounded to 5,650,000 Golf Course Complex Land (155.50 ac. +) $ 1,943,750 Improvements, Personal Property & Miscellaneous 1,150,275 Total 3,094,025 Rounded to 3,100,000 TOTAL ESTIMATED VALUE BY COST APPROACH $15,455,000 Page 14 Ralph Lipshaw in his appraisal of the Theatre Complex, Golf Course and Ski Lodge Complex, concentrated exclusively on the income approach and in this instance I would have to agree that anyone considering purchasing the property would definately be looking at the income and cash flow. The income and expense figures at hand on the theatre (such as they are) in our opinion, reflect a value of closer to $11,500,000. It is our opinion that the capitalization rate should include the real estate tax factor and should incorporate more of a risk factor then indicated. A capatilization rate of 15% is more realistic and such a rate applied to an adjusted net income of $1,724,290 produces a value of $11,495,000 for the theatre. The Ski Complex and Lodge income as adjusted for 1979 by the county is stated as $376,240 and the net annual income as stated in Mr. Lipshaw's letter dated November 12, 1979; to the land $188,925, and $93,100 from the Restaurant for a total of $282,025. Using the county's adjusted figures of $376,240 and the same capitalization rate as on the theatre a value of $2,508,266, or $2,500,000 is generated. By using the $11,495,000 as estimated by the income data on the theatre and the $2,500,000 valuation projection on the Pine Knob Ski Lodge operation through the analysis of the income and capitalization process, a total value of $13,995,000 is achieved. Adding to this total of the estimated value of the Golf Course operation and improvements a grand total of $17,095-,000 is arrived at. Therefore, it is our opinion based on the information on hand and provided others that the current value of the Pine Knob Properties with encompass approximately 342.60 acres of land and include the Theatre, Ski Lodge, Slopes,. Golf Course, Mansion, Swimming Pool and Tennis Courts to fall within a range of $15,455,000 to $17,095,000. Page 15 PINE KNOB CAPITAL OUTLAY Preliminary Estimate f 1. Entrance drive to golf course 3800 linear feet x 22 feet @ $25 sq. yd. 2. Parking area for 150 cars 350 sq. ft..= 52,500 sq. ft. @ $25 per sq. yd. 3. Maintenance Building 8000 sq. ft. @ $35 per sq. ft. 4. Fencing for entire site 19,200 linear feet of 6 foot cyclone fence @ $10 linear foot. TOTAL ESTIMIATED COST $232,200. $145,000. $280,0001. $192,000. $849,200. Page 16